Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
FLA4
Final/OTTue, Jan 17, 2023Every game that night
TOR5

TOR beat FLA 5-4 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 4.83 expected goals to 2.07. TOR outshot FLA 37 to 19. W. Nylander led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). I. Samsonov stopped 11 of 11.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
FLA31004
TOR21115
  1. 1st 1:52FLAC. Verhaeghe0.11 xG
  2. 1st 2:38TORD. Hunt0.27 xG
  3. 1st 12:34FLAA. LundellSH0.04 xG
  4. 1st 15:10TORA. KerfootPP0.03 xG
  5. 1st 18:04FLAJ. Mahura0.00 xG
  6. 2nd 1:41FLAA. BarkovPP0.05 xG
  7. 2nd 19:57TORA. MatthewsPP0.38 xG
  8. 3rd 5:59TORW. Nylander0.12 xG
  9. OT 1:53TORW. Nylander0.33 xG

Team Stats

FLATOR
19Shots on goal37
2.07Expected goals4.83
43Shot attempts63
135v5 shots on goal24
1/3Power play2/7
28Hits16
14Blocked shots15
18Penalty minutes12
8Giveaways18
6Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

FLA 2.07 xGTOR 4.83 xGGoal

0123451st2nd3rdOTFLA goal, 1:52TOR goal, 2:38FLA goal, 12:34TOR goal, 15:10FLA goal, 18:04FLA goal, 1:41TOR goal, 19:57TOR goal, 5:59TOR goal, 1:53

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

FLA19 on goal, 4 scored
TOR37 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

FLA Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. BarkovC1122110021:283:49
S. ReinhartC011002-2018:154:09
A. LundellC1013000017:561:05
C. VerhaegheC1016000017:301:25
G. DenisenkoLW011030009:210:22
M. TkachukLW000101+1020:365:04
S. BennettC000031+1419:201:34
E. LuostarinenC000010+1014:350:22
E. StaalC000100-1012:150:00
N. CousinsC0001000210:010:22
G. SmithRW000010006:190:00
R. LombergLW000130025:400:00
A. EkbladD011123+2026:233:40
B. MontourD011120-1223:005:12
R. GudasD0110940416:370:02
J. MahuraD1011010014:470:22
G. ForslingD0001010222:540:32
M. StaalD0000300217:070:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Bobrovsky37325.86561:53OT loss
A. Lyon000–0:00

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
W. NylanderRW213400+1020:196:23
M. MarnerRW0220100221:265:52
A. MatthewsC1015020221:327:15
J. TavaresC011611-2017:585:59
C. JarnkrokC011220-1017:453:05
A. KerfootC1012000013:520:27
Z. Aston-ReeseLW0114120211:200:04
D. HuntLW101200005:450:00
D. KampfC0003000016:260:04
M. BuntingLW000000-1216:084:13
P. EngvallLW0002100014:283:04
B. McMannC000210029:131:53
M. RiellyD011111+1024:445:19
T. LiljegrenD011124+1220:591:03
M. GiordanoD011120+2019:200:28
C. TimminsD011211-1014:212:12
J. HollD0000120018:310:00
J. BennD000022-2013:560:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
M. Murray844.50021:41
I. Samsonov111101.00040:12Win

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamSergei Bobrovsky TOR First game against FLA since he left (his team until Apr 2026)32 saves on 37
  • HometownCarter Verhaeghe FLA Plays in his hometown1 G, 6 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.