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Game Recap
DAL2
STL0
DAL beat STL 2-0 despite fewer good chances: 1.93 expected goals to 3.22. STL outshot DAL 33 to 19. E. Dadonov led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). C. DeSmith stopped 33 of 33.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| STL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
- 1st 7:07DALE. Dadonov0.18 xG
- 1st 9:36DALE. LindellPP0.18 xG
Team Stats
DALSTL
19Shots on goal33
1.93Expected goals3.22
42Shot attempts69
145v5 shots on goal27
1/3Power play0/1
21Hits38
19Blocked shots14
2Penalty minutes6
18Giveaways15
4Takeaways5
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
DAL 1.93 xGSTL 3.22 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
DAL Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Dadonov | LW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:06 | 2:54 |
| R. Hintz | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20:17 | 2:57 |
| J. Robertson | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 18:35 | 3:05 |
| W. Johnston | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:46 | 3:02 |
| J. Benn | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:51 | 3:01 |
| M. Duchene | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:45 | 3:02 |
| L. Stankoven | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:25 | 2:56 |
| S. Steel | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:07 | 0:00 |
| M. Bourque | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:59 | 2:33 |
| C. Blackwell | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:38 | 0:00 |
| O. Bäck | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:25 | 0:00 |
| M. Heiskanen | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 25:20 | 3:27 |
| E. Lindell | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:13 | 0:18 |
| T. Harley | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 0 | 25:10 | 2:27 |
| L. Bichsel | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14:48 | 0:00 |
| I. Lyubushkin | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:44 | 0:03 |
| M. Dumba | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:59 | 0:00 |
| B. Smith | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:52 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. DeSmith | 33 | 33 | 0 | 1.000 | 60:00 | Win |
| J. Oettinger | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
STL Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Buchnevich | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 20:27 | 1:28 |
| R. Thomas | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:21 | 1:28 |
| J. Kyrou | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:15 | 0:32 |
| D. Holloway | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 18:45 | 0:33 |
| B. Schenn | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 17:09 | 0:32 |
| Z. Bolduc | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:59 | 0:00 |
| B. Saad | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:50 | 1:27 |
| J. Neighbours | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:40 | 0:32 |
| R. Faksa | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12:01 | 0:00 |
| M. Joseph | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:37 | 0:00 |
| A. Toropchenko | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:49 | 0:00 |
| O. Sundqvist | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:37 | 1:28 |
| C. Fowler | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 23:24 | 1:26 |
| C. Parayko | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 22:46 | 0:00 |
| J. Faulk | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:56 | 0:34 |
| P. Broberg | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:21 | 0:00 |
| R. Suter | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:01 | 0:00 |
| T. Tucker | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:31 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Binnington | 19 | 17 | 2 | .895 | 55:34 | Loss |
| J. Hofer | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | DAL 3.0, STL 2.9 | DAL 2, STL 0 |
| Total goals | 5.8 | 2 |
| Shots on goal | DAL 28.7, STL 26.7 | DAL 19, STL 33 |
| Win chance | DAL 51% | DAL won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL J. Kyrou | 2.6 | 3 | 0.81 | 0 | 32% | 0 |
| DAL W. Johnston | 2.5 | 1 | 0.71 | 0 | 27% | 0 |
| DAL J. Robertson | 2.5 | 2 | 0.85 | 1 | 30% | 0 |
| DAL L. Stankoven | 2.3 | 3 | 0.45 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| STL D. Holloway | 2.2 | 2 | 0.62 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| DAL M. Heiskanen | 2.0 | 0 | 0.56 | 1 | 10% | 0 |
| DAL J. Benn | 2.0 | 1 | 0.69 | 0 | 24% | 0 |
| DAL T. Harley | 1.9 | 2 | 0.44 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| DAL M. Duchene | 1.9 | 0 | 0.77 | 0 | 28% | 0 |
| DAL R. Hintz | 1.9 | 1 | 0.61 | 1 | 28% | 0 |
| STL P. Buchnevich | 1.8 | 0 | 0.70 | 0 | 25% | 0 |
| STL R. Thomas | 1.8 | 3 | 0.83 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| STL B. Schenn | 1.8 | 2 | 0.62 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| STL C. Parayko | 1.8 | 4 | 0.36 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| STL J. Faulk | 1.6 | 3 | 0.39 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| STL J. Neighbours | 1.6 | 1 | 0.44 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| DAL E. Dadonov | 1.5 | 1 | 0.45 | 2 | 17% | 1 |
| STL B. Saad | 1.5 | 3 | 0.41 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| DAL M. Bourque | 1.3 | 3 | 0.31 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| STL C. Fowler | 1.3 | 2 | 0.43 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| DAL S. Steel | 1.3 | 1 | 0.35 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| STL Z. Bolduc | 1.3 | 3 | 0.34 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| DAL E. Lindell | 1.2 | 1 | 0.26 | 1 | 6% | 1 |
| DAL C. Blackwell | 1.2 | 2 | 0.22 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| STL P. Broberg | 1.2 | 0 | 0.27 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| STL A. Toropchenko | 1.1 | 1 | 0.22 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| STL M. Joseph | 1.0 | 1 | 0.27 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| STL R. Faksa | 0.9 | 0 | 0.23 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| STL O. Sundqvist | 0.8 | 1 | 0.32 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| DAL M. Dumba | 0.8 | 0 | 0.11 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| STL T. Tucker | 0.8 | 3 | 0.15 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| STL R. Suter | 0.8 | 1 | 0.18 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| DAL B. Smith | 0.7 | 1 | 0.14 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| DAL O. Bäck | 0.7 | 0 | 0.24 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| DAL I. Lyubushkin | 0.6 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
| DAL L. Bichsel | 0.5 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 23 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.0 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.