Game Recap: CGY 5, NJD 4, March 12, 2026

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Game Recap

CGY5

FinalThu, Mar 12, 2026Every game that night

NJD4

CGY beat NJD 5-4 despite fewer good chances: 2.36 expected goals to 4.22. J. Beecher led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). J. Beecher had 4 shots on goal against our projection of 0.7. D. Wolf stopped 28 of 32.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
CGY	2	2	1	5
NJD	1	1	2	4

1st 5:04CGYJ. Beecher0.08 xG
1st 14:07CGYK. Bahl0.02 xG
1st 16:14NJDM. Tsyplakov0.05 xG
2nd 0:54CGYJ. BeecherSH0.14 xG
2nd 1:36NJDS. NemecPP0.24 xG
2nd 16:48CGYY. Sharangovich0.14 xG
3rd 4:10CGYM. Backlund0.12 xG
3rd 9:38NJDJ. Hughes0.08 xG
3rd 19:56NJDL. HughesPP0.16 xG

Team Stats

CGYNJD

29Shots on goal32

2.36Expected goals4.22

40Shot attempts79

245v5 shots on goal18

0/0Power play2/3

22Hits14

20Blocked shots8

6Penalty minutes0

18Giveaways15

5Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CGY 2.36 xGNJD 4.22 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CGY26 on goal, 5 scored

NJD32 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CGY Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
J. Beecher	C	2	0	2	4	0	3	+1	0	15:15	0:00
M. Backlund	C	1	0	1	3	0	0	+1	0	18:07	0:00
Y. Sharangovich	C	1	0	1	2	1	0	+1	0	16:37	0:00
J. Farabee	LW	0	1	1	0	1	1	+2	0	16:25	0:00
V. Olofsson	LW	0	1	1	0	0	0	+2	0	16:18	0:00
R. Strome	C	0	1	1	1	0	0	+2	0	15:02	0:00
A. Klapka	RW	0	1	1	1	6	1	-1	0	11:58	0:00
M. Gridin	RW	0	1	1	2	0	1	0	0	10:55	0:00
B. Coleman	LW	0	0	0	4	3	2	+1	0	17:20	0:00
M. Coronato	RW	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	13:07	0:00
C. Zary	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	12:15	0:00
M. Frost	C	0	0	0	0	0	1	-1	0	11:41	0:00
K. Bahl	D	1	0	1	2	2	2	+1	0	27:33	0:00
O. Määttä	D	0	1	1	2	1	2	+1	0	27:19	0:00
B. Pachal	D	0	1	1	1	4	1	+2	0	16:05	0:00
Y. Kuznetsov	D	0	0	0	2	3	2	+1	0	17:09	0:00
J. Hanley	D	0	0	0	2	0	3	+1	6	16:41	0:00
H. Brzustewicz	D	0	0	0	3	1	1	0	0	15:23	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Wolf	32	28	4	.875	60:00	Win
D. Cooley	0	0	0	–	0:00

NJD Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	TOI	PP TOI
J. Hughes	C	1	1	2	5	0	0	-3	20:57	3:57
J. Bratt	LW	0	2	2	1	0	1	-2	20:11	3:57
N. Bjugstad	C	0	1	1	1	0	0	+1	11:15	0:00
M. Tsyplakov	RW	1	0	1	1	3	0	+1	11:13	0:00
N. Hischier	C	0	0	0	1	1	1	-1	20:59	3:57
C. Brown	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	-2	17:20	3:06
A. Gritsyuk	RW	0	0	0	3	0	0	-2	17:10	0:42
T. Meier	RW	0	0	0	4	1	1	0	16:40	1:44
D. Mercer	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	15:49	0:53
C. Glass	C	0	0	0	1	1	1	-1	14:19	0:11
L. Hameenaho	RW	0	0	0	3	1	0	-1	12:28	0:00
P. Cotter	LW	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	11:07	0:00
L. Hughes	D	1	1	2	5	0	1	-1	25:03	2:33
D. Hamilton	D	0	1	1	2	2	0	-1	21:32	2:17
S. Nemec	D	1	0	1	1	2	1	-2	21:22	1:44
B. Dillon	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	-1	16:31	0:00
J. Kovacevic	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	16:30	0:00
J. Siegenthaler	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	13:39	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Markstrom	29	24	5	.828	55:55	Loss
J. Allen	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

