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Game Recap
NJD3
FinalSun, Apr 5, 2026Every game that night
MTL0

NJD beat MTL 3-0, with the chances close: 3.39 expected goals to 2.76. J. Hughes led the way with 2 points (0 G, 2 A). J. Markstrom stopped 18 of 18.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
NJD1113
MTL0000
  1. 1st 10:47NJDT. Meier0.33 xG
  2. 2nd 18:12NJDC. Glass0.17 xG
  3. 3rd 16:35NJDC. BrownEN0.78 xG

Team Stats

NJDMTL
20Shots on goal18
3.39Expected goals2.76
47Shot attempts58
165v5 shots on goal12
0/2Power play0/4
20Hits27
19Blocked shots11
45Penalty minutes11
19Giveaways13
7Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

NJD 3.39 xGMTL 2.76 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdNJD goal, 10:47NJD goal, 18:12NJD goal, 16:35

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

NJD20 on goal, 3 scored
MTL18 on goal, 0 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

NJD Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. HughesC022613+2021:413:41
C. BrownRW101231+11020:572:25
T. MeierRW101112+1018:221:35
J. BrattLW011100+1017:163:02
C. GlassC101110+1012:050:00
N. HischierC000321+1023:443:47
D. MercerC0001110021:340:58
L. HameenahoRW000102+1010:590:13
N. BjugstadC000111+109:000:00
P. CotterLW000010007:140:00
M. McLaughlinC000000007:030:00
B. HalonenLW000100025:190:00
J. SiegenthalerD000024+1023:410:00
L. HughesD000010+1423:083:16
D. HamiltonD000010+1220:510:44
S. NemecD000103+1017:300:19
J. KovacevicD000131+11017:290:00
B. DillonD000020+11714:070:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Markstrom181801.00060:00Win
J. Allen000–0:00

MTL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. SlafkovskýLW000202-1022:275:54
N. SuzukiC000100-1021:425:51
C. CaufieldRW000300-1020:575:44
I. DemidovRW000101-2016:325:52
P. DanaultC0000110014:120:06
J. EvansC000010-1013:590:06
Z. BolducRW0000300013:542:02
O. KapanenC000210-1013:222:01
A. NewhookC000120-1013:132:02
J. VelenoC000261-1012:370:00
J. AndersonRW0000200711:310:06
B. GallagherRW0000100011:221:55
L. HutsonD000003-1224:416:00
N. DobsonD000101-3023:392:00
M. MathesonD000220-2020:570:21
K. GuhleD000101-1217:050:00
J. StrubleD0002410014:230:00
A. XhekajD0000400011:580:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Fowler19172.89557:29Loss
J. Dobes000–0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

NJD

Line 1T. Meier15:39D. Mercer15:11N. Hischier14:11
Line 2C. Brown14:14J. Hughes16:20J. Bratt13:17
Pair 1J. Kovacevic15:16L. Hughes17:23
Pair 3B. Dillon11:28S. Nemec15:59

MTL

Line 3A. Newhook10:51O. Kapanen11:02I. Demidov9:01
Line 4J. Anderson9:32J. Evans11:38Z. Bolduc11:32
Pair 1M. Matheson16:32N. Dobson16:46
Pair 2L. Hutson15:52J. Struble14:23
Pair 3K. Guhle15:48A. Xhekaj11:58

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

We projectedIt finished
ScoreNJD 3.2, MTL 3.4NJD 3, MTL 0
Total goals6.63
Shots on goalNJD 29.5, MTL 26.6NJD 20, MTL 18
Win chanceMTL 53%NJD won

Players

PlayerSOG projectedSOGPoints projectedPointsGoal chanceGoals
NJD J. Hughes3.861.18237%0
NJD T. Meier3.310.63130%1
MTL C. Caufield3.030.91037%0
NJD N. Hischier2.530.81031%0
NJD D. Hamilton2.400.48013%0
MTL J. Slafkovský2.220.79027%0
MTL N. Suzuki2.111.02029%0
NJD J. Bratt2.110.87125%0
NJD L. Hughes2.100.5209%0
MTL N. Dobson2.010.58012%0
NJD D. Mercer1.910.48023%0
NJD C. Brown1.920.61121%1
MTL I. Demidov1.610.77020%0
MTL L. Hutson1.500.95011%0
MTL O. Kapanen1.520.43020%0
MTL M. Matheson1.520.4409%0
MTL A. Newhook1.410.43019%0
MTL Z. Bolduc1.400.40018%0
NJD C. Glass1.310.31114%1
NJD S. Nemec1.310.31010%0
NJD L. Hameenaho1.310.26010%0
MTL B. Gallagher1.300.28012%0
MTL J. Anderson1.300.30016%0
NJD N. Bjugstad1.210.21012%0
MTL J. Evans1.100.40014%0
MTL P. Danault1.100.35013%0
MTL K. Guhle1.010.2807%0
NJD J. Kovacevic1.010.2104%0
MTL J. Veleno0.820.1709%0
NJD M. McLaughlin0.800.19012%0
NJD J. Siegenthaler0.800.1603%0
NJD B. Dillon0.600.1804%0
MTL A. Xhekaj0.600.0803%0
NJD P. Cotter0.600.1509%0
NJD B. Halonen0.610.1108%0
MTL J. Struble0.520.2104%0

Shots on goal: 21 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.5 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.