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Game Recap
CBJ2
Final/OTSat, Dec 30, 2023Every game that night
BUF3

BUF beat CBJ 3-2 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 3.56 expected goals to 1.35. BUF outshot CBJ 42 to 20. O. Power led the way with 2 points (0 G, 2 A). U. Luukkonen stopped 18 of 20.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
CBJ11002
BUF01113
  1. 1st 19:47CBJD. Severson0.02 xG
  2. 2nd 0:40BUFJ. Quinn0.45 xG
  3. 2nd 13:45CBJA. Fantilli0.08 xG
  4. 3rd 11:52BUFC. Mittelstadt0.03 xG
  5. OT 1:20BUFJ. Skinner0.14 xG

Team Stats

CBJBUF
20Shots on goal42
1.35Expected goals3.56
36Shot attempts79
195v5 shots on goal39
0/1Power play0/1
18Hits15
21Blocked shots6
2Penalty minutes2
2Giveaways6
5Takeaways11

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CBJ 1.35 xGBUF 3.56 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdOTCBJ goal, 19:47BUF goal, 0:40CBJ goal, 13:45BUF goal, 11:52BUF goal, 1:20

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CBJ20 on goal, 2 scored
BUF42 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CBJ Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. DanforthRW0112210017:410:44
A. FantilliC101110+1217:100:48
E. ChinakhovRW0112110016:051:16
C. SillingerC011100+1015:460:00
D. VoronkovLW0112220014:241:14
J. GaudreauLW000100-1017:341:12
K. MarchenkoRW0001100015:291:14
J. RoslovicC000020-1015:020:00
K. JohnsonC0000000014:570:46
E. BemstromC0000100013:120:46
B. GaunceC000231-1012:570:00
A. TexierLW000010-1012:160:00
D. SeversonD1012020020:090:35
I. ProvorovD000202-2022:411:25
J. ChristiansenD0000140021:070:00
E. GudbransonD000113+1020:290:00
J. BeanD0001130018:570:00
D.JiricekD0002120016:040:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
D. Tarasov42393.92961:20OT loss
S. Martin000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
D. CozensC0116210020:111:18
J. QuinnRW101210+1018:381:18
J. SkinnerLW101700+1017:070:42
T. ThompsonC0116100016:571:02
C. MittelstadtC1014010015:530:42
Z. BensonLW0111110015:381:18
J. PeterkaRW000300+1019:040:58
A. TuchRW0001100016:340:42
J. GreenwayLW0002200015:470:00
K. OkposoRW000000-109:050:00
P. KrebsC000010028:570:00
E. RobinsonLW000110008:360:00
O. PowerD022402+2021:260:42
M. SamuelssonD0110110022:290:00
R. DahlinD000320-1025:341:18
H. JokiharjuD0001000021:420:00
C. CliftonD0001200015:120:00
R. JohnsonD0000000013:100:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen20182.90061:20Win
D. Levi000–0:00