LAK beat NJD 3-0, with the chances close: 3.58 expected goals to 3.27. NJD outshot LAK 33 to 24. M. Anderson led the way with 2 points (0 G, 2 A). J. Bratt had 5 shots on goal against our projection of 2.0. D. Kuemper stopped 33 of 33.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| LAK | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
- 2nd 6:23LAKA. Lee0.21 xG
- 3rd 11:01LAKQ. Byfield0.11 xG
- 3rd 15:35LAKA. KempeEN0.67 xG
Team Stats
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
NJD 3.27 xGLAK 3.58 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
NJD Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hughes | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 22:36 | 6:39 |
| N. Hischier | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 22:08 | 6:49 |
| J. Bratt | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 21:54 | 6:41 |
| S. Noesen | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 18:00 | 6:15 |
| D. Mercer | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:04 | 2:37 |
| T. Meier | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 16:36 | 2:45 |
| E. Haula | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:52 | 1:57 |
| O. Palat | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 13:18 | 0:24 |
| P. Cotter | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11:45 | 1:48 |
| N. Bastian | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:10 | 1:16 |
| T. Tatar | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:06 | 1:16 |
| C. Lazar | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 8:01 | 0:00 |
| D. Hamilton | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:41 | 6:34 |
| B. Pesce | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 0 | 20:32 | 1:25 |
| L. Hughes | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 20:14 | 2:50 |
| J. Siegenthaler | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:16 | 0:02 |
| J. Kovacevic | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16:57 | 0:04 |
| B. Dillon | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:39 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Allen | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 57:11 | Loss |
| J. Markstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
LAK Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Kempe | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:28 | 3:32 |
| Q. Byfield | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 20:44 | 3:31 |
| P. Danault | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:39 | 1:11 |
| W. Foegele | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 16:51 | 0:16 |
| A. Lee | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 6:29 | 0:00 |
| A. Kopitar | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:20 | 3:33 |
| K. Fiala | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:52 | 4:21 |
| A. Laferriere | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:02 | 0:49 |
| A. Turcotte | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13:46 | 1:08 |
| T. Jeannot | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 12:59 | 0:04 |
| S. Helenius | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:25 | 0:00 |
| M. Anderson | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 25:52 | 0:19 |
| J. Spence | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:56 | 1:41 |
| J. Moverare | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:52 | 0:00 |
| J. Edmundson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 0 | 24:44 | 0:00 |
| V. Gavrikov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +1 | 0 | 24:00 | 0:16 |
| B. Clarke | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 0 | 14:33 | 2:59 |
| K. Burroughs | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:54 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kuemper | 33 | 33 | 0 | 1.000 | 59:57 | Win |
| D. Rittich | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
Storylines That Played Out
As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NJD 2.8, LAK 3.1 | NJD 0, LAK 3 |
| Total goals | 5.9 | 3 |
| Shots on goal | NJD 25.7, LAK 27.0 | NJD 33, LAK 24 |
| Win chance | LAK 56% | LAK won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD J. Hughes | 3.3 | 4 | 0.98 | 0 | 32% | 0 |
| LAK A. Kempe | 2.9 | 2 | 0.99 | 1 | 39% | 1 |
| LAK K. Fiala | 2.7 | 2 | 0.91 | 0 | 33% | 0 |
| NJD T. Meier | 2.4 | 3 | 0.58 | 0 | 27% | 0 |
| LAK W. Foegele | 2.3 | 1 | 0.57 | 1 | 24% | 0 |
| NJD N. Hischier | 2.2 | 3 | 0.73 | 0 | 26% | 0 |
| LAK A. Laferriere | 2.1 | 3 | 0.57 | 0 | 25% | 0 |
| NJD D. Hamilton | 2.1 | 4 | 0.48 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| NJD J. Bratt | 2.0 | 5 | 0.83 | 0 | 25% | 0 |
| LAK Q. Byfield | 1.9 | 2 | 0.67 | 1 | 22% | 1 |
| NJD S. Noesen | 1.7 | 0 | 0.50 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| LAK P. Danault | 1.6 | 2 | 0.60 | 1 | 21% | 0 |
| LAK B. Clarke | 1.6 | 3 | 0.45 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| LAK A. Kopitar | 1.4 | 2 | 0.89 | 0 | 27% | 0 |
| NJD L. Hughes | 1.4 | 2 | 0.44 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| NJD D. Mercer | 1.3 | 2 | 0.40 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| LAK V. Gavrikov | 1.3 | 0 | 0.39 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| NJD E. Haula | 1.3 | 3 | 0.30 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| LAK M. Anderson | 1.3 | 1 | 0.31 | 2 | 7% | 0 |
| NJD B. Pesce | 1.2 | 1 | 0.21 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| LAK J. Edmundson | 1.2 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| NJD O. Palat | 1.1 | 1 | 0.38 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| LAK A. Turcotte | 1.1 | 1 | 0.39 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| NJD P. Cotter | 1.1 | 1 | 0.30 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| LAK T. Jeannot | 1.0 | 0 | 0.28 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| LAK J. Spence | 1.0 | 1 | 0.33 | 1 | 4% | 0 |
| NJD N. Bastian | 0.9 | 1 | 0.21 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| LAK A. Lee | 0.8 | 2 | 0.16 | 1 | 8% | 1 |
| NJD J. Siegenthaler | 0.8 | 0 | 0.17 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| NJD J. Kovacevic | 0.8 | 0 | 0.21 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| NJD T. Tatar | 0.7 | 3 | 0.24 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| LAK S. Helenius | 0.7 | 0 | 0.16 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| NJD C. Lazar | 0.7 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| NJD B. Dillon | 0.7 | 0 | 0.22 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| LAK J. Moverare | 0.6 | 2 | 0.10 | 1 | 2% | 0 |
| LAK K. Burroughs | 0.3 | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 1% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 25 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 more than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.