Game Recap: CHI 4, OTT 6, December 20, 2025

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Game Recap

CHI4

FinalSat, Dec 20, 2025Every game that night

OTT6

OTT beat CHI 6-4, and the chances backed it up: 5.45 expected goals to 1.62. OTT outshot CHI 40 to 24. T. Stützle led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). B. Tkachuk had 10 shots on goal against our projection of 4.3. L. Meriläinen stopped 20 of 24.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
CHI	0	3	1	4
OTT	1	2	3	6

1st 6:36OTTB. Tkachuk0.46 xG
2nd 1:53CHII. Mikheyev0.10 xG
2nd 8:02OTTT. StützleSH0.31 xG
2nd 9:55CHIA. BurakovskyPP0.05 xG
2nd 14:07OTTB. Tkachuk0.12 xG
2nd 18:32CHII. Mikheyev0.19 xG
3rd 1:45OTTD. PerronPP0.12 xG
3rd 5:31OTTD. Perron0.14 xG
3rd 7:17CHIN. Lardis0.15 xG
3rd 16:10OTTF. Zetterlund0.12 xG

Team Stats

CHIOTT

24Shots on goal40

1.62Expected goals5.45

41Shot attempts81

175v5 shots on goal30

1/3Power play1/6

21Hits29

17Blocked shots8

24Penalty minutes6

13Giveaways7

5Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CHI 1.62 xGOTT 5.45 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CHI23 on goal, 4 scored

OTT40 on goal, 6 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CHI Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
R. Greene	C	0	2	2	2	3	1	-3	2	22:46	2:26
I. Mikheyev	RW	2	0	2	2	0	1	+2	0	17:58	0:00
A. Burakovsky	LW	1	0	1	4	0	0	-4	0	16:26	2:52
R. Donato	C	0	1	1	2	2	0	0	14	15:12	1:58
O. Moore	C	0	1	1	0	0	0	+1	0	12:09	1:23
N. Lardis	LW	1	0	1	1	1	0	+1	0	8:13	1:23
T. Teravainen	C	0	0	0	1	0	1	-2	0	19:58	2:17
T. Bertuzzi	LW	0	0	0	1	1	2	-4	0	18:10	2:52
J. Dickinson	C	0	0	0	2	1	1	+2	2	17:39	0:00
C. Dach	C	0	0	0	1	4	0	-1	0	13:49	1:45
S. Lafferty	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	+1	0	9:28	0:04
F. Nazar	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1:58	0:00
A. Levshunov	D	0	1	1	2	1	3	-4	2	23:21	2:49
W. Kaiser	D	0	1	1	0	1	3	+1	0	19:51	0:39
A. Vlasic	D	0	1	1	1	0	0	+1	0	19:42	0:00
C. Murphy	D	0	0	0	2	5	2	-1	0	18:43	0:00
M. Grzelcyk	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	-3	4	17:48	0:47
L. Crevier	D	0	0	0	3	1	1	+3	0	16:42	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
A. Soderblom	40	34	6	.850	58:53	Loss
S. Knight	0	0	0	–	0:00

OTT Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
T. Stützle	C	1	2	3	1	2	0	+4	2	19:43	5:06
C. Giroux	RW	0	2	2	2	1	0	-2	0	20:32	6:36
B. Tkachuk	LW	2	0	2	10	4	1	+1	0	19:25	6:45
F. Zetterlund	LW	1	1	2	6	3	0	+3	0	16:22	3:52
D. Perron	LW	2	0	2	2	1	0	0	0	11:57	4:02
R. Greig	C	0	1	1	0	1	0	-1	0	14:57	0:00
O. Lycksell	RW	0	1	1	1	2	1	0	0	7:17	0:00
D. Batherson	RW	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	18:51	5:51
D. Cozens	C	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	17:32	5:30
M. Amadio	RW	0	0	0	1	1	1	+1	0	15:05	0:00
N. Cousins	C	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	11:15	0:00
S. Halliday	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	-1	0	11:06	4:07
T. Chabot	D	0	1	1	2	0	1	-1	0	26:37	4:31
T. Kleven	D	0	1	1	0	0	1	+1	0	6:47	0:00
J. Sanderson	D	0	0	0	2	1	2	+2	0	27:17	6:34
A. Zub	D	0	0	0	3	2	1	+1	2	19:40	0:00
J. Spence	D	0	0	0	3	1	0	+2	0	16:43	2:18
N. Jensen	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	2	14:27	0:03

