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Game Recap
LAK4
UTA2
LAK beat UTA 4-2 despite fewer good chances: 2.12 expected goals to 2.83. UTA outshot LAK 30 to 20. D. Doughty led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). D. Kuemper stopped 28 of 30.
Team Stats
LAKUTA
20Shots on goal30
2.12Expected goals2.83
53Shot attempts62
165v5 shots on goal24
0/1Power play1/3
26Hits28
15Blocked shots19
8Penalty minutes2
21Giveaways26
4Takeaways5
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
LAK 2.12 xGUTA 2.83 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
LAK Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Byfield | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 19:39 | 1:01 |
| K. Fiala | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 18:31 | 1:00 |
| A. Kempe | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:47 | 0:57 |
| T. Moore | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:03 | 0:53 |
| A. Kuzmenko | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:39 | 1:06 |
| P. Danault | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:21 | 0:55 |
| A. Kopitar | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18:18 | 0:59 |
| A. Laferriere | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:33 | 0:05 |
| W. Foegele | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:06 | 0:56 |
| T. Lewis | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8:58 | 0:00 |
| S. Helenius | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:25 | 0:00 |
| J. Malott | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:34 | 0:00 |
| D. Doughty | D | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 22:24 | 0:47 |
| J. Edmundson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 25:21 | 0:08 |
| M. Anderson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 0 | 24:30 | 0:00 |
| V. Gavrikov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:42 | 0:00 |
| B. Clarke | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 14:32 | 1:13 |
| J. Moverare | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 10:30 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kuemper | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 60:00 | Win |
| D. Rittich | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
UTA Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McBain | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:58 | 0:32 |
| J. Doan | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:54 | 0:22 |
| L. Crouse | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:44 | 0:00 |
| K. Yamamoto | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:16 | 0:41 |
| C. Keller | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 | 18:17 | 3:25 |
| D. Guenther | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 17:56 | 3:36 |
| L. Cooley | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 17:29 | 0:42 |
| B. Hayton | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 16:22 | 3:26 |
| K. Stenlund | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15:29 | 0:00 |
| A. Kerfoot | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14:37 | 0:09 |
| N. Schmaltz | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 13:58 | 3:26 |
| N. Bjugstad | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:37 | 0:00 |
| S. Durzi | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 19:02 | 0:29 |
| M. Sergachev | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 24:19 | 3:38 |
| J. Marino | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 20:52 | 0:00 |
| I. Cole | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 0 | 18:04 | 0:09 |
| M. Kesselring | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 16:47 | 0:00 |
| O. Maatta | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:33 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Vejmelka | 19 | 16 | 3 | .842 | 59:46 | Loss |
| M. Villalta | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | LAK 3.0, UTA 2.9 | LAK 4, UTA 2 |
| Total goals | 5.9 | 6 |
| Shots on goal | LAK 27.2, UTA 26.6 | LAK 20, UTA 30 |
| Win chance | LAK 52% | LAK won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK A. Kempe | 2.6 | 3 | 0.78 | 1 | 32% | 1 |
| UTA D. Guenther | 2.5 | 2 | 0.66 | 0 | 27% | 0 |
| LAK K. Fiala | 2.5 | 3 | 0.72 | 1 | 27% | 1 |
| LAK W. Foegele | 2.4 | 2 | 0.54 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| UTA C. Keller | 2.3 | 4 | 0.83 | 0 | 27% | 0 |
| LAK T. Moore | 2.1 | 2 | 0.52 | 1 | 21% | 1 |
| LAK A. Laferriere | 2.0 | 2 | 0.38 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| UTA L. Cooley | 2.0 | 1 | 0.67 | 0 | 25% | 0 |
| UTA N. Schmaltz | 1.9 | 2 | 0.68 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| LAK Q. Byfield | 1.8 | 2 | 0.60 | 1 | 19% | 0 |
| UTA B. Hayton | 1.7 | 2 | 0.44 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| LAK P. Danault | 1.5 | 1 | 0.52 | 1 | 17% | 0 |
| UTA M. Sergachev | 1.5 | 4 | 0.56 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| LAK A. Kuzmenko | 1.5 | 0 | 0.63 | 1 | 26% | 0 |
| LAK B. Clarke | 1.5 | 0 | 0.36 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| UTA S. Durzi | 1.4 | 2 | 0.40 | 1 | 8% | 0 |
| UTA J. Doan | 1.4 | 3 | 0.36 | 1 | 14% | 0 |
| UTA L. Crouse | 1.4 | 2 | 0.28 | 1 | 16% | 1 |
| UTA N. Bjugstad | 1.3 | 0 | 0.27 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| LAK D. Doughty | 1.3 | 2 | 0.49 | 2 | 11% | 1 |
| UTA M. Kesselring | 1.3 | 2 | 0.25 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| LAK A. Kopitar | 1.2 | 0 | 0.70 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| UTA A. Kerfoot | 1.2 | 1 | 0.35 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| UTA K. Stenlund | 1.1 | 3 | 0.24 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| LAK V. Gavrikov | 1.1 | 2 | 0.28 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| LAK J. Edmundson | 1.1 | 0 | 0.22 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| LAK M. Anderson | 1.0 | 0 | 0.24 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| UTA K. Yamamoto | 1.0 | 0 | 0.28 | 1 | 13% | 0 |
| UTA J. McBain | 1.0 | 1 | 0.29 | 2 | 13% | 1 |
| LAK T. Lewis | 0.9 | 0 | 0.16 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| LAK J. Malott | 0.9 | 0 | 0.16 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| UTA J. Marino | 0.8 | 0 | 0.30 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| UTA I. Cole | 0.7 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| UTA O. Maatta | 0.7 | 1 | 0.18 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| LAK S. Helenius | 0.6 | 1 | 0.14 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| LAK J. Moverare | 0.5 | 0 | 0.11 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 26 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.0 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.