Game Recap: LAK 4, TOR 3 (OT), November 13, 2025

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Game Recap

LAK4

Final/OTThu, Nov 13, 2025Every game that night

TOR3

LAK beat TOR 4-3 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 4.15 expected goals to 2.00. LAK outshot TOR 37 to 15. J. Tavares led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). C. Perry had 5 shots on goal against our projection of 1.8. D. Kuemper stopped 12 of 15.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	T
LAK	0	2	1	1	4
TOR	2	1	0	0	3

1st 8:06TORB. McMann0.17 xG
1st 16:39TORJ. Tavares0.23 xG
2nd 6:51LAKW. Foegele0.03 xG
2nd 15:41LAKK. Fiala0.20 xG
2nd 17:16TORJ. Tavares0.16 xG
3rd 13:10LAKA. Laferriere0.08 xG
OT 0:35LAKQ. Byfield0.11 xG

Team Stats

LAKTOR

37Shots on goal15

4.15Expected goals2.00

87Shot attempts33

285v5 shots on goal13

0/2Power play0/1

14Hits26

7Blocked shots20

2Penalty minutes4

18Giveaways17

3Takeaways2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

LAK 4.15 xGTOR 2.00 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

LAK37 on goal, 4 scored

TOR15 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

LAK Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
Q. Byfield	RW	1	1	2	3	1	0	+2	0	19:41	3:26
K. Fiala	LW	1	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	20:31	3:27
A. Kempe	RW	0	1	1	4	0	1	0	0	18:48	3:37
A. Laferriere	RW	1	0	1	5	4	0	+1	0	16:36	0:32
W. Foegele	LW	1	0	1	2	3	0	+1	0	13:16	0:02
A. Kopitar	C	0	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	18:34	3:26
C. Perry	RW	0	0	0	5	0	1	0	2	16:08	3:29
T. Moore	LW	0	0	0	3	0	0	+1	0	15:43	0:23
P. Danault	C	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	15:42	0:31
J. Armia	RW	0	0	0	0	1	0	-1	0	13:31	0:00
A. Turcotte	C	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	9:01	0:00
J. Malott	LW	0	0	0	3	4	0	-1	0	9:00	0:00
D. Doughty	D	0	2	2	0	1	2	+2	0	21:22	0:33
B. Clarke	D	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	20:50	0:32
B. Dumoulin	D	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	18:32	0:00
M. Anderson	D	0	1	1	1	0	1	+1	0	17:43	0:02
C. Ceci	D	0	1	1	0	0	1	-1	0	17:25	0:00
J. Edmundson	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	17:22	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Kuemper	15	12	3	.800	60:35	Win
A. Forsberg	0	0	0	–	0:00

TOR Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Knies	LW	0	2	2	2	3	1	0	0	23:50	1:00
J. Tavares	C	2	0	2	4	0	1	+2	2	21:59	1:03
W. Nylander	RW	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	21:44	1:05
B. McMann	C	1	0	1	3	3	0	-1	0	14:19	0:57
N. Roy	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	-1	0	18:07	0:55
M. Maccelli	LW	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	14:01	0:55
N. Robertson	LW	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	13:46	1:00
M. Domi	C	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	13:24	0:48
D. Joshua	C	0	0	0	0	6	1	0	0	12:56	0:00
S. Lorentz	C	0	0	0	0	3	0	-1	0	10:19	0:00
C. Jarnkrok	C	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	9:56	0:00
S. Blais	LW	0	0	0	0	2	0	-1	0	4:19	0:00
O. Ekman-Larsson	D	0	1	1	0	2	0	+1	0	20:33	0:48
M. Rielly	D	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	23:36	1:06
J. McCabe	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	-1	0	21:47	0:17
B. Carlo	D	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	19:44	0:00
S. Benoit	D	0	0	0	1	1	6	0	0	18:53	0:06
D. Mermis	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	14:32	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Hildeby	37	33	4	.892	60:35	OT loss
A. Akhtyamov	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

