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Game Recap
EDM4
FinalSat, Mar 11, 2023Every game that night
TOR7

TOR beat EDM 7-4, and the chances backed it up: 4.42 expected goals to 2.75. TOR outshot EDM 38 to 26. M. Marner led the way with 4 points (1 G, 3 A). M. Murray stopped 22 of 26.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
EDM2114
TOR1427
  1. 1st 3:05TORN. Acciari0.03 xG
  2. 1st 3:27EDMM. Ekholm0.01 xG
  3. 1st 11:24EDME. Kane0.02 xG
  4. 2nd 2:33EDMC. McDavid0.14 xG
  5. 2nd 12:56TORM. Marner0.15 xG
  6. 2nd 14:49TORW. Nylander0.08 xG
  7. 2nd 15:56TORJ. Tavares0.20 xG
  8. 2nd 18:55TORJ. TavaresPP0.14 xG
  9. 3rd 10:50TORA. MatthewsPP0.19 xG
  10. 3rd 12:31EDML. DraisaitlPP0.03 xG
  11. 3rd 19:10TORN. AcciariEN0.50 xG

Team Stats

EDMTOR
26Shots on goal38
2.75Expected goals4.42
50Shot attempts63
195v5 shots on goal26
1/3Power play2/5
23Hits22
12Blocked shots10
20Penalty minutes16
14Giveaways15
6Takeaways8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

EDM 2.75 xGTOR 4.42 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdTOR goal, 3:05EDM goal, 3:27EDM goal, 11:24EDM goal, 2:33TOR goal, 12:56TOR goal, 14:49TOR goal, 15:56TOR goal, 18:55TOR goal, 10:50EDM goal, 12:31TOR goal, 19:10

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

EDM26 on goal, 4 scored
TOR38 on goal, 7 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

EDM Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. McDavidC123330+1223:533:54
R. Nugent-HopkinsC0221000017:203:55
L. DraisaitlC101420-2021:063:55
E. KaneLW101310-1620:030:23
N. BjugstadC0112400012:260:02
Z. HymanLW0003200020:003:54
K. YamamotoRW0000010213:110:07
M. JanmarkC000110-1011:170:00
R. McLeodC000000-129:560:23
D. ShoreC000000-107:320:00
W. FoegeleLW000120-127:250:15
D. RyanC000100-107:190:00
E. BouchardD022110-1024:593:52
M. EkholmD1014010022:340:00
C. CeciD011021-1019:150:00
D. NurseD000124-1422:540:25
B. KulakD000101-1014:480:22
V. DesharnaisD0000340211:410:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Skinner37316.83858:43Loss
J. Campbell000–0:00

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. MarnerRW134502+1222:544:53
J. TavaresC213411+1217:584:58
A. MatthewsC112801+2221:264:57
W. NylanderRW1122000021:055:00
N. AcciariC202751+2013:150:06
D. KampfC011000+1015:500:06
Z. Aston-ReeseLW011100+109:530:06
C. JarnkrokC0000000015:152:39
A. KerfootC0000200013:430:57
S. LaffertyC000330-1013:112:32
M. BuntingLW000020-1610:452:34
T. BrodieD000213+2020:440:00
J. McCabeD0001410018:270:10
M. RiellyD000201+1017:545:04
M. GiordanoD0000100015:420:06
E. GustafssonD0001000014:452:28
J. HollD000210+1213:480:06
T. LiljegrenD0000200213:081:28
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
M. Murray26224.84660:00Win
I. Samsonov000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

  • HometownConnor McDavid EDM Plays near home (born in Richmond Hill)1 G, 2 A, 3 SOG
  • HometownEvan Bouchard EDM Plays near home (born in Oakville)2 A, 1 SOG
  • HometownZach Hyman EDM Plays in his hometown3 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.