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Game Recap
CBJ6
Final/OTThu, Dec 14, 2023Every game that night
TOR5

CBJ beat TOR 6-5 in overtime despite fewer good chances: 3.27 expected goals to 4.36. TOR outshot CBJ 48 to 35. A. Matthews led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). E. Merzlikins stopped 43 of 48.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
CBJ23016
TOR00505
  1. 1st 6:19CBJP. Laine0.23 xG
  2. 1st 11:56CBJK. Johnson0.05 xG
  3. 2nd 8:16CBJJ. Danforth0.06 xG
  4. 2nd 10:45CBJE. Chinakhov0.22 xG
  5. 2nd 14:19CBJJ. GaudreauPP0.08 xG
  6. 3rd 0:38TORW. Nylander0.20 xG
  7. 3rd 3:49TORM. Marner0.07 xG
  8. 3rd 14:21TORJ. McCabePP0.05 xG
  9. 3rd 18:45TORA. Matthews0.09 xG
  10. 3rd 19:15TORA. Matthews0.23 xG
  11. OT 3:26CBJK. Johnson0.16 xG

Team Stats

CBJTOR
35Shots on goal48
3.27Expected goals4.36
53Shot attempts102
255v5 shots on goal36
1/2Power play1/2
33Hits32
38Blocked shots7
6Penalty minutes6
8Giveaways11
10Takeaways9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CBJ 3.27 xGTOR 4.36 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdOTCBJ goal, 6:19CBJ goal, 11:56CBJ goal, 8:16CBJ goal, 10:45CBJ goal, 14:19TOR goal, 0:38TOR goal, 3:49TOR goal, 14:21TOR goal, 18:45TOR goal, 19:15CBJ goal, 3:26

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CBJ34 on goal, 6 scored
TOR48 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CBJ Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
K. JohnsonC213300+4014:231:10
E. ChinakhovRW1125310019:211:08
J. DanforthRW112234-1019:200:35
J. GaudreauLW101300-3020:551:43
P. LaineLW101110+207:410:00
A. FantilliC000301-1219:291:09
K. MarchenkoRW000323-1019:181:43
C. SillingerC000243+1216:500:00
D. VoronkovLW0003010015:121:09
S. KuralyC000131-1011:360:00
A. TexierLW000111+109:540:00
E. BemstromC000112009:150:35
Z. WerenskiD0222230029:051:44
I. ProvorovD0221230222:570:34
D.JiricekD022113+1015:430:00
A. PeekeD0110740019:350:00
N. BlankenburgD000235-1021:220:00
J. BeanD000103+1012:350:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
E. Merzlikins48435.89663:26Win
S. Martin000–0:00

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. MarnerRW123300+1025:243:18
A. MatthewsC213910+1024:423:34
W. NylanderRW11210000223:183:07
J. TavaresC022450+2020:243:16
N. RobertsonLW011300-1013:010:38
B. McMannC011320008:230:00
C. JarnkrokC000111+2018:320:23
T. BertuzziLW000110+1016:240:29
M. DomiC000230-2014:110:13
N. GregorLW000240-1013:590:00
D. KampfC0000010010:070:00
R. ReavesRW000010001:360:00
J. McCabeD101150-2024:020:10
C. TimminsD0111010017:190:53
W. LagessonD0113220415:270:00
M. RiellyD000421-1026:432:54
T. BrodieD000011-1021:270:00
S. BenoitD000140+1012:430:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
I. Samsonov35296.82961:44OT loss
M. Jones000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.