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Game Recap
CAR2
FinalFri, Mar 17, 2023Every game that night
TOR5

TOR beat CAR 5-2, with the chances close: 2.40 expected goals to 2.77. CAR outshot TOR 34 to 24. Z. Aston-Reese led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). I. Samsonov stopped 32 of 34.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
CAR1102
TOR3115
  1. 1st 2:54TORZ. Aston-Reese0.07 xG
  2. 1st 12:30TORM. Marner0.05 xG
  3. 1st 14:37CARB. Skjei0.02 xG
  4. 1st 17:38TORA. MatthewsPP0.04 xG
  5. 2nd 10:45CARM. Necas0.03 xG
  6. 2nd 14:59TORZ. Aston-Reese0.07 xG
  7. 3rd 8:56TORM. Rielly0.13 xG

Team Stats

CARTOR
34Shots on goal24
2.77Expected goals2.40
79Shot attempts40
325v5 shots on goal22
0/3Power play1/1
20Hits26
9Blocked shots22
2Penalty minutes6
7Giveaways14
6Takeaways8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CAR 2.77 xGTOR 2.40 xGGoal

00.511.522.531st2nd3rdTOR goal, 2:54TOR goal, 12:30CAR goal, 14:37TOR goal, 17:38CAR goal, 10:45TOR goal, 14:59TOR goal, 8:56

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CAR34 on goal, 2 scored
TOR24 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CAR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. NecasC101210-2017:384:08
T. TeravainenC011201-2017:343:53
J. KotkaniemiC011230-2017:151:51
J. MartinookLW011310+1014:520:11
S. JarvisRW0004000017:511:54
J. PuljujarviRW0004400017:461:54
S. AhoC0004200017:434:17
S. NoesenRW000210-1014:123:44
J. StaalC000220+1213:280:00
J. DruryC000401-1013:221:57
J. FastRW000001+1013:180:00
D. StepanC000221-1010:360:00
B. PesceD011013-2019:500:23
B. SkjeiD101101-2018:290:05
B. BurnsD000120+1024:284:00
J. SlavinD000010+1020:120:00
S. GostisbehereD000100-1016:001:43
J. ChatfieldD000001-1014:450:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
P. Kochetkov24195.79260:00Loss
F. Andersen000–0:00

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. JarnkrokC022001+2216:460:00
J. TavaresC022022-1016:250:41
Z. Aston-ReeseLW202341+2213:380:00
M. MarnerRW101100+1020:430:41
A. MatthewsC101501+2018:570:41
S. LaffertyC0112210017:520:00
M. BuntingLW011112+1216:080:00
D. KampfC000310+2017:350:00
W. NylanderRW0002030017:320:41
A. KerfootC000003-2013:140:00
N. AcciariC000120-105:390:00
M. RiellyD1124310017:140:41
T. BrodieD0110130021:040:00
E. GustafssonD011002+2015:130:00
J. McCabeD000020+2019:130:00
M. GiordanoD0000020016:340:00
T. LiljegrenD000240+1016:140:00
L. SchennD000040-1013:560:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
I. Samsonov34322.94160:00Win
M. Murray000–0:00