Game Recap: NJD 5, DET 3, April 11, 2026

Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!

Game Recap

NJD5

FinalSat, Apr 11, 2026Every game that night

DET3

NJD beat DET 5-3, and the chances backed it up: 4.60 expected goals to 2.92. J. Bratt led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). D. Perron had 5 shots on goal against our projection of 1.4. J. Allen stopped 25 of 28.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
NJD	1	1	3	5
DET	1	1	1	3

1st 9:41DETJ. Faulk0.13 xG
1st 10:40NJDJ. Hughes0.11 xG
2nd 11:59DETD. Perron0.07 xG
2nd 15:16NJDJ. Bratt0.05 xG
3rd 7:00DETE. Finnie0.40 xG
3rd 11:18NJDC. Glass0.39 xG
3rd 16:26NJDJ. Bratt0.13 xG
3rd 19:00NJDD. MercerEN0.81 xG

Team Stats

NJDDET

33Shots on goal28

4.60Expected goals2.92

64Shot attempts58

325v5 shots on goal23

0/0Power play0/1

13Hits21

11Blocked shots14

2Penalty minutes0

11Giveaways11

2Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

NJD 4.60 xGDET 2.92 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

NJD33 on goal, 5 scored

DET28 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

NJD Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
J. Bratt	LW	2	1	3	3	0	0	+2	0	17:01	0:00
J. Hughes	C	1	1	2	3	0	0	+1	0	19:47	0:00
D. Mercer	C	1	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	20:58	0:00
T. Meier	RW	0	1	1	4	2	0	+1	0	20:51	0:00
N. Hischier	C	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	20:13	0:00
C. Brown	RW	0	1	1	1	0	0	+1	0	18:17	0:00
C. Glass	C	1	0	1	3	2	0	+2	0	12:13	0:00
N. Bjugstad	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	+2	0	11:56	0:00
L. Hameenaho	RW	0	0	0	3	1	1	0	0	11:51	0:00
P. Cotter	LW	0	0	0	0	2	0	-1	0	8:54	0:00
B. Halonen	LW	0	0	0	2	2	0	-1	0	8:04	0:00
M. McLaughlin	C	0	0	0	0	0	1	-1	0	7:49	0:00
D. Hamilton	D	0	2	2	1	0	0	+3	2	21:55	0:00
J. Siegenthaler	D	0	1	1	0	0	3	+3	0	22:36	0:00
J. Kovacevic	D	0	1	1	0	2	1	+1	0	18:42	0:00
D. Cholowski	D	0	1	1	1	0	0	+1	0	14:49	0:00
S. Nemec	D	0	0	0	4	1	4	-2	0	21:12	0:00
B. Dillon	D	0	0	0	2	1	1	-2	0	20:52	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Allen	28	25	3	.893	60:00	Win
N. Daws	0	0	0	–	0:00

DET Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	TOI	PP TOI
D. Larkin	C	0	2	2	4	0	0	-1	20:08	1:35
E. Finnie	C	1	1	2	3	1	1	+1	16:50	0:17
L. Raymond	LW	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	19:54	1:43
D. Perron	LW	1	0	1	5	3	1	-3	15:37	0:18
J. Compher	LW	0	1	1	1	0	1	-2	14:39	0:00
A. DeBrincat	RW	0	0	0	1	0	1	-1	21:12	1:34
P. Kane	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	20:47	1:42
A. Copp	C	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	17:41	0:25
C. Mazur	LW	0	0	0	2	1	0	-2	14:43	0:00
M. Kasper	C	0	0	0	1	2	1	+1	9:14	0:00
J. van Riemsdyk	LW	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7:13	0:26
D. Shine	RW	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	6:17	0:00
J. Faulk	D	1	0	1	3	0	3	0	22:31	0:11
M. Seider	D	0	0	0	0	2	3	-1	26:47	1:49
B. Chiarot	D	0	0	0	1	2	0	-1	24:00	0:00
S. Edvinsson	D	0	0	0	2	3	1	+1	22:12	0:00
J. Bernard-Docker	D	0	0	0	0	3	1	-1	10:59	0:00
A. Johansson	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	10:31	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Gibson	32	28	4	.875	58:45	Loss
C. Talbot	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

