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Game Recap
DET3
NJD0
DET beat NJD 3-0, with the chances close: 2.48 expected goals to 2.38. M. Seider led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). M. Seider had 5 shots on goal against our projection of 2.0. J. Gibson stopped 21 of 21.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| NJD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
- 1st 3:20DETM. Seider0.01 xG
- 2nd 6:37DETJ. van RiemsdykPP0.06 xG
- 3rd 10:24DETD. Shine0.13 xG
Team Stats
DETNJD
30Shots on goal31
2.48Expected goals2.38
52Shot attempts63
225v5 shots on goal25
1/5Power play0/2
17Hits19
15Blocked shots6
6Penalty minutes10
17Giveaways12
6Takeaways4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
DET 2.48 xGNJD 2.38 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
DET Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Kane | RW | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:12 | 6:12 |
| J. van Riemsdyk | LW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:22 | 4:21 |
| A. Copp | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 16:33 | 2:38 |
| D. Shine | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 6:22 | 0:00 |
| A. DeBrincat | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:06 | 6:01 |
| L. Raymond | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:26 | 6:11 |
| J. Compher | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:21 | 1:08 |
| M. Appleton | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:28 | 0:05 |
| M. Kasper | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:56 | 2:13 |
| E. Finnie | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:28 | 1:38 |
| M. Brandsegg-Nygård | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:48 | 0:04 |
| M. Rasmussen | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:57 | 0:00 |
| M. Seider | D | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 25:02 | 6:51 |
| S. Edvinsson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 20:27 | 1:03 |
| J. Faulk | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19:28 | 1:24 |
| B. Chiarot | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 18:58 | 0:19 |
| A. Johansson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:38 | 0:57 |
| J. Bernard-Docker | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:36 | 0:00 |
NJD Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hughes | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:40 | 3:19 |
| C. Brown | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:49 | 3:07 |
| N. Hischier | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 18:06 | 3:19 |
| J. Bratt | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:59 | 3:19 |
| T. Meier | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 15:47 | 0:12 |
| C. Glass | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:57 | 0:00 |
| A. Gritsyuk | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:11 | 0:09 |
| D. Mercer | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 12:18 | 0:00 |
| N. Bjugstad | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 10:57 | 0:00 |
| L. Hameenaho | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:14 | 0:00 |
| P. Cotter | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 9:10 | 0:00 |
| E. Dadonov | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 7:27 | 0:00 |
| D. Hamilton | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 24:21 | 3:05 |
| L. Hughes | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:59 | 0:14 |
| S. Nemec | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:45 | 0:00 |
| B. Dillon | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:23 | 0:00 |
| J. Siegenthaler | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 16:22 | 0:00 |
| J. Kovacevic | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 15:50 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Markstrom | 30 | 27 | 3 | .900 | 60:00 | Loss |
| J. Allen | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
Lines at 5-on-5
DET
Line 1A. Copp13:13A. DeBrincat13:14P. Kane12:42
Line 2J. Compher14:12M. Appleton13:58M. Brandsegg-Nygård12:44
Line 3M. Kasper11:28E. Finnie11:07L. Raymond12:14
Line 4J. Riemsdyk6:01M. Rasmussen9:32D. Shine6:22
Pair 1B. Chiarot17:40J. Faulk16:19
Pair 2M. Seider15:52S. Edvinsson16:46
Pair 3A. Johansson12:49J. Bernard-Docker12:02
NJD
Line 1C. Brown14:31J. Hughes17:08A. Gritsyuk12:54
Line 2T. Meier14:18N. Hischier10:28D. Mercer8:48
Line 3L. Hameenaho10:10C. Glass10:23J. Bratt11:28
Line 4E. Dadonov7:27N. Bjugstad9:44P. Cotter8:39
Pair 2L. Hughes19:09J. Kovacevic12:10
Pair 3D. Hamilton14:48J. Siegenthaler11:19
From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | DET 3.1, NJD 3.0 | DET 3, NJD 0 |
| Total goals | 6.1 | 3 |
| Shots on goal | DET 26.3, NJD 29.1 | DET 30, NJD 31 |
| Win chance | DET 51% | DET won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD T. Meier | 3.4 | 2 | 0.61 | 0 | 30% | 0 |
| NJD J. Hughes | 3.4 | 4 | 1.00 | 0 | 34% | 0 |
| DET A. DeBrincat | 3.2 | 3 | 0.88 | 0 | 34% | 0 |
| NJD D. Hamilton | 2.8 | 3 | 0.58 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| NJD N. Hischier | 2.6 | 0 | 0.81 | 0 | 31% | 0 |
| DET P. Kane | 2.4 | 3 | 0.76 | 2 | 24% | 0 |
| NJD J. Bratt | 2.3 | 1 | 0.82 | 0 | 24% | 0 |
| DET L. Raymond | 2.2 | 1 | 0.91 | 0 | 27% | 0 |
| NJD A. Gritsyuk | 2.1 | 3 | 0.44 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| DET M. Seider | 2.0 | 5 | 0.57 | 3 | 9% | 1 |
| DET J. Faulk | 1.8 | 3 | 0.49 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| NJD L. Hughes | 1.8 | 4 | 0.50 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| DET M. Kasper | 1.8 | 0 | 0.37 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| NJD D. Mercer | 1.8 | 2 | 0.46 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| NJD C. Brown | 1.7 | 1 | 0.55 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| DET A. Copp | 1.5 | 3 | 0.54 | 1 | 17% | 0 |
| NJD C. Glass | 1.5 | 0 | 0.34 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| NJD S. Nemec | 1.4 | 3 | 0.35 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| DET B. Chiarot | 1.3 | 1 | 0.20 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| DET M. Brandsegg-Nygård | 1.3 | 2 | 0.24 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| DET E. Finnie | 1.2 | 1 | 0.27 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| NJD L. Hameenaho | 1.2 | 2 | 0.31 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| DET S. Edvinsson | 1.2 | 0 | 0.36 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| NJD N. Bjugstad | 1.2 | 3 | 0.21 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| NJD E. Dadonov | 1.2 | 0 | 0.35 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| DET J. Riemsdyk | 1.2 | 1 | 0.36 | 2 | 15% | 1 |
| DET J. Compher | 1.1 | 0 | 0.33 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| DET M. Rasmussen | 1.0 | 1 | 0.26 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| DET M. Appleton | 1.0 | 1 | 0.26 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| DET A. Johansson | 0.9 | 1 | 0.17 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| NJD J. Kovacevic | 0.9 | 2 | 0.19 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| DET J. Bernard-Docker | 0.9 | 3 | 0.17 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| NJD J. Siegenthaler | 0.8 | 0 | 0.15 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| NJD B. Dillon | 0.7 | 1 | 0.20 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| NJD P. Cotter | 0.7 | 0 | 0.16 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| DET D. Shine | 0.6 | 1 | 0.12 | 1 | 6% | 1 |
Shots on goal: 19 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 more than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.