Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
COL2
Final/SOWed, Mar 15, 2023Every game that night
TOR1

COL beat TOR 2-1 in a shootout, and the chances backed it up: 3.23 expected goals to 1.79. COL outshot TOR 29 to 18. A. Georgiev stopped 17 of 18.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdSOT
COL10012
TOR10001
  1. 1st 3:41TORM. Rielly0.01 xG
  2. 1st 14:08COLM. RantanenPP0.12 xG

Team Stats

COLTOR
29Shots on goal18
3.23Expected goals1.79
66Shot attempts39
195v5 shots on goal15
1/5Power play0/3
22Hits21
12Blocked shots22
6Penalty minutes8
9Giveaways10
6Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

COL 3.23 xGTOR 1.79 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdOTTOR goal, 3:41COL goal, 14:08

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

COL29 on goal, 1 scored
TOR18 on goal, 1 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

COL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. RantanenRW101521-1025:027:28
N. MacKinnonC011240-1024:526:54
J. CompherLW0001100023:436:49
V. NichushkinRW0004010022:126:45
E. RodriguesC000211-1415:482:14
L. EllerC0002100015:460:00
L. O'ConnorRW0001010015:040:00
A. CoglianoC0002200014:490:02
D. MalginC0001100011:280:00
A. NewhookC000101028:452:06
M. NietoLW000010008:140:00
A. GalchenyukC000120003:220:00
C. MakarD0114100030:345:57
D. ToewsD0001340026:373:02
S. GirardD000111-1021:082:04
B. ByramD000011-1020:461:24
J. JohnsonD0000110014:160:00
B. HuntD000100006:340:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Georgiev18171.94465:00Win
J. Johansson000–0:00

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. MarnerRW011104+1029:104:38
C. JarnkrokC011141+1018:280:42
A. MatthewsC000521+1026:524:41
W. NylanderRW0003000021:124:31
J. TavaresC0001220019:574:20
M. BuntingLW0000000215:040:57
D. KampfC0000100213:580:05
N. AcciariC0000110013:120:00
A. KerfootC0000200011:360:54
S. LaffertyC0001110010:040:42
Z. Aston-ReeseLW000001007:040:02
M. RiellyD101312+1020:433:41
T. BrodieD000103+1219:270:11
J. McCabeD0001240018:140:26
J. HollD0001100016:540:00
E. GustafssonD0000010016:131:40
T. LiljegrenD0000000014:130:00
M. GiordanoD0000410214:010:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
I. Samsonov29281.96664:19OT loss
M. Murray000–0:00