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Game Recap
CAR3
Final/OTTue, Mar 29, 2022Every game that night
TBL4

TBL beat CAR 4-3 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 3.90 expected goals to 1.92. TBL outshot CAR 32 to 19. S. Stamkos led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). A. Vasilevskiy stopped 16 of 19.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
CAR12003
TBL02114
  1. 1st 7:59CARN. Niederreiter0.18 xG
  2. 2nd 0:52TBLA. KillornPP0.17 xG
  3. 2nd 8:41CARS. Jarvis0.06 xG
  4. 2nd 9:43TBLV. Hedman0.08 xG
  5. 2nd 16:47CARS. Aho0.10 xG
  6. 3rd 6:02TBLB. PointPP0.01 xG
  7. OT 0:52TBLS. StamkosPP0.15 xG

Team Stats

CARTBL
19Shots on goal32
1.92Expected goals3.90
38Shot attempts50
165v5 shots on goal23
0/2Power play3/4
27Hits37
8Blocked shots9
12Penalty minutes8
3Giveaways7
5Takeaways8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CAR 1.92 xGTBL 3.90 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdOTCAR goal, 7:59TBL goal, 0:52CAR goal, 8:41TBL goal, 9:43CAR goal, 16:47TBL goal, 6:02TBL goal, 0:52

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CAR18 on goal, 3 scored
TBL31 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CAR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
S. JarvisRW112120+2013:330:52
S. AhoC101210+2019:082:57
T. TeravainenC011110+2019:052:33
J. StaalC0110400218:060:00
N. NiederreiterRW101120+1216:061:35
V. TrocheckC0002120018:382:10
A. SvechnikovRW000130-1018:023:08
M. NecasC0000000015:090:37
J. FastRW000100+1014:390:00
M. DomiC000100009:561:03
S. LorentzC000000007:450:00
D. StepanC000010006:430:00
T. DeAngeloD011212+1421:073:08
I. ColeD011031+1216:200:00
B. PesceD0001120223:180:11
B. SkjeiD0002300022:360:00
J. SlavinD000100+1021:290:52
B. SmithD000341+1012:480:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Raanta32284.87560:49OT loss
F. Andersen000–0:00

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
S. StamkosC123210+1021:452:55
N. KucherovRW033110-1221:072:55
B. PointC112450-1020:232:55
A. CirelliC022100+1014:450:35
A. KillornLW1012000014:272:20
P. BellemareLW0001420214:180:00
C. PerryRW0002210013:411:07
P. MaroonLW0001400213:361:07
O. PalatLW000210-1013:041:07
N. PaulLW000130-2010:350:00
B. HagelLW000010-2010:200:00
R. ColtonC000230-2010:051:07
V. HedmanD101701+1025:052:29
M. SergachevD000322-2023:301:07
E. CernakD000021-2022:210:00
J. RuttaD000150+1020:540:00
Z. BogosianD000021-1213:030:00
C. FooteD000211-1012:030:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Vasilevskiy19163.84260:52Win
B. Elliott000–0:00