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Game Recap
CAR3
Final/OTMon, Feb 7, 2022Every game that night
TOR4

TOR beat CAR 4-3 in overtime, with the chances close: 3.29 expected goals to 2.63. M. Marner led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). P. Mrazek stopped 28 of 31.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
CAR10203
TOR02114
  1. 1st 13:08CARN. Niederreiter0.09 xG
  2. 2nd 16:16TORA. MatthewsPP0.07 xG
  3. 2nd 19:37TORA. Matthews0.10 xG
  4. 3rd 0:08CART. DeAngelo0.05 xG
  5. 3rd 9:23CARD. Stepan0.05 xG
  6. 3rd 14:12TORM. Marner0.05 xG
  7. OT 2:51TORM. Marner0.02 xG

Team Stats

CARTOR
31Shots on goal32
2.63Expected goals3.29
57Shot attempts54
275v5 shots on goal20
0/1Power play1/4
25Hits18
11Blocked shots17
13Penalty minutes7
10Giveaways15
8Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CAR 2.63 xGTOR 3.29 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdOTCAR goal, 13:08TOR goal, 16:16TOR goal, 19:37CAR goal, 0:08CAR goal, 9:23TOR goal, 14:12TOR goal, 2:51

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CAR30 on goal, 3 scored
TOR32 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CAR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. NecasC011510-1019:550:00
N. NiederreiterRW101120+2016:430:16
J. FastRW011101+2015:470:00
S. LorentzC011140+109:410:16
D. StepanC101210+109:080:00
V. TrocheckC000120-1219:050:00
S. AhoC000300-1218:470:16
J. StaalC000131+2017:220:00
S. JarvisRW000201-2016:110:00
A. SvechnikovRW000231-2015:510:00
J. MartinookLW000020-1013:320:00
J. LeivoLW000310+106:470:00
T. DeAngeloD1124010021:100:00
J. SlavinD0111120023:400:00
I. ColeD0111000214:540:04
B. PesceD0000220026:500:12
B. SkjeiD0003120025:190:12
B. SmithD000020+1711:010:04
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
F. Andersen32284.87562:51OT loss
A. Raanta000–0:00

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. MarnerRW213500+3021:173:37
A. MatthewsC202710+2020:243:37
J. TavaresC022300-1019:513:21
W. NylanderRW011600-2020:023:37
M. BuntingLW000111+2017:501:39
O. KaseRW000011-1016:161:25
I. MikheyevRW000111-1015:521:23
D. KampfC000120-1014:320:02
A. KerfootC000001-2014:130:00
J. SpezzaC0000110010:041:23
P. EngvallLW000100009:490:00
W. SimmondsRW000110058:300:02
M. RiellyD022311+1224:353:32
T. LiljegrenD011121+1014:190:00
R. SandinD000033-2022:301:20
T. BrodieD000101-1021:240:02
J. HollD000034-1020:540:10
T. DermottD000112+1014:240:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
P. Mrazek31283.90362:38Win
J. Campbell000–0:00