Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
CAR4
FinalSun, May 7, 2023PlayoffsEvery game that night
NJD8

NJD beat CAR 8-4, with the chances close: 2.76 expected goals to 2.78. J. Hughes led the way with 4 points (2 G, 2 A). V. Vanecek stopped 26 of 30.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
CAR0224
NJD3238
  1. 1st 5:58NJDT. Meier0.07 xG
  2. 1st 10:55NJDJ. Hughes0.07 xG
  3. 1st 12:31NJDM. McLeodSH0.13 xG
  4. 2nd 0:53NJDN. Hischier0.09 xG
  5. 2nd 2:00CARS. Aho0.19 xG
  6. 2nd 5:33NJDD. Severson0.15 xG
  7. 2nd 12:18CARJ. Martinook0.36 xG
  8. 3rd 3:08NJDM. Wood0.15 xG
  9. 3rd 5:17NJDJ. Hughes0.06 xG
  10. 3rd 7:21CARJ. StaalSH0.17 xG
  11. 3rd 8:11CARS. JarvisSH0.29 xG
  12. 3rd 10:47NJDO. PalatPP0.14 xG

Team Stats

CARNJD
30Shots on goal34
2.78Expected goals2.76
58Shot attempts65
235v5 shots on goal31
0/2Power play1/4
46Hits33
18Blocked shots13
15Penalty minutes11
2Giveaways8
5Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CAR 2.78 xGNJD 2.76 xGGoal

00.511.522.531st2nd3rdNJD goal, 5:58NJD goal, 10:55NJD goal, 12:31NJD goal, 0:53CAR goal, 2:00NJD goal, 5:33CAR goal, 12:18NJD goal, 3:08NJD goal, 5:17CAR goal, 7:21CAR goal, 8:11NJD goal, 10:47

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CAR29 on goal, 4 scored
NJD33 on goal, 8 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CAR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
S. JarvisRW1122320016:012:41
J. MartinookLW112230-2013:400:00
J. StaalC1012510015:460:00
S. AhoC101110-1414:552:38
J. FastRW011332-2013:570:00
J. DruryC000340-1016:351:19
M. NecasC000211-3016:312:19
J. KotkaniemiC000121-4015:591:25
S. NoesenRW000031-1714:282:43
D. StepanC0002200014:080:00
J. PuljujarviRW0002310012:301:19
P. StastnyC0001000011:421:14
J. SlavinD011210+2221:570:21
B. BurnsD000211+1222:442:33
B. PesceD000213-4020:030:00
B. SkjeiD000171-4019:270:00
S. GostisbehereD000202-1016:551:28
J. ChatfieldD000062-1015:080:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
F. Andersen1284.66720:53
P. Kochetkov22184.81839:07Loss

NJD Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. HughesC224400+2217:112:39
D. MercerC033011+3018:382:55
N. HischierC112534+1019:343:27
J. BrattLW0224010018:372:39
O. PalatLW1124320017:081:43
T. MeierRW101320+3017:514:01
M. McLeodC101132+2217:110:00
M. WoodLW101320+1011:440:00
E. HaulaLW000230-1514:421:12
N. BastianRW000030+1013:490:00
T. TatarLW000010-2212:160:55
J. MarinoD022000+3020:160:55
L. HughesD0220010014:281:33
J. SiegenthalerD011111+2020:370:17
B. SmithD011140+3017:370:00
D. SeversonD101220+1016:482:06
D. HamiltonD0003410021:433:28
K. BahlD000110005:500:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
V. Vanecek30264.86760:00Win
A. Schmid000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamStefan Noesen NJD Faces CAR, his team until May 20240 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.