Game Recap: CHI 3, NJD 5, March 29, 2026

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Game Recap

CHI3

FinalSun, Mar 29, 2026Every game that night

NJD5

NJD beat CHI 5-3, and the chances backed it up: 5.97 expected goals to 3.64. NJD outshot CHI 40 to 31. J. Hughes led the way with 4 points (2 G, 2 A). T. Meier had 9 shots on goal against our projection of 3.5. J. Allen stopped 28 of 31.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
CHI	2	0	1	3
NJD	1	1	3	5

1st 4:19CHII. Mikheyev0.15 xG
1st 11:15NJDC. BrownPP0.07 xG
1st 13:11CHIF. Nazar0.26 xG
2nd 15:48NJDS. Nemec0.13 xG
3rd 10:51CHIF. NazarPP0.19 xG
3rd 14:32NJDD. Hamilton0.04 xG
3rd 14:51NJDJ. Hughes0.13 xG
3rd 19:29NJDJ. HughesEN0.79 xG

Team Stats

CHINJD

31Shots on goal40

3.64Expected goals5.97

65Shot attempts88

235v5 shots on goal35

1/3Power play1/2

13Hits23

20Blocked shots14

4Penalty minutes6

15Giveaways23

2Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CHI 3.64 xGNJD 5.97 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CHI31 on goal, 3 scored

NJD39 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CHI Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
F. Nazar	C	2	0	2	7	2	1	-2	0	19:00	3:29
A. Frondell	C	0	2	2	3	1	0	-1	0	16:52	3:33
C. Bedard	C	0	1	1	6	1	1	-1	0	20:40	3:29
I. Mikheyev	RW	1	0	1	2	0	1	0	0	16:14	0:03
R. Donato	C	0	1	1	1	0	0	-2	0	14:52	1:35
A. Burakovsky	LW	0	1	1	0	0	1	-1	0	14:16	1:29
T. Bertuzzi	LW	0	0	0	3	0	1	-1	0	17:35	3:29
T. Teravainen	C	0	0	0	0	0	1	-1	0	16:11	3:29
R. Greene	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	16:02	1:32
N. Lardis	LW	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	15:37	1:31
L. Slaggert	LW	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	12:41	0:00
S. Boisvert	C	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	9:36	0:00
L. Crevier	D	0	1	1	1	1	4	0	0	18:58	0:01
W. Kaiser	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	2	22:27	0:00
S. Rinzel	D	0	0	0	1	0	3	-1	0	20:49	1:34
A. Vlasic	D	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	20:13	0:06
E. Del Mastro	D	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	14:26	0:00
K. Korchinski	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	12:09	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
S. Knight	39	35	4	.897	59:02	Loss
A. Soderblom	0	0	0	–	0:00

NJD Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
J. Hughes	C	2	2	4	8	0	0	+2	0	22:12	1:41
N. Hischier	C	0	2	2	2	1	1	+2	0	21:25	1:57
D. Mercer	C	0	1	1	2	0	1	+2	0	21:10	0:47
C. Brown	RW	1	0	1	3	0	0	+1	0	19:27	1:33
T. Meier	RW	0	1	1	9	1	0	+1	0	19:19	0:48
J. Bratt	LW	0	1	1	1	1	0	+1	0	17:54	1:32
C. Glass	C	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	2	11:31	0:00
L. Hameenaho	RW	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	2	11:02	0:39
E. Dadonov	LW	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	9:47	0:00
P. Cotter	LW	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	7:36	0:00
M. Tsyplakov	RW	0	0	0	0	3	0	-1	0	7:21	0:00
N. Bjugstad	C	0	0	0	1	4	1	-1	2	7:04	0:00
L. Hughes	D	0	1	1	1	0	1	+1	0	22:07	1:37
J. Siegenthaler	D	0	1	1	2	3	2	+1	0	20:37	0:00
J. Kovacevic	D	0	1	1	0	2	0	+2	0	20:10	0:00
D. Hamilton	D	1	0	1	4	4	3	+1	0	18:55	0:43
S. Nemec	D	1	0	1	3	0	2	-1	0	16:55	0:23
B. Dillon	D	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	19:31	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Allen	31	28	3	.903	60:00	Win
J. Markstrom	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