NJD

Line 1N. Hischier18:12D. Mercer19:00T. Meier19:36

Line 2C. Brown17:24J. Hughes19:33J. Bratt16:37

Line 3N. Bjugstad11:56C. Glass11:13L. Hameenaho11:51

Line 4P. Cotter8:54B. Halonen8:04M. McLaughlin7:49

Pair 1D. Hamilton20:40J. Siegenthaler20:52

Pair 2B. Dillon19:40S. Nemec20:24

Pair 3J. Kovacevic17:11D. Cholowski14:49

DET

Line 1P. Kane17:50A. DeBrincat18:23A. Copp17:16

Line 2D. Larkin17:18E. Finnie16:33L. Raymond16:56

Line 3J. Compher14:39C. Mazur14:43D. Perron14:04

Line 4J. Riemsdyk6:47M. Kasper9:14D. Shine6:17

Pair 1B. Chiarot24:00J. Faulk22:20

Pair 2M. Seider23:43S. Edvinsson22:12

Pair 3J. Bernard-Docker10:59A. Johansson10:31

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	NJD 3.0, DET 3.2	NJD 5, DET 3
Total goals	6.2	8
Shots on goal	NJD 28.3, DET 27.5	NJD 33, DET 28
Win chance	DET 52%	NJD won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
NJD J. Hughes	3.7	3	1.16	2	37%	1
DET A. DeBrincat	3.2	1	0.97	0	35%	0
NJD T. Meier	3.2	4	0.62	1	30%	0
DET D. Larkin	2.8	4	0.87	2	34%	0
DET P. Kane	2.5	1	0.88	0	26%	0
NJD N. Hischier	2.3	3	0.77	1	29%	0
NJD D. Hamilton	2.3	1	0.49	2	13%	0
DET M. Seider	2.1	0	0.68	0	9%	0
DET L. Raymond	2.1	0	0.88	1	27%	0
NJD J. Bratt	2.0	3	0.85	3	24%	2
NJD C. Brown	1.8	1	0.60	1	20%	0
NJD D. Mercer	1.8	3	0.48	1	23%	1
DET A. Copp	1.5	2	0.56	0	17%	0
DET J. Faulk	1.5	3	0.42	1	9%	1
DET D. Perron	1.4	5	0.46	1	20%	1
DET M. Kasper	1.4	1	0.28	0	14%	0
DET E. Finnie	1.4	3	0.35	2	15%	1
NJD C. Glass	1.3	3	0.34	1	16%	1
NJD L. Hameenaho	1.3	3	0.27	0	10%	0
DET J. Compher	1.3	1	0.43	1	18%	0
NJD S. Nemec	1.3	4	0.32	0	10%	0
NJD N. Bjugstad	1.3	0	0.23	0	13%	0
DET B. Chiarot	1.3	1	0.19	0	6%	0
DET S. Edvinsson	1.2	2	0.38	0	10%	0
DET J. Riemsdyk	1.0	0	0.33	0	13%	0
NJD J. Kovacevic	0.9	0	0.21	1	4%	0
NJD D. Cholowski	0.8	1	0.17	1	4%	0
NJD M. McLaughlin	0.8	0	0.19	0	12%	0
NJD J. Siegenthaler	0.7	0	0.18	1	2%	0
DET A. Johansson	0.7	0	0.15	0	4%	0
NJD P. Cotter	0.6	0	0.18	0	10%	0
DET J. Bernard-Docker	0.6	0	0.13	0	3%	0
NJD B. Dillon	0.6	2	0.19	0	4%	0
NJD B. Halonen	0.6	2	0.15	0	8%	0
DET D. Shine	0.5	2	0.15	0	8%	0
DET C. Mazur	0.5	2	0.14	0	8%	0

Shots on goal: 18 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.