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Game Recap
DAL4
Final/OTTue, Nov 15, 2022Every game that night
TBL5

TBL beat DAL 5-4 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 4.58 expected goals to 3.27. A. Killorn led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). B. Elliott stopped 28 of 32.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
DAL12104
TBL12115
  1. 1st 1:20TBLR. Colton0.04 xG
  2. 1st 14:45DALM. MarchmentPP0.11 xG
  3. 2nd 4:47TBLN. PaulPP0.13 xG
  4. 2nd 8:02DALJ. PavelskiPP0.01 xG
  5. 2nd 9:57DALJ. Robertson0.22 xG
  6. 2nd 14:23TBLS. Stamkos0.17 xG
  7. 3rd 3:55TBLI. Cole0.29 xG
  8. 3rd 15:18DALR. FaksaSH0.20 xG
  9. OT 3:43TBLA. Killorn0.10 xG

Team Stats

DALTBL
32Shots on goal38
3.27Expected goals4.58
53Shot attempts67
235v5 shots on goal25
2/2Power play1/5
43Hits36
16Blocked shots10
10Penalty minutes6
7Giveaways18
7Takeaways11

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

DAL 3.27 xGTBL 4.58 xGGoal

0123451st2nd3rdOTTBL goal, 1:20DAL goal, 14:45TBL goal, 4:47DAL goal, 8:02DAL goal, 9:57TBL goal, 14:23TBL goal, 3:55DAL goal, 15:18TBL goal, 3:43

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

DAL32 on goal, 4 scored
TBL38 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

DAL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. PavelskiC1123100018:101:19
J. RobertsonLW112420-2017:581:35
R. HintzC011210-1018:301:40
M. MarchmentLW1013100016:391:33
J. BennLW011021-2016:211:41
R. FaksaC101210+1210:140:00
T. SeguinC0001210016:391:06
T. DellandreaC000102-1014:420:00
W. JohnstonC000300-1214:381:14
L. GlendeningC000161+1013:000:00
M. BlümelRW000140-1011:440:00
J. KivirantaLW0000300210:250:00
M. HeiskanenD022421-2028:191:35
R. SuterD0001630023:201:14
J. HakanpääD0000350019:040:00
E. LindellD0001320018:330:00
C. MillerD000130-1017:130:00
N. LundkvistD0004300416:051:08
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Oettinger38335.86863:43OT loss
S. Wedgewood000–0:00

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. KillornLW123300+3015:572:07
S. StamkosC112400+2018:297:15
N. PaulLW112340+2216:533:55
R. ColtonC112230+1015:002:42
C. PerryRW011130+1015:353:15
V. NamestnikovC011320+1212:330:00
B. PointC000410-2025:256:18
N. KucherovRW000720-2025:117:00
B. HagelLW000210-2023:505:45
P. BellemareLW000121008:450:00
C. KoepkeLW000030008:310:00
P. MaroonLW000050008:040:00
I. ColeD112122+2021:030:03
M. SergachevD011003-1025:346:56
P. MyersD011131+109:090:00
V. HedmanD000333+2027:322:39
N. PerbixD000110-1218:080:00
H. FleuryD000210+1012:410:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
B. Elliott32284.87563:43Win
A. Vasilevskiy000–0:00