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Game Recap
MIN4
FinalSat, Oct 14, 2023Every game that night
TOR7

TOR beat MIN 7-4, with the chances close: 3.40 expected goals to 2.82. A. Matthews scored three for TOR. I. Samsonov stopped 28 of 32.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
MIN1214
TOR3137
  1. 1st 9:32MINR. Hartman0.08 xG
  2. 1st 10:54TORA. Matthews0.14 xG
  3. 1st 12:35TORA. MatthewsPP0.07 xG
  4. 1st 19:37TORW. Nylander0.19 xG
  5. 2nd 3:35TORT. BertuzziPP0.21 xG
  6. 2nd 4:09MINM. Boldy0.02 xG
  7. 2nd 9:51MINM. Rossi0.02 xG
  8. 3rd 9:54TORC. Jarnkrok0.35 xG
  9. 3rd 10:25TORA. Matthews0.11 xG
  10. 3rd 12:14TORW. Nylander0.02 xG
  11. 3rd 17:32MINB. Duhaime0.11 xG

Team Stats

MINTOR
32Shots on goal33
2.82Expected goals3.40
64Shot attempts53
305v5 shots on goal27
0/1Power play2/3
41Hits26
10Blocked shots19
13Penalty minutes9
8Giveaways9
6Takeaways10

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

MIN 2.82 xGTOR 3.40 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdMIN goal, 9:32TOR goal, 10:54TOR goal, 12:35TOR goal, 19:37TOR goal, 3:35MIN goal, 4:09MIN goal, 9:51TOR goal, 9:54TOR goal, 10:25TOR goal, 12:14MIN goal, 17:32

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

MIN32 on goal, 4 scored
TOR32 on goal, 7 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

MIN Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
K. KaprizovLW011210-2022:041:54
R. HartmanRW101450-1017:320:28
M. ZuccarelloRW011110-1017:271:32
M. BoldyLW1015100016:031:59
C. DewarC011050+1213:380:00
B. DuhaimeLW101250+1012:340:00
M. RossiC101511-1011:490:25
M. FolignoLW011170+1510:470:00
J. Eriksson EkC000260-1016:411:35
M. JohanssonLW000110-1015:470:06
P. MaroonLW0000200011:400:00
F. GaudreauC000310+109:510:00
J. BrodinD011102+2025:160:00
B. FaberD011222+3024:230:00
J. MiddletonD011212-2019:540:01
C. AddisonD011110-1015:221:53
J. MerrillD000001-1217:120:00
A. GoligoskiD000012-3416:040:07
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
F. Gustavsson33267.78860:00Loss
M. Fleury000–0:00

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. MatthewsC303531+1019:383:01
W. NylanderRW2136100017:053:00
M. MarnerRW022212+1020:053:03
J. TavaresC0222110017:343:02
C. JarnkrokC112431+1014:080:53
T. BertuzziLW101421+3216:360:51
M. DomiC011100-1213:360:53
F. MintenC000001+1014:000:00
M. KniesLW0002200013:130:02
D. KampfC000002-1011:500:03
N. GregorLW000312-1011:420:00
R. ReavesRW000060-159:390:00
M. RiellyD022111+4021:260:49
J. KlingbergD0110100021:022:55
T. BrodieD011210+1019:490:03
J. McCabeD000111-2019:580:00
T. LiljegrenD0000040018:480:53
M. GiordanoD000022-1015:510:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
I. Samsonov32284.87560:00Win
J. Woll000–0:00