CGY

Line 1V. Olofsson15:01Y. Sharangovich15:54R. Strome14:18

Line 2M. Backlund13:46B. Coleman13:13J. Farabee11:53

Line 3M. Coronato13:07M. Frost11:41M. Gridin10:55

Line 4C. Zary11:48A. Klapka11:58J. Beecher12:05

Pair 1O. Määttä21:30K. Bahl21:29

Pair 2J. Hanley15:56B. Pachal14:49

Pair 3Y. Kuznetsov14:54H. Brzustewicz15:23

NJD

Line 1N. Hischier14:06D. Mercer12:43T. Meier11:51

Line 2A. Gritsyuk16:28L. Hameenaho12:28C. Glass13:50

Line 3J. Bratt13:12J. Hughes14:19C. Brown13:10

Line 4N. Bjugstad11:15M. Tsyplakov11:13P. Cotter11:07

Pair 1B. Dillon16:31S. Nemec19:01

Pair 2J. Kovacevic16:30L. Hughes21:46

Pair 3D. Hamilton16:45J. Siegenthaler13:25

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamMaxim Tsyplakov CGY First game back in Newark, his team until Apr 20261 G, 1 SOG
Old teamSimon Nemec CGY First game back in Newark, his team until Apr 20261 G, 1 SOG
Old teamKevin Bahl CGY Faces NJD, his team until Apr 20241 G, 2 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	CGY 2.7, NJD 3.2	CGY 5, NJD 4
Total goals	5.9	9
Shots on goal	CGY 26.4, NJD 31.9	CGY 29, NJD 32
Win chance	NJD 59%	CGY won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
NJD J. Hughes	3.7	5	1.13	2	36%	1
NJD T. Meier	3.5	4	0.64	0	30%	0
NJD D. Hamilton	3.0	2	0.59	1	14%	0
NJD N. Hischier	2.7	1	0.87	0	32%	0
NJD J. Bratt	2.4	1	0.90	2	25%	0
CGY M. Coronato	2.2	0	0.46	0	20%	0
CGY M. Backlund	2.2	3	0.49	1	18%	1
CGY B. Coleman	2.2	4	0.47	0	21%	0
NJD A. Gritsyuk	2.2	3	0.46	0	17%	0
NJD C. Brown	1.9	1	0.61	0	20%	0
NJD L. Hughes	1.9	5	0.48	2	7%	1
NJD D. Mercer	1.8	1	0.46	0	21%	0
CGY M. Gridin	1.7	2	0.38	1	16%	0
CGY J. Farabee	1.7	0	0.42	1	19%	0
CGY Y. Sharangovich	1.7	2	0.43	1	21%	1
NJD C. Glass	1.6	1	0.38	0	16%	0
CGY C. Zary	1.6	0	0.41	0	17%	0
CGY V. Olofsson	1.6	0	0.37	1	19%	0
CGY M. Frost	1.5	0	0.42	0	16%	0
NJD S. Nemec	1.5	1	0.34	1	9%	1
NJD N. Bjugstad	1.4	1	0.24	1	13%	0
NJD L. Hameenaho	1.3	3	0.32	0	13%	0
CGY R. Strome	1.2	1	0.38	1	12%	0
CGY Y. Kuznetsov	1.1	2	0.21	0	6%	0
CGY A. Klapka	1.1	1	0.24	1	12%	0
CGY K. Bahl	1.0	2	0.24	1	4%	1
CGY H. Brzustewicz	1.0	3	0.17	0	5%	0
NJD J. Kovacevic	0.9	1	0.18	0	3%	0
CGY B. Pachal	0.9	1	0.15	1	3%	0
NJD M. Tsyplakov	0.8	1	0.18	1	7%	1
CGY O. Määttä	0.8	2	0.20	1	4%	0
NJD J. Siegenthaler	0.8	0	0.14	0	2%	0
CGY J. Beecher	0.7	4	0.15	2	7%	2
NJD B. Dillon	0.7	0	0.19	0	4%	0
NJD P. Cotter	0.7	1	0.17	0	10%	0
CGY J. Hanley	0.7	2	0.13	0	2%	0

Shots on goal: 21 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.