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Game Recap
FLA3
FinalSat, Apr 27, 2024PlayoffsEvery game that night
TBL6

TBL beat FLA 6-3, and the chances backed it up: 3.20 expected goals to 2.39. B. Hagel led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). A. Vasilevskiy stopped 22 of 25.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
FLA0303
TBL3126
  1. 1st 8:54TBLS. StamkosPP0.10 xG
  2. 1st 12:09TBLB. HagelSH0.07 xG
  3. 1st 15:07TBLB. Point0.08 xG
  4. 2nd 4:17FLAC. Verhaeghe0.13 xG
  5. 2nd 9:40TBLB. Hagel0.09 xG
  6. 2nd 11:09FLAS. ReinhartPP0.15 xG
  7. 2nd 14:33FLAO. Ekman-Larsson0.06 xG
  8. 3rd 9:34TBLS. Stamkos0.06 xG
  9. 3rd 16:22TBLN. PaulPP0.13 xG

Team Stats

FLATBL
25Shots on goal32
2.39Expected goals3.20
58Shot attempts64
225v5 shots on goal18
1/2Power play2/5
57Hits61
17Blocked shots19
16Penalty minutes8
4Giveaways10
6Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

FLA 2.39 xGTBL 3.20 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdTBL goal, 8:54TBL goal, 12:09TBL goal, 15:07FLA goal, 4:17TBL goal, 9:40FLA goal, 11:09FLA goal, 14:33TBL goal, 9:34TBL goal, 16:22

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

FLA25 on goal, 3 scored
TBL31 on goal, 6 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

FLA Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. TkachukLW0222400216:211:37
S. ReinhartC101450-2018:301:45
A. LundellC011110-1017:340:56
C. VerhaegheC101300+1017:161:39
E. LuostarinenC0110410215:160:46
E. RodriguesC011220-1013:200:40
A. BarkovC000341-1218:071:27
K. StenlundC000070+1015:280:00
V. TarasenkoRW000021-1013:220:40
N. CousinsC000120-109:330:09
K. OkposoRW000231009:070:09
S. LorentzC000041008:280:09
B. MontourD011214-2224:091:45
O. Ekman-LarssonD1011220214:280:40
G. ForslingD000134-1223:150:17
A. EkbladD000151-1020:430:11
N. MikkolaD000250-1220:340:00
D. KulikovD000031+2214:490:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Bobrovsky32266.81360:00Loss
A. Stolarz000–0:00

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
B. HagelLW213412+1020:513:22
N. KucherovRW033122+1220:244:46
B. PointC123410+2019:224:29
S. StamkosC2027410019:384:38
A. CirelliC011031+1016:470:42
N. PaulLW101532-1215:502:07
M. EyssimontC0001800013:090:32
M. ChaffeeRW0001400011:420:00
L. GlendeningC0003500011:120:06
T. JeannotLW0000400210:130:00
A. DuclairLW000023-109:520:45
T. MotteC000021029:250:00
V. HedmanD033322+2024:014:25
M. SergachevD0110020017:031:02
E. CernakD000080+2021:270:21
M. DumbaD0002720019:360:00
E. LillebergD0000210019:030:00
M. CrozierD0001300014:000:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Vasilevskiy25223.88060:00Win
M. Tomkins000–0:00