Game Recap: CGY 5, VAN 2, November 23, 2025

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Game Recap

CGY5

FinalSun, Nov 23, 2025Every game that night

VAN2

CGY beat VAN 5-2, with the chances close: 3.18 expected goals to 3.26. VAN outshot CGY 31 to 21. R. Andersson led the way with 3 points (0 G, 3 A). Q. Hughes had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 2.6. D. Wolf stopped 29 of 31.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
CGY	2	2	1	5
VAN	1	0	1	2

1st 1:05VANF. Hronek0.16 xG
1st 7:33CGYM. Frost0.04 xG
1st 8:08CGYC. Zary0.43 xG
2nd 10:37CGYK. Bahl0.04 xG
2nd 16:31CGYY. Sharangovich0.28 xG
3rd 7:59CGYB. ColemanSH0.09 xG
3rd 8:16VANQ. HughesPP0.13 xG

Team Stats

CGYVAN

21Shots on goal31

3.18Expected goals3.26

44Shot attempts66

175v5 shots on goal19

0/4Power play1/4

15Hits17

15Blocked shots11

8Penalty minutes8

18Giveaways19

3Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CGY 3.18 xGVAN 3.26 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CGY20 on goal, 5 scored

VAN30 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CGY Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Backlund	C	0	2	2	2	1	0	+2	0	18:16	3:07
B. Coleman	LW	1	1	2	2	2	0	+2	2	16:24	0:04
N. Kadri	C	0	2	2	2	1	0	+2	0	15:35	4:10
M. Coronato	RW	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	16:51	4:05
M. Frost	C	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	16:49	4:12
Y. Sharangovich	C	1	0	1	1	0	0	+2	0	16:01	3:35
C. Zary	C	1	0	1	1	1	1	+1	0	14:27	3:39
J. Huberdeau	LW	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	19:11	4:34
J. Farabee	LW	0	0	0	2	0	0	+2	0	17:21	1:42
J. Beecher	C	0	0	0	3	1	1	0	0	11:29	0:21
R. Lomberg	LW	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	10:27	0:02
A. Klapka	RW	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	8:00	2:02
R. Andersson	D	0	3	3	2	0	1	+4	0	24:46	4:14
K. Bahl	D	1	0	1	3	0	1	+4	2	19:32	0:01
M. Weegar	D	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	23:00	3:38
Y. Kuznetsov	D	0	0	0	2	2	4	0	0	20:42	0:24
J. Hanley	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	13:36	0:10
B. Pachal	D	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	10:58	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Wolf	31	29	2	.935	60:00	Win
D. Cooley	0	0	0	–	0:00

VAN Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
J. DeBrusk	LW	0	1	1	3	0	1	-1	0	18:49	3:52
E. Pettersson	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	-1	2	20:36	4:16
C. Garland	RW	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	20:10	2:26
B. Boeser	RW	0	0	0	3	0	0	-1	0	18:47	4:28
K. Sherwood	LW	0	0	0	2	2	0	-2	0	17:30	3:53
E. Kane	LW	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	2	15:40	2:21
D. O'Connor	LW	0	0	0	0	1	0	-1	2	14:18	1:26
D. Kampf	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	14:07	0:02
L. Karlsson	C	0	0	0	2	0	0	-2	0	11:24	2:00
A. Räty	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	-1	0	9:56	0:00
M. Sasson	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	-2	0	9:38	0:00
M. MacEachern	LW	0	0	0	1	0	0	-2	0	8:45	0:00
Q. Hughes	D	1	0	1	6	0	1	-2	0	30:05	5:04
F. Hronek	D	1	0	1	3	0	3	0	0	24:50	2:14
M. Pettersson	D	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	21:17	0:55
T. Myers	D	0	0	0	1	3	2	-1	2	18:28	0:00
T. Willander	D	0	0	0	2	2	1	-2	0	14:00	1:32
E. Pettersson	D	0	0	0	2	0	3	-2	0	8:29	0:15

