Game Recap: DAL 7, MTL 0, November 13, 2025

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Game Recap

DAL7

FinalThu, Nov 13, 2025Every game that night

MTL0

DAL beat MTL 7-0, with the chances close: 2.29 expected goals to 2.68. J. Robertson led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). J. Robertson had 7 shots on goal against our projection of 3.0. C. DeSmith stopped 24 of 24.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
DAL	1	4	2	7
MTL	0	0	0	0

1st 14:21DALW. JohnstonPP0.20 xG
2nd 3:50DALE. Lindell0.17 xG
2nd 7:10DALT. Seguin0.24 xG
2nd 15:10DALJ. Robertson0.15 xG
2nd 16:49DALJ. Robertson0.04 xG
3rd 2:01DALA. Petrovic0.11 xG
3rd 14:40DALC. Blackwell0.11 xG

Team Stats

DALMTL

19Shots on goal24

2.29Expected goals2.68

41Shot attempts51

145v5 shots on goal19

1/3Power play0/3

17Hits30

12Blocked shots13

13Penalty minutes15

17Giveaways12

6Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

DAL 2.29 xGMTL 2.68 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

DAL18 on goal, 7 scored

MTL24 on goal, 0 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

DAL Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
J. Robertson	LW	2	1	3	7	1	0	+3	0	17:59	3:47
R. Faksa	C	0	3	3	0	1	0	+3	0	11:31	0:00
M. Rantanen	RW	0	2	2	3	0	0	+1	0	15:33	3:39
C. Blackwell	C	1	1	2	1	1	1	+3	0	11:38	0:15
R. Hintz	C	0	1	1	2	1	0	+1	0	18:02	3:22
T. Seguin	C	1	0	1	1	0	0	+1	0	16:22	1:39
M. Bourque	C	0	1	1	1	0	0	+1	0	15:43	1:22
W. Johnston	C	1	0	1	1	0	0	+1	0	15:28	3:20
J. Hryckowian	C	0	1	1	0	0	0	+1	0	14:45	0:17
S. Steel	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	16:09	1:40
O. Bäck	C	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	14:50	0:13
N. Bastian	RW	0	0	0	0	2	0	+3	4	9:44	0:00
M. Heiskanen	D	0	1	1	1	0	2	+1	0	22:36	3:23
T. Harley	D	0	1	1	0	2	0	+1	0	21:25	1:55
E. Lindell	D	1	0	1	1	0	2	+1	0	21:10	1:17
A. Petrovic	D	1	0	1	1	1	3	+5	0	18:51	0:16
L. Bichsel	D	0	1	1	0	5	0	+4	2	17:21	0:00
I. Lyubushkin	D	0	1	1	0	2	2	0	7	15:27	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
C. DeSmith	24	24	0	1.000	59:26	Win
J. Oettinger	0	0	0	–	0:00

MTL Skaters

Player	Pos	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
N. Suzuki	C	1	3	0	0	0	22:02	4:17
J. Slafkovský	LW	4	3	1	0	0	19:52	3:55
C. Caufield	RW	0	0	0	0	0	19:48	3:45
B. Gallagher	RW	3	1	0	-2	0	15:28	2:11
K. Dach	C	1	3	2	-2	4	15:15	1:49
I. Demidov	RW	2	2	1	-2	0	15:15	3:41
Z. Bolduc	RW	0	4	0	-2	2	14:29	1:59
J. Veleno	C	1	4	1	-2	0	13:48	1:16
O. Kapanen	C	1	0	2	-3	0	13:17	0:00
J. Evans	C	2	2	0	-2	0	13:16	0:00
J. Anderson	RW	0	1	0	-3	4	11:50	0:00
A. Newhook	C	0	0	0	0	0	5:54	0:44
N. Dobson	D	2	0	2	-1	0	22:24	2:14
M. Matheson	D	2	0	0	-1	0	21:25	0:23
A. Carrier	D	1	0	1	-3	0	20:36	0:00
L. Hutson	D	2	0	0	-4	0	18:25	3:46
J. Struble	D	1	3	1	-2	0	16:21	0:00
A. Xhekaj	D	1	4	2	-1	5	15:18	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Dobes	13	8	5	.615	40:00	Loss
S. Montembeault	6	4	2	.667	20:00

