Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
CAR3
Final/OTMon, Nov 21, 2022Every game that night
WPG4

WPG beat CAR 4-3 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 3.89 expected goals to 3.05. P. Dubois led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). D. Rittich stopped 24 of 27.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
CAR00303
WPG11114
  1. 1st 18:34WPGP. Dubois0.17 xG
  2. 2nd 6:44WPGM. Eyssimont0.40 xG
  3. 3rd 3:56WPGJ. Morrissey0.13 xG
  4. 3rd 15:12CARJ. Slavin0.02 xG
  5. 3rd 16:52CARA. Svechnikov0.11 xG
  6. 3rd 19:21CARM. Necas0.03 xG
  7. OT 2:10WPGJ. Morrissey0.19 xG

Team Stats

CARWPG
27Shots on goal23
3.05Expected goals3.89
75Shot attempts43
145v5 shots on goal16
0/2Power play0/3
18Hits16
9Blocked shots20
6Penalty minutes4
6Giveaways9
4Takeaways8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CAR 3.05 xGWPG 3.89 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdOTWPG goal, 18:34WPG goal, 6:44WPG goal, 3:56CAR goal, 15:12CAR goal, 16:52CAR goal, 19:21WPG goal, 2:10

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CAR27 on goal, 3 scored
WPG23 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CAR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
S. AhoC033200+2221:553:03
A. SvechnikovRW112440-1017:563:06
M. NecasC101300+2020:312:45
S. JarvisRW011110+1018:410:28
J. StaalC000231-1218:540:00
J. MartinookLW000100-1018:120:00
S. NoesenRW000130+1016:213:01
J. FastRW000010-1015:510:21
J. KotkaniemiC000001-1010:570:19
J. DruryC000101009:130:00
D. StepanC000100008:120:00
P. StastnyC000002007:230:16
B. BurnsD011501+3025:253:22
J. SlavinD101111+2024:230:00
B. SkjeiD000301-2023:290:09
B. PesceD000210-2222:100:00
J. ChatfieldD000021-1012:040:00
C. de HaanD000020-1011:590:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
P. Kochetkov23194.82659:04OT loss
A. Raanta000–0:00

WPG Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
P. DuboisC123100+1019:152:18
B. WheelerRW022101+1019:063:03
C. PerfettiC011102+2013:301:22
D. GustafssonC011100+109:480:00
J. HarkinsC011101+106:510:00
M. EyssimontC101110+106:140:00
M. ScheifeleC000300-1223:332:32
K. ConnorLW000420-1021:482:38
S. GagnerC000301-2018:470:53
A. LowryC000400-1017:411:26
S. MaenalanenRW0000110013:160:00
A. Jonsson-FjallbyLW0000110012:310:00
J. MorrisseyD202221+1025:092:22
N. SchmidtD0000130023:301:23
N. PionkD0000410022:091:54
B. DillonD0001340221:090:00
D. SambergD0000130016:320:00
V. HeinolaD0000010011:480:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
D. Rittich27243.88962:03Win
C. Hellebuyck000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

  • HometownSeth Jarvis CAR Plays in his hometown1 A, 1 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.