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
K. Lankinen	21	16	5	.762	55:11	Loss
J. Patera	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

CGY

Line 1M. Coronato12:45M. Frost12:36J. Huberdeau11:13

Line 2N. Kadri10:05J. Farabee11:47Y. Sharangovich10:28

Line 3M. Backlund10:47C. Zary10:12B. Coleman12:09

Line 4R. Lomberg10:25J. Beecher8:45A. Klapka5:58

Pair 1R. Andersson15:28K. Bahl15:43

Pair 2M. Weegar14:48Y. Kuznetsov15:29

Pair 3J. Hanley12:29B. Pachal10:58

VAN

Line 1J. DeBrusk12:14E. Pettersson13:35E. Kane12:03

Line 2C. Garland11:45B. Boeser11:21D. Kampf10:53

Line 3K. Sherwood9:14A. Räty8:33D. O'Connor10:50

Line 4M. MacEachern8:45M. Sasson9:38L. Karlsson8:10

Pair 1T. Myers14:13Q. Hughes22:03

Pair 2M. Pettersson14:41F. Hronek17:38

Pair 3E. Pettersson5:49T. Willander10:40

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

HometownKevin Bahl CGY Plays near home (born in New Westminster)1 G, 3 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	CGY 2.9, VAN 3.2	CGY 5, VAN 2
Total goals	6.1	7
Shots on goal	CGY 28.8, VAN 27.3	CGY 21, VAN 31
Win chance	VAN 56%	CGY won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
CGY N. Kadri	3.2	2	0.85	2	29%	0
VAN E. Kane	3.0	2	0.65	0	31%	0
VAN Q. Hughes	2.6	6	1.06	1	13%	1
VAN J. DeBrusk	2.6	3	0.64	1	31%	0
CGY M. Coronato	2.4	0	0.55	1	22%	0
VAN C. Garland	2.3	2	0.65	0	24%	0
VAN B. Boeser	2.3	3	0.78	0	33%	0
VAN E. Pettersson	2.1	0	0.98	0	33%	0
VAN K. Sherwood	2.1	2	0.67	0	28%	0
CGY M. Backlund	2.1	2	0.46	2	17%	0
CGY R. Andersson	2.0	2	0.49	3	13%	0
CGY B. Coleman	2.0	2	0.45	2	20%	1
CGY M. Weegar	2.0	0	0.44	0	10%	0
CGY J. Farabee	1.8	2	0.40	0	17%	0
CGY M. Frost	1.8	1	0.51	1	16%	1
CGY J. Huberdeau	1.6	0	0.68	0	20%	0
CGY C. Zary	1.5	1	0.37	1	15%	1
CGY Y. Sharangovich	1.5	1	0.46	1	20%	1
VAN D. O'Connor	1.4	0	0.36	0	16%	0
VAN F. Hronek	1.4	3	0.49	1	6%	1
VAN L. Karlsson	1.3	2	0.30	0	13%	0
CGY A. Klapka	1.3	0	0.31	0	14%	0
VAN T. Myers	1.2	1	0.29	0	4%	0
CGY Y. Kuznetsov	1.2	2	0.18	0	5%	0
VAN M. Sasson	1.1	0	0.28	0	15%	0
VAN A. Räty	1.0	1	0.32	0	15%	0
CGY K. Bahl	1.0	3	0.23	1	5%	1
VAN D. Kampf	0.9	0	0.25	0	10%	0
VAN M. MacEachern	0.9	1	0.26	0	9%	0
VAN M. Pettersson	0.9	1	0.31	0	4%	0
CGY R. Lomberg	0.8	0	0.14	0	7%	0
CGY B. Pachal	0.7	0	0.16	0	3%	0
CGY J. Hanley	0.7	0	0.15	0	3%	0
VAN E. Pettersson	0.6	2	0.12	0	3%	0
VAN T. Willander	0.6	2	0.21	0	3%	0
CGY J. Beecher	0.6	3	0.14	0	7%	0

Shots on goal: 22 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.