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Game Recap
DAL3
CHI4
CHI beat DAL 4-3, with the chances close: 3.72 expected goals to 3.04. I. Mikheyev led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). M. Duchene had 4 shots on goal against our projection of 1.5. S. Knight stopped 22 of 25.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| CHI | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
- 1st 11:48CHIA. LevshunovPP0.16 xG
- 1st 14:42DALM. Rantanen0.12 xG
- 2nd 0:13CHIT. TeravainenPP0.16 xG
- 2nd 9:14CHII. Mikheyev0.15 xG
- 3rd 3:58CHII. Mikheyev0.02 xG
- 3rd 16:03DALJ. Robertson0.23 xG
- 3rd 19:42DALM. Duchene0.18 xG
Team Stats
DALCHI
25Shots on goal21
3.04Expected goals3.72
54Shot attempts55
215v5 shots on goal15
0/1Power play2/4
29Hits20
16Blocked shots17
8Penalty minutes2
17Giveaways14
4Takeaways7
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
DAL 3.04 xGCHI 3.72 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
DAL Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Rantanen | RW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 21:23 | 1:28 |
| J. Robertson | LW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:22 | 1:09 |
| M. Duchene | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:34 | 0:52 |
| W. Johnston | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:48 | 1:13 |
| S. Steel | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:48 | 0:00 |
| R. Hintz | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 15:52 | 1:08 |
| M. Bourque | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 15:17 | 0:51 |
| J. Hryckowian | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:09 | 0:00 |
| J. Benn | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:40 | 0:47 |
| C. Blackwell | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11:26 | 0:00 |
| R. Faksa | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:47 | 0:00 |
| O. Bäck | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:24 | 0:00 |
| M. Heiskanen | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 2 | 24:46 | 1:07 |
| T. Harley | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 0 | 22:46 | 0:53 |
| E. Lindell | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 19:54 | 0:32 |
| N. Lundkvist | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 19:13 | 0:00 |
| A. Petrovic | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 14:18 | 0:00 |
| I. Lyubushkin | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:30 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Oettinger | 21 | 17 | 4 | .810 | 55:49 | Loss |
| C. DeSmith | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
CHI Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Mikheyev | RW | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:39 | 0:06 |
| R. Donato | C | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:31 | 3:05 |
| A. Burakovsky | LW | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:32 | 2:58 |
| T. Bertuzzi | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 18:57 | 3:10 |
| T. Teravainen | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 14:34 | 3:07 |
| J. Dickinson | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 18:48 | 0:07 |
| R. Greene | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:41 | 2:00 |
| N. Foligno | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 16:29 | 2:02 |
| C. Dach | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:42 | 0:00 |
| N. Lardis | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:21 | 2:05 |
| O. Moore | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:01 | 1:52 |
| L. Slaggert | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:12 | 0:00 |
| C. Murphy | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 0 | 21:01 | 0:00 |
| A. Levshunov | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:27 | 3:13 |
| M. Grzelcyk | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 18:18 | 2:01 |
| A. Vlasic | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 21:23 | 0:00 |
| L. Crevier | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 2 | 19:04 | 0:24 |
| W. Kaiser | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:27 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Knight | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 59:53 | Win |
| A. Soderblom | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
Lines at 5-on-5
DAL
Line 1M. Rantanen15:44W. Johnston16:24S. Steel12:54
Line 2J. Robertson13:55M. Bourque13:51R. Hintz11:43
Line 3J. Benn10:36J. Hryckowian12:40M. Duchene13:48
Line 4C. Blackwell8:41R. Faksa7:37O. Bäck7:25
Pair 1N. Lundkvist19:13T. Harley18:43
Pair 2E. Lindell16:04M. Heiskanen17:35
Pair 3A. Petrovic14:18I. Lyubushkin11:09
CHI
Line 1J. Dickinson14:32I. Mikheyev14:13R. Donato13:19
Line 2N. Foligno12:39C. Dach12:42L. Slaggert10:51
Line 3A. Burakovsky11:27T. Bertuzzi14:21R. Greene12:06
Line 4N. Lardis10:16O. Moore10:09T. Teravainen8:20
Pair 1A. Vlasic17:22L. Crevier17:14
Pair 2W. Kaiser15:10A. Levshunov14:52
Pair 3C. Murphy16:30M. Grzelcyk16:17
From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.
Storylines That Played Out
As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | DAL 3.0, CHI 2.8 | DAL 3, CHI 4 |
| Total goals | 5.8 | 7 |
| Shots on goal | DAL 25.6, CHI 26.4 | DAL 25, CHI 21 |
| Win chance | DAL 54% | CHI won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL J. Robertson | 3.3 | 3 | 1.07 | 2 | 37% | 1 |
| DAL M. Rantanen | 2.4 | 2 | 1.08 | 2 | 33% | 1 |
| DAL W. Johnston | 2.2 | 1 | 0.81 | 1 | 31% | 0 |
| DAL M. Heiskanen | 2.2 | 1 | 0.77 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| CHI R. Donato | 2.1 | 2 | 0.61 | 2 | 25% | 0 |
| CHI T. Bertuzzi | 2.0 | 4 | 0.69 | 1 | 29% | 0 |
| DAL R. Hintz | 2.0 | 3 | 0.81 | 0 | 30% | 0 |
| CHI I. Mikheyev | 1.9 | 3 | 0.43 | 2 | 21% | 2 |
| DAL M. Bourque | 1.7 | 0 | 0.37 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| CHI N. Lardis | 1.7 | 0 | 0.31 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| CHI A. Burakovsky | 1.6 | 0 | 0.65 | 2 | 21% | 0 |
| DAL T. Harley | 1.6 | 1 | 0.52 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| CHI A. Levshunov | 1.6 | 2 | 0.47 | 1 | 4% | 1 |
| CHI L. Crevier | 1.5 | 2 | 0.23 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| DAL M. Duchene | 1.5 | 4 | 0.61 | 2 | 22% | 1 |
| DAL J. Benn | 1.5 | 2 | 0.50 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| CHI T. Teravainen | 1.4 | 1 | 0.64 | 1 | 21% | 1 |
| CHI R. Greene | 1.4 | 3 | 0.38 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| CHI N. Foligno | 1.3 | 1 | 0.40 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| DAL N. Lundkvist | 1.3 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| CHI O. Moore | 1.2 | 1 | 0.38 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| CHI M. Grzelcyk | 1.2 | 0 | 0.30 | 1 | 3% | 0 |
| CHI W. Kaiser | 1.2 | 0 | 0.21 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| DAL E. Lindell | 1.2 | 0 | 0.37 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| CHI J. Dickinson | 1.2 | 0 | 0.30 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| CHI C. Dach | 1.1 | 0 | 0.24 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| CHI C. Murphy | 1.1 | 2 | 0.18 | 1 | 4% | 0 |
| DAL J. Hryckowian | 1.1 | 1 | 0.34 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| DAL C. Blackwell | 1.1 | 1 | 0.24 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| CHI A. Vlasic | 1.1 | 0 | 0.22 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| DAL S. Steel | 1.0 | 2 | 0.31 | 1 | 11% | 0 |
| DAL A. Petrovic | 1.0 | 2 | 0.18 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| CHI L. Slaggert | 1.0 | 0 | 0.20 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| DAL R. Faksa | 0.8 | 0 | 0.29 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| DAL I. Lyubushkin | 0.7 | 0 | 0.20 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
| DAL O. Bäck | 0.6 | 1 | 0.24 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 20 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.