Lines at 5-on-5

DAL

Line 1M. Bourque13:05J. Hryckowian12:50O. Bäck12:09

Line 2T. Seguin14:14R. Hintz13:50J. Robertson13:49

Line 3W. Johnston11:17M. Rantanen11:20S. Steel12:49

Line 4C. Blackwell9:35N. Bastian9:44R. Faksa9:13

Pair 1A. Petrovic18:01L. Bichsel15:49

Pair 2E. Lindell15:34M. Heiskanen15:38

Pair 3T. Harley17:49I. Lyubushkin13:59

MTL

Line 1N. Suzuki15:39J. Slafkovský15:57C. Caufield16:03

Line 2K. Dach12:52Z. Bolduc11:56B. Gallagher13:17

Line 3J. Evans9:58J. Anderson10:09J. Veleno11:41

Line 4O. Kapanen11:03I. Demidov11:09A. Newhook4:39

Pair 1M. Matheson17:13N. Dobson17:41

Pair 2A. Carrier17:37A. Xhekaj14:50

Pair 3L. Hutson13:58J. Struble15:03

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	DAL 3.0, MTL 3.0	DAL 7, MTL 0
Total goals	6.0	7
Shots on goal	DAL 25.4, MTL 26.9	DAL 19, MTL 24
Win chance	DAL 50%	DAL won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
DAL J. Robertson	3.0	7	1.06	3	36%	2
MTL C. Caufield	2.8	0	0.81	0	33%	0
DAL M. Rantanen	2.7	3	1.16	2	38%	0
DAL W. Johnston	2.6	1	0.88	1	35%	1
MTL N. Dobson	2.3	2	0.56	0	10%	0
DAL R. Hintz	2.2	2	0.85	1	32%	0
DAL M. Heiskanen	2.2	1	0.74	1	12%	0
DAL T. Seguin	2.1	1	0.66	1	27%	1
MTL N. Suzuki	2.0	1	0.91	0	26%	0
MTL J. Slafkovský	1.8	4	0.57	0	20%	0
MTL M. Matheson	1.8	2	0.43	0	9%	0
MTL B. Gallagher	1.6	3	0.42	0	16%	0
DAL T. Harley	1.6	0	0.49	1	11%	0
MTL Z. Bolduc	1.5	0	0.41	0	19%	0
MTL A. Newhook	1.5	0	0.44	0	18%	0
MTL J. Anderson	1.5	0	0.34	0	17%	0
DAL M. Bourque	1.4	1	0.32	1	14%	0
MTL K. Dach	1.3	1	0.39	0	15%	0
DAL S. Steel	1.3	0	0.44	0	14%	0
MTL L. Hutson	1.3	2	0.78	0	7%	0
MTL I. Demidov	1.2	2	0.62	0	16%	0
MTL O. Kapanen	1.2	1	0.39	0	15%	0
DAL E. Lindell	1.1	1	0.31	1	7%	1
MTL A. Carrier	1.1	1	0.29	0	5%	0
MTL J. Evans	1.1	2	0.39	0	12%	0
DAL C. Blackwell	1.0	1	0.21	2	10%	1
MTL J. Veleno	1.0	1	0.22	0	10%	0
DAL J. Hryckowian	0.9	0	0.19	1	12%	0
MTL A. Xhekaj	0.9	1	0.10	0	3%	0
DAL A. Petrovic	0.8	1	0.13	1	3%	1
MTL J. Struble	0.8	1	0.21	0	4%	0
DAL L. Bichsel	0.7	0	0.14	1	5%	0
DAL I. Lyubushkin	0.7	0	0.18	1	2%	0
DAL R. Faksa	0.7	0	0.21	3	8%	0
DAL N. Bastian	0.6	0	0.14	0	8%	0
DAL O. Bäck	0.6	0	0.24	0	9%	0

Shots on goal: 23 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.3 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.