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Game Recap
FLA8
FinalSat, Jan 6, 2024Every game that night
COL4

FLA beat COL 8-4, and the chances backed it up: 2.76 expected goals to 1.85. M. Tkachuk led the way with 4 points (1 G, 3 A). S. Bobrovsky stopped 22 of 26.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
FLA3148
COL0314
  1. 1st 1:10FLAC. Verhaeghe0.15 xG
  2. 1st 3:02FLAS. Reinhart0.09 xG
  3. 1st 7:41FLAS. Reinhart0.20 xG
  4. 2nd 0:21COLC. Makar0.09 xG
  5. 2nd 0:52COLJ. Manson0.03 xG
  6. 2nd 4:35COLV. NichushkinPP0.12 xG
  7. 2nd 8:50FLAO. Ekman-Larsson0.02 xG
  8. 3rd 3:31COLJ. Drouin0.20 xG
  9. 3rd 5:59FLAS. ReinhartPP0.17 xG
  10. 3rd 8:59FLAK. Stenlund0.08 xG
  11. 3rd 16:17FLAM. Tkachuk0.01 xG
  12. 3rd 16:54FLAC. VerhaegheEN0.18 xG

Team Stats

FLACOL
29Shots on goal26
2.76Expected goals1.85
53Shot attempts37
205v5 shots on goal19
1/5Power play1/4
14Hits18
6Blocked shots17
10Penalty minutes12
1Giveaways4
4Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

FLA 2.76 xGCOL 1.85 xGGoal

00.511.522.531st2nd3rdFLA goal, 1:10FLA goal, 3:02FLA goal, 7:41COL goal, 0:21COL goal, 0:52COL goal, 4:35FLA goal, 8:50COL goal, 3:31FLA goal, 5:59FLA goal, 8:59FLA goal, 16:17FLA goal, 16:54

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

FLA28 on goal, 8 scored
COL25 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

FLA Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. BarkovC044420+2418:583:34
M. TkachukLW134410+1416:173:39
S. ReinhartC303402+2020:313:36
C. VerhaegheC213200+1016:483:33
E. RodriguesC022100+2017:553:11
R. LombergLW011200+1213:101:14
K. StenlundC101200+1012:060:26
S. BennettC0111000010:580:51
E. LuostarinenC0001110017:583:54
A. LundellC000200+1017:323:09
W. LockwoodRW000030+109:060:27
J. GadjovichLW000000005:440:00
G. ForslingD022111+4020:121:13
A. EkbladD011220+3020:333:21
O. Ekman-LarssonD101100+1018:093:13
B. MontourD000222-1021:414:27
N. MikkolaD0000200018:470:12
D. KulikovD000000+1017:180:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Bobrovsky26224.84659:42Win
A. Stolarz000–0:00

COL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. RantanenRW022211-3020:424:16
V. NichushkinRW112612-2018:414:02
J. DrouinLW101101-3021:054:10
N. MacKinnonC011301-3019:503:59
L. O'ConnorRW0111200219:412:31
A. CoglianoC0001100015:160:06
R. ColtonC0000110413:302:20
R. JohansenC000000-2013:042:18
J. KivirantaLW000011-1012:360:01
F. OlofssonLW000001028:430:00
B. MeyersC000100-108:330:00
K. MacDermidLW000020024:290:00
C. MakarD112401-2026:254:05
S. GirardD011003-1217:382:17
J. MansonD101351-2016:490:18
D. ToewsD000111-2024:282:31
J. JohnsonD0002110016:520:01
C. JonesD0001220013:090:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
I. Prosvetov1394.69228:50
A. Georgiev15123.80030:55Loss