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Game Recap
DAL1
NYI2
NYI beat DAL 2-1, with the chances close: 3.40 expected goals to 2.82. M. Schaefer led the way with 2 points (0 G, 2 A). I. Sorokin stopped 26 of 27.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| NYI | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
- 1st 4:48NYIB. Horvat0.07 xG
- 3rd 2:19NYIC. Ritchie0.10 xG
- 3rd 17:01DALM. Duchene0.12 xG
Team Stats
DALNYI
27Shots on goal25
2.82Expected goals3.40
58Shot attempts47
175v5 shots on goal22
0/2Power play0/3
21Hits15
10Blocked shots15
6Penalty minutes4
18Giveaways17
5Takeaways4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
DAL 2.82 xGNYI 3.40 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
DAL Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Duchene | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:56 | 2:27 |
| J. Benn | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:00 | 3:35 |
| J. Robertson | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:11 | 3:38 |
| W. Johnston | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:02 | 3:31 |
| M. Bourque | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:28 | 0:26 |
| J. Hryckowian | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 15:27 | 1:28 |
| S. Steel | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 13:36 | 0:25 |
| C. Blackwell | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 12:51 | 0:00 |
| O. Bäck | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:43 | 0:01 |
| A. Erne | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 9:28 | 0:00 |
| A. Hyry | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:16 | 0:03 |
| N. Bastian | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:32 | 0:00 |
| T. Harley | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 25:11 | 1:17 |
| M. Heiskanen | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23:31 | 2:43 |
| E. Lindell | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 18:24 | 0:22 |
| N. Lundkvist | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:14 | 0:00 |
| L. Bichsel | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 16:11 | 0:00 |
| T. Myers | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 15:08 | 0:04 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Oettinger | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 56:51 | Loss |
| C. DeSmith | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
NYI Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Horvat | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:08 | 3:49 |
| E. Heineman | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:22 | 2:40 |
| C. Ritchie | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:07 | 3:11 |
| S. Holmstrom | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:31 | 2:25 |
| J. Pageau | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:06 | 2:11 |
| M. Barzal | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:48 | 3:35 |
| A. Lee | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:24 | 2:50 |
| B. Schenn | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 0 | 16:04 | 2:57 |
| O. Palat | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:51 | 0:00 |
| C. Cizikas | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:27 | 0:00 |
| K. MacLean | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:00 | 0:00 |
| M. Gatcomb | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:46 | 0:00 |
| M. Schaefer | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 26:38 | 3:24 |
| R. Pulock | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20:53 | 0:00 |
| A. Pelech | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:45 | 0:22 |
| C. Soucy | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:30 | 0:05 |
| S. Mayfield | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:24 | 0:00 |
| A. Boqvist | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:16 | 2:31 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Sorokin | 27 | 26 | 1 | .963 | 60:00 | Win |
| D. Rittich | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
Lines at 5-on-5
DAL
Line 1J. Robertson16:24W. Johnston15:28M. Bourque17:02
Line 2J. Benn11:22M. Duchene14:20S. Steel10:17
Line 3C. Blackwell10:07A. Erne9:22J. Hryckowian12:01
Line 4N. Bastian8:32O. Bäck7:58A. Hyry7:27
Pair 1N. Lundkvist17:58T. Harley19:51
Pair 2T. Myers12:50L. Bichsel14:39
Pair 3E. Lindell14:25M. Heiskanen14:12
NYI
Line 1B. Schenn13:07M. Barzal14:13C. Ritchie10:56
Line 2B. Horvat12:48E. Heineman13:09A. Lee12:23
Line 3S. Holmstrom13:02J. Pageau12:16O. Palat11:28
Line 4C. Cizikas9:35K. MacLean9:54M. Gatcomb7:40
Pair 1M. Schaefer20:05R. Pulock16:30
Pair 3S. Mayfield12:01A. Boqvist9:39
From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | DAL 2.9, NYI 2.7 | DAL 1, NYI 2 |
| Total goals | 5.6 | 3 |
| Shots on goal | DAL 25.3, NYI 27.3 | DAL 27, NYI 25 |
| Win chance | DAL 53% | NYI won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL J. Robertson | 3.3 | 4 | 1.05 | 0 | 37% | 0 |
| NYI B. Horvat | 3.1 | 3 | 0.79 | 1 | 33% | 1 |
| NYI M. Schaefer | 2.8 | 3 | 0.72 | 2 | 22% | 0 |
| NYI A. Lee | 2.4 | 1 | 0.54 | 0 | 24% | 0 |
| DAL W. Johnston | 2.4 | 2 | 0.82 | 0 | 33% | 0 |
| NYI M. Barzal | 2.2 | 1 | 0.83 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| NYI E. Heineman | 2.0 | 4 | 0.38 | 1 | 21% | 0 |
| DAL M. Bourque | 1.9 | 2 | 0.47 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| DAL M. Heiskanen | 1.9 | 4 | 0.70 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| DAL T. Harley | 1.7 | 0 | 0.52 | 1 | 11% | 0 |
| DAL M. Duchene | 1.7 | 2 | 0.75 | 1 | 26% | 1 |
| DAL J. Benn | 1.5 | 1 | 0.61 | 1 | 21% | 0 |
| NYI A. Pelech | 1.5 | 1 | 0.26 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| NYI B. Schenn | 1.5 | 1 | 0.55 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| NYI C. Ritchie | 1.3 | 2 | 0.43 | 1 | 17% | 1 |
| NYI S. Holmstrom | 1.3 | 1 | 0.52 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| NYI R. Pulock | 1.2 | 1 | 0.31 | 1 | 6% | 0 |
| DAL J. Hryckowian | 1.2 | 1 | 0.40 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| NYI J. Pageau | 1.1 | 2 | 0.44 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| DAL S. Steel | 1.1 | 1 | 0.38 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| DAL N. Lundkvist | 1.1 | 2 | 0.22 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| DAL C. Blackwell | 1.1 | 0 | 0.23 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| DAL A. Hyry | 1.1 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| DAL T. Myers | 1.1 | 1 | 0.19 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| DAL E. Lindell | 1.0 | 2 | 0.32 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| NYI O. Palat | 1.0 | 0 | 0.26 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| NYI C. Cizikas | 1.0 | 1 | 0.22 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| NYI C. Soucy | 0.9 | 0 | 0.17 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| NYI M. Gatcomb | 0.9 | 1 | 0.15 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| NYI A. Boqvist | 0.9 | 1 | 0.23 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| DAL A. Erne | 0.9 | 1 | 0.18 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| NYI S. Mayfield | 0.9 | 0 | 0.15 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| DAL N. Bastian | 0.7 | 2 | 0.17 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| NYI K. MacLean | 0.7 | 2 | 0.15 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| DAL L. Bichsel | 0.7 | 1 | 0.16 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| DAL O. Bäck | 0.6 | 1 | 0.17 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 27 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.0 more than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.