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Game Recap
LAK5
VAN1
LAK beat VAN 5-1, and the chances backed it up: 2.56 expected goals to 1.74. A. Turcotte led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). A. Turcotte had 4 shots on goal against our projection of 1.2. D. Kuemper stopped 20 of 21.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| VAN | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
- 1st 0:51LAKA. Turcotte0.13 xG
- 1st 9:18LAKA. Turcotte0.14 xG
- 1st 9:42LAKA. Kempe0.17 xG
- 2nd 14:52VANQ. Hughes0.03 xG
- 2nd 15:58LAKK. FialaPP0.19 xG
- 3rd 11:36LAKW. Foegele0.31 xG
Team Stats
LAKVAN
21Shots on goal21
2.56Expected goals1.74
45Shot attempts54
175v5 shots on goal18
1/3Power play0/5
12Hits22
17Blocked shots12
15Penalty minutes21
16Giveaways13
8Takeaways3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
LAK 2.56 xGVAN 1.74 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
LAK Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Turcotte | C | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 16:20 | 1:27 |
| A. Kempe | RW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:07 | 1:32 |
| K. Fiala | LW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:36 | 3:04 |
| Q. Byfield | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:25 | 2:23 |
| T. Moore | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:47 | 0:41 |
| A. Kopitar | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +2 | 0 | 17:46 | 1:38 |
| W. Foegele | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17:26 | 0:00 |
| P. Danault | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:12 | 0:52 |
| T. Lewis | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11:03 | 0:27 |
| T. Jeannot | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 10:21 | 0:34 |
| S. Helenius | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:31 | 0:30 |
| M. Anderson | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23:44 | 0:00 |
| J. Edmundson | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 19:36 | 0:24 |
| B. Clarke | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 14:59 | 3:00 |
| V. Gavrikov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25:27 | 0:06 |
| J. Spence | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:32 | 1:00 |
| J. Moverare | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:05 | 0:00 |
| K. Burroughs | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:03 | 1:22 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kuemper | 21 | 20 | 1 | .952 | 60:00 | Win |
| D. Rittich | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
VAN Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Garland | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:56 | 5:22 |
| E. Pettersson | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 0 | 20:39 | 5:52 |
| J. DeBrusk | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 17:44 | 5:55 |
| P. Suter | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:42 | 3:05 |
| K. Sherwood | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:32 | 2:56 |
| T. Blueger | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 15:05 | 0:04 |
| N. Hoglander | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:40 | 0:03 |
| J. Miller | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 14:34 | 4:45 |
| B. Boeser | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 13:38 | 3:26 |
| J. Lekkerimäki | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 13:01 | 2:19 |
| D. Heinen | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:24 | 0:02 |
| P. Di Giuseppe | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 10:27 | 0:00 |
| Q. Hughes | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 29:26 | 7:05 |
| F. Hronek | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 22:13 | 1:26 |
| D. Forbort | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 16:09 | 0:00 |
| C. Soucy | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15:40 | 0:15 |
| T. Myers | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 0 | 14:37 | 0:00 |
| V. Desharnais | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14:21 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Demko | 21 | 16 | 5 | .762 | 59:55 | Loss |
| K. Lankinen | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | LAK 2.7, VAN 2.6 | LAK 5, VAN 1 |
| Total goals | 5.4 | 6 |
| Shots on goal | LAK 25.8, VAN 23.7 | LAK 21, VAN 21 |
| Win chance | LAK 51% | LAK won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK A. Kempe | 2.9 | 2 | 0.95 | 2 | 35% | 1 |
| LAK K. Fiala | 2.7 | 3 | 0.84 | 2 | 29% | 1 |
| VAN Q. Hughes | 2.2 | 3 | 0.89 | 1 | 11% | 1 |
| LAK W. Foegele | 2.2 | 3 | 0.53 | 1 | 20% | 1 |
| VAN C. Garland | 2.1 | 0 | 0.61 | 1 | 22% | 0 |
| LAK T. Moore | 2.0 | 0 | 0.52 | 1 | 19% | 0 |
| LAK Q. Byfield | 2.0 | 1 | 0.63 | 1 | 19% | 0 |
| VAN J. DeBrusk | 1.9 | 1 | 0.56 | 0 | 26% | 0 |
| VAN B. Boeser | 1.9 | 0 | 0.68 | 0 | 28% | 0 |
| VAN K. Sherwood | 1.8 | 0 | 0.46 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| VAN J. Miller | 1.8 | 0 | 0.81 | 0 | 25% | 0 |
| VAN E. Pettersson | 1.8 | 3 | 0.76 | 0 | 27% | 0 |
| LAK P. Danault | 1.6 | 3 | 0.56 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| LAK B. Clarke | 1.6 | 1 | 0.38 | 1 | 7% | 0 |
| VAN P. Suter | 1.5 | 2 | 0.39 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| LAK A. Kopitar | 1.5 | 0 | 0.84 | 1 | 24% | 0 |
| VAN F. Hronek | 1.3 | 1 | 0.42 | 1 | 7% | 0 |
| LAK M. Anderson | 1.3 | 0 | 0.29 | 1 | 8% | 0 |
| LAK V. Gavrikov | 1.3 | 0 | 0.34 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| VAN J. Lekkerimäki | 1.3 | 2 | 0.30 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| LAK A. Turcotte | 1.2 | 4 | 0.37 | 3 | 12% | 2 |
| VAN D. Heinen | 1.1 | 0 | 0.40 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| VAN T. Myers | 1.1 | 1 | 0.27 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| VAN T. Blueger | 1.1 | 0 | 0.33 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| LAK J. Edmundson | 1.1 | 0 | 0.20 | 1 | 6% | 0 |
| LAK J. Spence | 1.1 | 2 | 0.31 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| LAK T. Lewis | 1.0 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| VAN N. Hoglander | 1.0 | 3 | 0.27 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| VAN P. Giuseppe | 1.0 | 1 | 0.22 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| VAN C. Soucy | 0.8 | 3 | 0.18 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| LAK T. Jeannot | 0.8 | 2 | 0.22 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| VAN D. Forbort | 0.7 | 0 | 0.15 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| LAK J. Moverare | 0.7 | 0 | 0.13 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| LAK S. Helenius | 0.6 | 0 | 0.13 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| VAN V. Desharnais | 0.5 | 1 | 0.12 | 0 | 1% | 0 |
| LAK K. Burroughs | 0.2 | 0 | 0.03 | 0 | 1% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 17 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.