CHI

Line 1C. Bedard16:13N. Lardis14:06R. Greene13:11

Line 2I. Mikheyev15:17A. Frondell12:21T. Bertuzzi13:08

Line 3F. Nazar14:33A. Burakovsky12:47R. Donato12:19

Line 4T. Teravainen10:18L. Slaggert11:40S. Boisvert9:36

Pair 1S. Rinzel19:15W. Kaiser21:26

Pair 2A. Vlasic18:48L. Crevier17:26

Pair 3E. Mastro13:37K. Korchinski12:09

NJD

Line 1J. Bratt16:22J. Hughes19:51C. Brown15:30

Line 2T. Meier18:03D. Mercer16:37N. Hischier15:38

Line 3C. Glass10:31L. Hameenaho10:23E. Dadonov9:47

Line 4P. Cotter7:36M. Tsyplakov7:21N. Bjugstad7:04

Pair 1L. Hughes19:28J. Kovacevic17:28

Pair 2B. Dillon15:56S. Nemec16:26

Pair 3J. Siegenthaler18:19D. Hamilton15:50

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	CHI 2.6, NJD 3.2	CHI 3, NJD 5
Total goals	5.8	8
Shots on goal	CHI 23.1, NJD 32.2	CHI 31, NJD 40
Win chance	NJD 60%	NJD won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
NJD J. Hughes	3.9	8	1.19	4	37%	2
NJD T. Meier	3.5	9	0.67	1	32%	0
CHI C. Bedard	2.8	6	0.93	1	30%	0
NJD D. Hamilton	2.8	4	0.62	1	17%	1
NJD N. Hischier	2.7	2	0.83	2	31%	0
NJD J. Bratt	2.3	1	0.91	1	26%	0
NJD L. Hughes	2.1	1	0.57	1	10%	0
NJD C. Brown	1.9	3	0.64	1	21%	1
CHI F. Nazar	1.9	7	0.62	2	22%	2
CHI T. Bertuzzi	1.9	3	0.68	0	28%	0
NJD D. Mercer	1.8	2	0.46	1	22%	0
CHI S. Rinzel	1.7	1	0.34	0	6%	0
CHI I. Mikheyev	1.5	2	0.42	1	21%	1
NJD C. Glass	1.5	1	0.36	0	16%	0
CHI R. Greene	1.5	0	0.41	0	16%	0
CHI L. Crevier	1.5	1	0.22	1	6%	0
NJD L. Hameenaho	1.5	1	0.29	0	12%	0
NJD S. Nemec	1.4	3	0.36	1	11%	1
CHI R. Donato	1.3	1	0.42	1	19%	0
NJD E. Dadonov	1.2	0	0.35	0	15%	0
CHI A. Burakovsky	1.2	0	0.43	1	16%	0
NJD N. Bjugstad	1.2	1	0.21	0	11%	0
CHI N. Lardis	1.2	4	0.38	0	17%	0
CHI A. Vlasic	1.1	0	0.28	0	3%	0
CHI W. Kaiser	1.1	0	0.21	0	6%	0
CHI T. Teravainen	1.0	0	0.48	0	17%	0
NJD J. Kovacevic	1.0	0	0.21	1	5%	0
NJD M. Tsyplakov	1.0	0	0.20	0	7%	0
NJD J. Siegenthaler	0.8	2	0.18	1	3%	0
CHI L. Slaggert	0.8	1	0.15	0	7%	0
CHI K. Korchinski	0.8	0	0.12	0	4%	0
CHI E. Mastro	0.8	1	0.15	0	4%	0
NJD P. Cotter	0.7	0	0.19	0	11%	0
NJD B. Dillon	0.7	2	0.22	0	5%	0

Shots on goal: 15 of 34 players within one of their projection; they took 0.4 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.