Game Recap: CGY 3, DAL 4 (OT), April 7, 2026

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Game Recap

CGY3

Final/OTTue, Apr 7, 2026Every game that night

DAL4

DAL beat CGY 4-3 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 3.72 expected goals to 2.05. W. Johnston led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). J. Oettinger stopped 17 of 20.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	T
CGY	0	2	1	0	3
DAL	0	1	2	1	4

2nd 4:30DALJ. Hryckowian0.32 xG
2nd 12:38CGYJ. Farabee0.16 xG
2nd 18:52CGYY. Sharangovich0.08 xG
3rd 0:26CGYZ. ParekhPP0.08 xG
3rd 1:16DALW. Johnston0.12 xG
3rd 4:51DALJ. Robertson0.24 xG
OT 3:39DALW. JohnstonPP0.14 xG

Team Stats

CGYDAL

20Shots on goal25

2.05Expected goals3.72

48Shot attempts52

175v5 shots on goal15

1/3Power play1/5

13Hits19

14Blocked shots16

10Penalty minutes4

20Giveaways16

7Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CGY 2.05 xGDAL 3.72 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CGY20 on goal, 3 scored

DAL25 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CGY Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
A. Klapka	RW	0	2	2	2	2	0	+2	0	9:12	0:16
M. Gridin	RW	0	1	1	1	0	0	-2	0	18:11	3:38
M. Coronato	RW	0	1	1	3	0	0	-1	2	17:17	2:44
J. Farabee	LW	1	0	1	3	0	0	-1	0	15:57	0:20
Y. Sharangovich	C	1	0	1	1	0	0	+1	0	15:49	0:49
B. Coleman	LW	0	0	0	3	2	1	-1	0	22:40	3:21
M. Backlund	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	21:38	1:08
M. Frost	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	-2	0	15:59	3:55
C. Zary	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	+2	2	13:48	1:19
R. Strome	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	13:10	1:09
A. Suniev	LW	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	11:16	1:11
M. Pospisil	C	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	2	7:58	0:00
O. Määttä	D	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	30:00	0:10
Z. Whitecloud	D	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	29:52	0:13
Z. Parekh	D	1	0	1	3	1	2	0	0	18:50	4:04
Y. Kuznetsov	D	0	0	0	1	1	5	-1	0	24:04	0:00
H. Brzustewicz	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	-1	0	18:01	1:13
K. Bahl	D	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1:15	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Cooley	25	21	4	.840	63:39	OT loss
D. Wolf	0	0	0	–	0:00

DAL Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
J. Robertson	LW	1	1	2	6	1	1	0	0	24:14	6:19
W. Johnston	C	2	0	2	5	2	1	0	0	22:12	6:07
M. Rantanen	RW	0	1	1	3	0	0	+1	0	21:08	6:50
M. Duchene	C	0	1	1	4	1	0	+1	0	18:37	4:05
J. Hryckowian	C	1	0	1	1	1	1	+1	0	16:16	2:28
M. Bourque	C	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	19:16	2:39
A. Hyry	RW	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	15:30	0:13
O. Bäck	C	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	13:53	0:07
J. Benn	LW	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	13:47	1:54
C. Blackwell	C	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	13:25	0:00
A. Erne	LW	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	10:56	0:05
M. Heiskanen	D	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	27:09	6:34
T. Harley	D	0	1	1	1	1	0	+1	0	20:11	2:17
T. Myers	D	0	1	1	1	1	2	+1	2	14:30	0:00
N. Lundkvist	D	0	1	1	0	0	3	+2	0	14:00	0:05
E. Lindell	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	20:36	1:41
L. Bichsel	D	0	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	13:42	0:00
I. Lyubushkin	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	-2	2	9:29	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Oettinger	20	17	3	.850	63:38	Win
C. DeSmith	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

CGY

Line 1M. Backlund14:12B. Coleman15:22M. Coronato14:32

Line 2M. Gridin14:26J. Farabee12:51M. Frost11:52

Line 3Y. Sharangovich12:43C. Zary12:21A. Klapka8:48

Line 4R. Strome11:01A. Suniev10:05M. Pospisil7:58

Pair 1O. Määttä22:29H. Brzustewicz16:41

Pair 2Z. Whitecloud23:03Y. Kuznetsov19:36

DAL

Line 1W. Johnston15:51M. Rantanen14:17J. Robertson16:58

Line 2A. Erne10:51A. Hyry12:15J. Benn11:45

Line 3M. Duchene13:43M. Bourque16:37

Line 4O. Bäck10:21J. Hryckowian12:00C. Blackwell11:29

Pair 1E. Lindell14:39M. Heiskanen15:29

Pair 2T. Myers13:39L. Bichsel13:34

Pair 3T. Harley17:01N. Lundkvist13:55

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	CGY 2.5, DAL 3.4	CGY 3, DAL 4
Total goals	5.8	7
Shots on goal	CGY 24.8, DAL 28.0	CGY 20, DAL 25
Win chance	DAL 65%	DAL won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
DAL J. Robertson	3.7	6	1.25	2	41%	1
DAL W. Johnston	2.6	5	0.97	2	37%	2
DAL M. Rantanen	2.4	3	1.20	1	36%	0
CGY B. Coleman	2.3	3	0.49	0	21%	0
CGY M. Backlund	2.0	1	0.46	0	17%	0
DAL M. Bourque	2.0	2	0.55	0	21%	0
DAL M. Heiskanen	1.9	1	0.68	1	10%	0
CGY M. Coronato	1.9	3	0.44	1	17%	0
DAL M. Duchene	1.8	4	0.85	1	28%	0
CGY M. Gridin	1.7	1	0.46	1	15%	0
DAL T. Harley	1.7	1	0.49	1	11%	0
DAL J. Benn	1.5	0	0.66	0	22%	0
CGY Y. Sharangovich	1.5	1	0.37	1	18%	1
CGY J. Farabee	1.5	3	0.37	1	16%	1
CGY M. Frost	1.5	1	0.42	0	16%	0
DAL A. Hyry	1.3	1	0.28	0	12%	0
DAL J. Hryckowian	1.3	1	0.43	1	17%	1
CGY R. Strome	1.2	0	0.39	0	12%	0
CGY C. Zary	1.2	0	0.30	0	13%	0
DAL C. Blackwell	1.1	0	0.26	0	11%	0
DAL N. Lundkvist	1.1	0	0.21	1	4%	0
CGY H. Brzustewicz	1.1	0	0.24	0	5%	0
DAL T. Myers	1.1	1	0.19	1	3%	0
CGY Z. Whitecloud	1.1	1	0.22	1	6%	0
CGY Z. Parekh	1.1	3	0.25	1	7%	1
DAL E. Lindell	1.0	0	0.30	0	6%	0
CGY O. Määttä	1.0	0	0.27	1	5%	0
CGY Y. Kuznetsov	1.0	1	0.18	0	5%	0
DAL A. Erne	0.9	0	0.21	0	10%	0
CGY M. Pospisil	0.9	0	0.19	0	6%	0
CGY A. Klapka	0.9	2	0.19	2	9%	0
CGY K. Bahl	0.8	0	0.22	0	4%	0
DAL L. Bichsel	0.8	0	0.18	0	6%	0
DAL O. Bäck	0.7	0	0.23	0	9%	0
DAL I. Lyubushkin	0.6	0	0.14	0	2%	0

Shots on goal: 20 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.