Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
CBJ9
FinalTue, Dec 19, 2023Every game that night
BUF4

CBJ beat BUF 9-4, and the chances backed it up: 2.98 expected goals to 2.21. K. Marchenko scored three for CBJ. D. Tarasov stopped 25 of 29.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
CBJ3429
BUF1124
  1. 1st 0:30BUFR. Dahlin0.14 xG
  2. 1st 10:35CBJJ. Gaudreau0.01 xG
  3. 1st 14:40CBJA. Fantilli0.08 xG
  4. 1st 19:48CBJK. MarchenkoPP0.05 xG
  5. 2nd 7:37CBJK. Marchenko0.06 xG
  6. 2nd 7:55CBJK. Marchenko0.11 xG
  7. 2nd 8:52CBJE. Gudbranson0.08 xG
  8. 2nd 12:27CBJS. Kuraly0.08 xG
  9. 2nd 18:54BUFK. Okposo0.08 xG
  10. 3rd 2:57BUFT. ThompsonPP0.08 xG
  11. 3rd 7:51BUFD. Cozens0.04 xG
  12. 3rd 8:30CBJC. Sillinger0.16 xG
  13. 3rd 10:59CBJK. Johnson0.21 xG

Team Stats

CBJBUF
34Shots on goal29
2.98Expected goals2.21
56Shot attempts64
315v5 shots on goal21
1/2Power play1/3
13Hits26
16Blocked shots13
6Penalty minutes4
5Giveaways8
4Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CBJ 2.98 xGBUF 2.21 xGGoal

00.511.522.531st2nd3rdBUF goal, 0:30CBJ goal, 10:35CBJ goal, 14:40CBJ goal, 19:48CBJ goal, 7:37CBJ goal, 7:55CBJ goal, 8:52CBJ goal, 12:27BUF goal, 18:54BUF goal, 2:57BUF goal, 7:51CBJ goal, 8:30CBJ goal, 10:59

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CBJ34 on goal, 9 scored
BUF28 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CBJ Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
K. MarchenkoRW303400+1015:201:43
J. GaudreauLW1231000014:221:45
C. SillingerC112511+2015:470:09
E. ChinakhovRW022200+1015:301:47
S. KuralyC112320+3015:160:00
A. TexierLW022200+2014:330:00
A. FantilliC1122310014:300:53
K. JohnsonC112100+2013:541:00
E. BemstromC011320+2013:400:58
B. GaunceC011200+2012:320:00
J. DanforthRW0002100017:070:52
D. VoronkovLW0000010214:371:44
Z. WerenskiD022204+3023:321:56
I. ProvorovD022100+2022:200:40
A. PeekeD011012+1219:080:00
E. GudbransonD101313+1016:180:09
N. BlankenburgD000023+2018:420:00
J. BeanD000101+1217:500:09
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
D. Tarasov29254.86260:00Win
E. Merzlikins000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. MittelstadtC0220000017:172:44
D. CozensC112532+1016:041:46
Z. BensonLW011200-1019:032:18
K. OkposoRW101122-2217:261:04
T. ThompsonC101641-4017:223:51
J. PeterkaRW011300+1017:133:51
A. TuchRW011111-4013:573:16
V. OlofssonLW011110+1011:000:00
J. QuinnRW000120-2014:350:56
E. RobinsonLW000120-2013:170:00
P. KrebsC000230-3213:040:00
T. JostC0000010011:400:00
R. DahlinD112302-1024:043:51
M. SamuelssonD000232-2021:340:00
C. CliftonD0000310018:340:07
O. PowerD000001-4017:321:11
E. JohnsonD000100+1017:060:00
H. JokiharjuD000020-4016:380:15
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
D. Levi18144.77827:37
U. Luukkonen16115.68832:12Loss