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Game Recap
CAR2
FinalWed, Mar 1, 2023Every game that night
VGK3

VGK beat CAR 3-2, with the chances close: 2.56 expected goals to 1.85. J. Eichel led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). A. Hill stopped 24 of 26.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
CAR0112
VGK0213
  1. 2nd 5:11VGKJ. Eichel0.04 xG
  2. 2nd 13:02CARM. Necas0.13 xG
  3. 2nd 18:51VGKJ. Eichel0.26 xG
  4. 3rd 12:44CARJ. Staal0.06 xG
  5. 3rd 16:18VGKR. Smith0.18 xG

Team Stats

CARVGK
26Shots on goal20
1.85Expected goals2.56
64Shot attempts45
265v5 shots on goal20
0/0Power play0/1
24Hits29
16Blocked shots20
2Penalty minutes0
6Giveaways11
10Takeaways13

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CAR 1.85 xGVGK 2.56 xGGoal

00.511.522.531st2nd3rdVGK goal, 5:11CAR goal, 13:02VGK goal, 18:51CAR goal, 12:44VGK goal, 16:18

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CAR26 on goal, 2 scored
VGK20 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CAR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. NecasC1013010217:520:00
T. TeravainenC011100+1016:210:00
J. StaalC1011600015:400:00
S. AhoC000320-1021:020:00
A. SvechnikovRW000160-1019:330:00
S. JarvisRW000122-1018:070:00
J. KotkaniemiC000111+1016:120:00
J. MartinookLW0003020014:420:00
J. FastRW000111+1013:290:00
D. StepanC000300-109:070:00
P. StastnyC000000-109:050:00
S. NoesenRW000010-108:500:00
B. BurnsD0111000022:540:00
J. SlavinD0111110021:270:00
B. SkjeiD0001030022:120:00
B. PesceD0001210021:420:00
C. de HaanD000103-1015:560:00
J. ChatfieldD000321-1015:510:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
F. Andersen20173.85057:58Loss
A. Raanta000–0:00

VGK Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. EichelC202320+3017:251:06
I. BarbashevLW011111+1017:590:00
R. SmithRW101210-1017:441:00
W. KarlssonC011001-2017:250:53
M. AmadioRW011120-1016:131:04
P. KesselRW011100+2014:480:56
W. CarrierLW011212+1013:340:44
J. MarchessaultRW0001220016:111:00
C. StephensonC0001000015:481:07
K. KolesarRW0002700012:020:00
B. HowdenC0000000011:280:00
P. CotterLW0000200011:090:00
S. TheodoreD011203+2021:181:04
B. McNabbD000034+1022:050:00
A. PietrangeloD0000310021:190:54
A. MartinezD000105-1019:030:00
N. HagueD0003400017:530:12
Z. WhitecloudD0000110016:360:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Hill26242.92360:00Win
M. Hutchinson000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.