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Game Recap
FLA3
Final/OTWed, Mar 29, 2023Every game that night
TOR2

FLA beat TOR 3-2 in overtime despite fewer good chances: 3.35 expected goals to 4.36. TOR outshot FLA 40 to 29. S. Reinhart led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). A. Lyon stopped 38 of 40.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
FLA10113
TOR01102
  1. 1st 1:00FLAA. Lundell0.11 xG
  2. 2nd 3:13TORZ. Aston-Reese0.08 xG
  3. 3rd 6:40TORA. Matthews0.03 xG
  4. 3rd 19:00FLAS. ReinhartPP0.16 xG
  5. OT 1:41FLAB. Montour0.14 xG

Team Stats

FLATOR
29Shots on goal40
3.35Expected goals4.36
52Shot attempts66
195v5 shots on goal31
1/4Power play0/4
23Hits13
12Blocked shots12
10Penalty minutes10
12Giveaways14
4Takeaways9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

FLA 3.35 xGTOR 4.36 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdOTFLA goal, 1:00TOR goal, 3:13TOR goal, 6:40FLA goal, 19:00FLA goal, 1:41

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

FLA27 on goal, 3 scored
TOR40 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

FLA Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
S. ReinhartC112212+1020:215:06
A. BarkovC0111000024:064:50
E. LuostarinenC011001+1017:352:03
A. LundellC101300+1013:430:00
M. TkachukLW000310+1020:596:40
C. VerhaegheC000100-1218:243:49
E. StaalC0002110018:100:10
A. DuclairLW000320-1016:142:21
R. LombergLW0003320214:030:10
N. CousinsC000110-107:020:34
C. WhiteC000021-104:170:00
G. SmithRW000010-103:290:00
B. MontourD112121+1024:236:36
A. EkbladD011530-1224:154:19
G. ForslingD000321-1025:160:50
R. GudasD0001330217:230:00
M. StaalD0000000015:350:00
J. MahuraD0000100211:060:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Lyon40382.95060:23Win
M. Guzda000–0:00

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. MarnerRW011311+1424:096:10
A. MatthewsC101500+1023:266:04
Z. Aston-ReeseLW101530+108:270:00
W. SimmondsRW011020+126:140:00
J. TavaresC000101-1020:375:36
W. NylanderRW000400-2020:346:37
D. KampfC0001000018:410:00
C. JarnkrokC000220+1017:581:50
A. KerfootC000400-1213:500:43
M. BuntingLW0003100013:442:21
S. LaffertyC0001120013:061:24
T. BrodieD011201+1021:440:00
M. RiellyD000104-1019:545:34
M. GiordanoD0004010219:262:26
J. McCabeD000031+1019:190:00
J. HollD0002010016:390:00
T. LiljegrenD0002000010:071:15
L. SchennD000000007:560:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
I. Samsonov29263.89761:33OT loss
M. Murray000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.