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Game Recap
FLA4
FinalThu, Feb 15, 2024Every game that night
BUF0

FLA beat BUF 4-0, and the chances backed it up: 3.74 expected goals to 2.72. BUF outshot FLA 45 to 30. C. Verhaeghe led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). A. Stolarz stopped 45 of 45.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
FLA1124
BUF0000
  1. 1st 9:26FLAC. Verhaeghe0.22 xG
  2. 2nd 17:16FLAA. Lundell0.14 xG
  3. 3rd 18:27FLAC. VerhaegheEN0.89 xG
  4. 3rd 19:48FLAR. LombergPP0.05 xG

Team Stats

FLABUF
30Shots on goal45
3.74Expected goals2.72
60Shot attempts60
235v5 shots on goal31
1/3Power play0/2
47Hits21
8Blocked shots15
14Penalty minutes6
3Giveaways7
10Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

FLA 3.74 xGBUF 2.72 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdFLA goal, 9:26FLA goal, 17:16FLA goal, 18:27FLA goal, 19:48

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

FLA30 on goal, 4 scored
BUF42 on goal, 0 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

FLA Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. BarkovC022210+2019:153:14
C. VerhaegheC202211+2018:433:12
A. LundellC112410+1013:520:51
S. ReinhartC011030+2019:063:13
M. TkachukLW011230+1017:033:19
R. LombergLW101410001011:140:05
S. BennettC0001210214:360:39
E. RodriguesC000310+1014:110:47
K. StenlundC0001010013:520:00
E. LuostarinenC000220+1013:420:07
N. CousinsC0002500012:550:00
J. GadjovichLW0001810010:440:00
G. ForslingD022011+2020:420:06
B. MontourD000020+1022:303:20
N. MikkolaD000121+2219:320:00
A. EkbladD000142+1019:000:48
O. Ekman-LarssonD0004000017:470:44
D. KulikovD0000100017:210:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Stolarz454501.00059:55Win
S. Bobrovsky000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. PeterkaRW0003000018:261:34
D. CozensC000500-1018:151:26
A. TuchRW000301-2017:221:30
Z. BensonLW0000020217:110:00
T. ThompsonC000510-2016:332:28
J. GreenwayLW000141-2015:521:30
C. MittelstadtC000401-2015:322:34
J. SkinnerLW0001000014:582:26
K. OkposoRW0004200213:032:32
P. KrebsC000110-1012:090:00
V. OlofssonLW000010-1011:320:00
Z. GirgensonsC0002300010:500:00
R. DahlinD000844-1029:292:27
H. JokiharjuD0002210024:261:33
C. CliftonD000402-1221:430:00
J. BrysonD0002010018:340:00
E. JohnsonD000022-2011:490:00
R. JohnsonD000010-109:060:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
E. Comrie29263.89759:05Loss
D. Tokarski000–0:00