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
L. Meriläinen	24	20	4	.833	59:25	Win
L. Ullmark	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

CHI

Line 1T. Bertuzzi14:00A. Burakovsky12:16R. Greene15:12

Line 2J. Dickinson11:31I. Mikheyev11:31O. Moore9:52

Line 3T. Teravainen11:39R. Donato12:42C. Dach11:34

Line 4S. Lafferty9:09N. Lardis6:35

Pair 1M. Grzelcyk15:12A. Levshunov18:28

Pair 2C. Murphy11:17W. Kaiser15:33

Pair 3A. Vlasic12:11L. Crevier13:25

OTT

Line 1B. Tkachuk12:25T. Stützle13:07F. Zetterlund12:15

Line 2M. Amadio12:12R. Greig11:29C. Giroux11:08

Line 3D. Batherson12:07D. Cozens10:53D. Perron7:29

Line 4O. Lycksell7:17S. Halliday6:59N. Cousins10:55

Pair 1N. Jensen13:26T. Chabot20:29

Pair 2J. Sanderson16:43A. Zub15:08

Pair 3J. Spence14:25T. Kleven5:38

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamAndre Burakovsky OTT First game against CHI since he left (his team until Apr 2026)1 G, 4 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	CHI 2.5, OTT 3.2	CHI 4, OTT 6
Total goals	5.7	10
Shots on goal	CHI 23.1, OTT 30.2	CHI 24, OTT 40
Win chance	OTT 62%	OTT won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
OTT B. Tkachuk	4.3	10	0.90	2	34%	2
OTT T. Stützle	2.6	1	1.03	3	31%	1
OTT J. Sanderson	2.5	2	0.79	0	15%	0
OTT D. Cozens	2.5	2	0.67	0	24%	0
OTT D. Batherson	2.5	2	0.88	0	29%	0
OTT F. Zetterlund	2.1	6	0.46	2	20%	1
CHI F. Nazar	1.9	0	0.58	0	20%	0
CHI T. Bertuzzi	1.9	1	0.64	0	27%	0
OTT T. Chabot	1.8	2	0.58	1	13%	0
CHI I. Mikheyev	1.8	2	0.39	2	20%	2
OTT C. Giroux	1.8	2	0.67	2	22%	0
OTT R. Greig	1.7	0	0.40	1	16%	0
OTT D. Perron	1.7	2	0.54	2	22%	2
OTT M. Amadio	1.7	1	0.51	0	22%	0
CHI R. Donato	1.6	2	0.46	1	19%	0
CHI A. Burakovsky	1.6	4	0.64	1	20%	1
OTT J. Spence	1.4	3	0.48	0	7%	0
OTT T. Kleven	1.4	0	0.21	1	5%	0
CHI R. Greene	1.3	2	0.33	2	15%	0
CHI A. Levshunov	1.2	2	0.36	1	3%	0
OTT S. Halliday	1.2	1	0.20	0	7%	0
CHI T. Teravainen	1.2	1	0.57	0	19%	0
CHI J. Dickinson	1.2	2	0.32	0	15%	0
CHI L. Crevier	1.2	3	0.22	0	6%	0
OTT A. Zub	1.2	3	0.35	0	8%	0
CHI C. Dach	1.1	1	0.24	0	10%	0
CHI M. Grzelcyk	1.1	0	0.30	0	3%	0
CHI O. Moore	1.1	0	0.31	1	10%	0
CHI W. Kaiser	1.0	0	0.19	1	5%	0
OTT O. Lycksell	1.0	1	0.25	1	8%	0
OTT N. Cousins	1.0	1	0.24	0	10%	0
CHI C. Murphy	0.9	2	0.15	0	4%	0
CHI A. Vlasic	0.9	1	0.18	1	3%	0
OTT N. Jensen	0.8	1	0.24	0	4%	0
CHI S. Lafferty	0.6	0	0.15	0	8%	0

Shots on goal: 21 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.