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Game Recap
LAK2
ANA1
LAK beat ANA 2-1, with the chances close: 2.70 expected goals to 3.03. ANA outshot LAK 31 to 18. A. Laferriere led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). E. Portillo stopped 28 of 29.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| ANA | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
- 2nd 2:48ANAR. Strome0.36 xG
- 2nd 10:46LAKA. Turcotte0.19 xG
- 3rd 1:18LAKA. Laferriere0.41 xG
Team Stats
LAKANA
18Shots on goal31
2.70Expected goals3.03
56Shot attempts62
155v5 shots on goal23
0/2Power play0/3
18Hits25
9Blocked shots20
8Penalty minutes6
11Giveaways9
6Takeaways5
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
LAK 2.70 xGANA 3.03 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
LAK Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Laferriere | RW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:55 | 2:51 |
| P. Danault | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:59 | 0:43 |
| A. Turcotte | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:41 | 0:38 |
| A. Kempe | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:04 | 3:22 |
| A. Kopitar | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:41 | 3:17 |
| K. Fiala | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:30 | 3:22 |
| Q. Byfield | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:16 | 2:49 |
| W. Foegele | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:45 | 1:09 |
| T. Lewis | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:38 | 0:00 |
| T. Jeannot | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:01 | 0:56 |
| A. Lee | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:30 | 0:00 |
| S. Helenius | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:54 | 0:00 |
| B. Clarke | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:48 | 0:38 |
| V. Gavrikov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 0 | 27:16 | 0:00 |
| M. Anderson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26:17 | 0:00 |
| J. Edmundson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 18:44 | 0:15 |
| J. Spence | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:39 | 0:00 |
| J. Moverare | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 10:22 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Portillo | 29 | 28 | 1 | .966 | 58:37 | Win |
| D. Rittich | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | 1:23 |
ANA Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Terry | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:31 | 3:08 |
| R. Strome | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:39 | 3:06 |
| A. Killorn | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 20:14 | 2:59 |
| T. Zegras | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -2 | 2 | 20:03 | 2:46 |
| F. Vatrano | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:38 | 3:00 |
| M. McTavish | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 17:04 | 2:56 |
| B. Leason | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16:02 | 2:51 |
| I. Lundestrom | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:28 | 0:00 |
| C. Gauthier | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14:04 | 2:52 |
| J. Harkins | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8:28 | 0:00 |
| R. Johnston | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:56 | 0:00 |
| S. Colangelo | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:08 | 0:00 |
| D. Helleson | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:37 | 0:04 |
| B. Dumoulin | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20:48 | 0:10 |
| O. Zellweger | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:40 | 3:16 |
| J. LaCombe | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19:17 | 0:12 |
| P. Mintyukov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 0 | 18:49 | 2:40 |
| R. Gudas | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 16:05 | 0:00 |
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | LAK 3.3, ANA 2.5 | LAK 2, ANA 1 |
| Total goals | 5.8 | 3 |
| Shots on goal | LAK 31.8, ANA 24.6 | LAK 18, ANA 31 |
| Win chance | LAK 62% | LAK won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK A. Kempe | 3.2 | 1 | 0.98 | 0 | 36% | 0 |
| ANA F. Vatrano | 2.9 | 4 | 0.60 | 0 | 28% | 0 |
| LAK K. Fiala | 2.6 | 1 | 0.86 | 0 | 29% | 0 |
| LAK W. Foegele | 2.5 | 1 | 0.54 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| LAK B. Clarke | 2.3 | 2 | 0.54 | 1 | 10% | 0 |
| LAK A. Laferriere | 2.1 | 3 | 0.50 | 2 | 21% | 1 |
| ANA T. Terry | 2.0 | 3 | 0.70 | 1 | 26% | 0 |
| ANA T. Zegras | 1.9 | 1 | 0.61 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| LAK Q. Byfield | 1.9 | 1 | 0.60 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| ANA C. Gauthier | 1.8 | 3 | 0.43 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| LAK P. Danault | 1.8 | 2 | 0.59 | 1 | 20% | 0 |
| ANA A. Killorn | 1.7 | 3 | 0.54 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| ANA M. McTavish | 1.6 | 3 | 0.54 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| LAK A. Kopitar | 1.6 | 1 | 0.93 | 0 | 26% | 0 |
| ANA R. Strome | 1.6 | 4 | 0.48 | 1 | 16% | 1 |
| ANA S. Colangelo | 1.5 | 1 | 0.24 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| ANA O. Zellweger | 1.5 | 2 | 0.37 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| LAK V. Gavrikov | 1.5 | 0 | 0.39 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| LAK M. Anderson | 1.5 | 1 | 0.31 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| LAK T. Lewis | 1.4 | 2 | 0.24 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| ANA B. Leason | 1.4 | 1 | 0.37 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| LAK J. Spence | 1.4 | 0 | 0.32 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| ANA P. Mintyukov | 1.3 | 1 | 0.39 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| LAK J. Edmundson | 1.2 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| LAK A. Lee | 1.1 | 0 | 0.21 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| LAK A. Turcotte | 1.1 | 2 | 0.29 | 1 | 9% | 1 |
| ANA R. Gudas | 1.1 | 1 | 0.24 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| ANA B. Dumoulin | 1.0 | 2 | 0.27 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| LAK T. Jeannot | 1.0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| ANA I. Lundestrom | 1.0 | 0 | 0.28 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| ANA J. Harkins | 0.9 | 1 | 0.18 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| ANA J. LaCombe | 0.8 | 1 | 0.24 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| ANA D. Helleson | 0.8 | 0 | 0.32 | 1 | 7% | 0 |
| LAK S. Helenius | 0.7 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| LAK J. Moverare | 0.6 | 0 | 0.07 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| ANA R. Johnston | 0.6 | 0 | 0.14 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 22 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.