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Game Recap
DAL4
FinalWed, Feb 7, 2024Every game that night
TOR5

TOR beat DAL 5-4, and the chances backed it up: 3.25 expected goals to 2.46. W. Nylander led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). I. Samsonov stopped 27 of 31.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
DAL2024
TOR1225
  1. 1st 6:34TORW. NylanderPP0.07 xG
  2. 1st 14:52DALJ. BennPP0.16 xG
  3. 1st 17:23DALE. Dadonov0.16 xG
  4. 2nd 3:40TORJ. TavaresPP0.11 xG
  5. 2nd 12:37TORA. MatthewsPP0.12 xG
  6. 3rd 11:05DALE. Dadonov0.34 xG
  7. 3rd 11:37TORM. Marner0.14 xG
  8. 3rd 11:57TORW. Nylander0.06 xG
  9. 3rd 18:35DALW. Johnston0.08 xG

Team Stats

DALTOR
31Shots on goal31
2.46Expected goals3.25
76Shot attempts51
225v5 shots on goal24
1/4Power play3/3
34Hits41
10Blocked shots22
6Penalty minutes6
9Giveaways14
5Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

DAL 2.46 xGTOR 3.25 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdTOR goal, 6:34DAL goal, 14:52DAL goal, 17:23TOR goal, 3:40TOR goal, 12:37DAL goal, 11:05TOR goal, 11:37TOR goal, 11:57DAL goal, 18:35

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

DAL31 on goal, 4 scored
TOR29 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

DAL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
E. DadonovLW202200+3013:160:00
J. RobertsonLW0111310020:072:59
W. JohnstonC101320+1017:593:11
J. PavelskiC011422-1017:222:53
M. MarchmentLW0110600016:223:04
J. BennLW1011310015:432:20
T. DellandreaC011130+1012:010:00
M. DucheneC000010-1019:203:15
R. HintzC000100-1017:153:00
T. SeguinC000310-1217:033:05
R. FaksaC000120+1012:130:00
S. SteelC000200+1010:430:00
M. HeiskanenD0112200225:443:32
R. SuterD0112210015:260:37
T. HarleyD000410-1023:282:22
E. LindellD0002120017:300:08
J. HakanpääD0002530017:020:00
J. HanleyD0000000212:300:14
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Wedgewood31265.83957:06Loss
J. Oettinger000–0:00

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
W. NylanderRW2134000018:451:50
J. TavaresC1231410016:241:50
A. MatthewsC112512+1022:201:50
M. MarnerRW101420+1022:471:50
T. BertuzziLW0113610218:030:00
M. KniesLW011142+1012:490:00
M. DomiC0003000015:420:00
N. RobertsonLW0001100012:220:00
N. GregorLW0000100010:380:00
P. HolmbergRW000001-1210:260:00
B. McMannC000120-108:120:00
R. ReavesRW000041-107:090:00
M. RiellyD011322+1024:561:50
S. BenoitD000151+1022:450:00
T. BrodieD0000030022:360:00
J. McCabeD0002640219:500:00
M. GiordanoD000103-2014:330:00
T. LiljegrenD0001310013:380:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
I. Samsonov31274.87159:57Win
M. Jones000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.