LAK

Line 1Q. Byfield15:09A. Laferriere15:48K. Fiala17:04

Line 2A. Kopitar15:08A. Kempe14:36J. Armia12:16

Line 3T. Moore14:07P. Danault14:57W. Foegele12:44

Line 4C. Perry12:39A. Turcotte9:01J. Malott9:00

Pair 1D. Doughty19:02M. Anderson16:10

Pair 2B. Dumoulin18:32C. Ceci16:56

Pair 3B. Clarke20:18J. Edmundson16:33

TOR

Line 1J. Tavares20:51W. Nylander20:04M. Knies20:23

Line 2M. Domi12:36N. Robertson12:46B. McMann13:22

Line 3M. Maccelli13:06N. Roy15:11D. Joshua12:56

Line 4C. Jarnkrok8:02S. Lorentz8:11S. Blais4:19

Pair 1J. McCabe18:30S. Benoit17:11

Pair 2M. Rielly22:30B. Carlo17:19

Pair 3O. Ekman-Larsson18:11D. Mermis14:32

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

HometownQuinton Byfield LAK Plays near home (born in Newmarket)1 G, 1 A, 3 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	LAK 3.1, TOR 3.1	LAK 4, TOR 3
Total goals	6.2	7
Shots on goal	LAK 29.2, TOR 27.1	LAK 37, TOR 15
Win chance	LAK 50%	LAK won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
LAK K. Fiala	3.2	3	0.83	1	31%	1
LAK A. Kempe	2.9	4	0.89	1	32%	0
TOR W. Nylander	2.9	0	1.11	1	38%	0
TOR J. Tavares	2.7	4	0.89	2	33%	2
LAK A. Laferriere	2.3	5	0.50	1	18%	1
TOR M. Knies	2.3	2	0.84	2	29%	0
LAK Q. Byfield	2.2	3	0.73	2	22%	1
LAK T. Moore	2.1	3	0.48	0	20%	0
LAK C. Perry	1.8	5	0.54	0	24%	0
TOR N. Robertson	1.8	1	0.43	0	20%	0
LAK W. Foegele	1.8	2	0.36	1	16%	1
LAK B. Clarke	1.8	1	0.44	1	9%	0
TOR B. McMann	1.7	3	0.36	1	18%	1
TOR M. Rielly	1.5	0	0.55	0	9%	0
LAK P. Danault	1.5	3	0.52	0	16%	0
LAK D. Doughty	1.4	0	0.51	2	12%	0
TOR O. Ekman-Larsson	1.3	0	0.41	1	8%	0
TOR M. Domi	1.3	1	0.42	0	12%	0
TOR N. Roy	1.3	1	0.41	0	16%	0
LAK A. Kopitar	1.3	1	0.75	0	21%	0
TOR M. Maccelli	1.3	1	0.43	0	14%	0
LAK J. Armia	1.2	0	0.33	0	13%	0
TOR B. Carlo	1.1	1	0.15	0	4%	0
LAK J. Edmundson	1.0	1	0.23	0	5%	0
TOR J. McCabe	1.0	0	0.34	0	5%	0
TOR D. Joshua	1.0	0	0.31	0	15%	0
TOR S. Lorentz	1.0	0	0.23	0	9%	0
LAK C. Ceci	0.9	0	0.23	1	4%	0
LAK A. Turcotte	0.9	2	0.23	0	8%	0
TOR D. Mermis	0.9	0	0.15	0	4%	0
TOR C. Jarnkrok	0.9	0	0.26	0	12%	0
LAK B. Dumoulin	0.8	0	0.22	1	4%	0
LAK M. Anderson	0.8	1	0.24	1	5%	0
TOR S. Blais	0.7	0	0.21	0	7%	0
LAK J. Malott	0.7	3	0.12	0	7%	0
TOR S. Benoit	0.7	1	0.11	0	2%	0

Shots on goal: 23 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.