NJD beat MTL 3-0, with the chances close: 3.39 expected goals to 2.76. J. Hughes led the way with 2 points (0 G, 2 A). J. Markstrom stopped 18 of 18.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| MTL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Team Stats
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
NJD 3.39 xGMTL 2.76 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
NJD Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hughes | C | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 0 | 21:41 | 3:41 |
| C. Brown | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 10 | 20:57 | 2:25 |
| T. Meier | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 18:22 | 1:35 |
| J. Bratt | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:16 | 3:02 |
| C. Glass | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:05 | 0:00 |
| N. Hischier | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 23:44 | 3:47 |
| D. Mercer | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:34 | 0:58 |
| L. Hameenaho | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 10:59 | 0:13 |
| N. Bjugstad | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:00 | 0:00 |
| P. Cotter | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:14 | 0:00 |
| M. McLaughlin | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:03 | 0:00 |
| B. Halonen | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5:19 | 0:00 |
| J. Siegenthaler | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 0 | 23:41 | 0:00 |
| L. Hughes | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 23:08 | 3:16 |
| D. Hamilton | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:51 | 0:44 |
| S. Nemec | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 0 | 17:30 | 0:19 |
| J. Kovacevic | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 10 | 17:29 | 0:00 |
| B. Dillon | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 17 | 14:07 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Markstrom | 18 | 18 | 0 | 1.000 | 60:00 | Win |
| J. Allen | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
MTL Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Slafkovský | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 22:27 | 5:54 |
| N. Suzuki | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 21:42 | 5:51 |
| C. Caufield | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 20:57 | 5:44 |
| I. Demidov | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 16:32 | 5:52 |
| P. Danault | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:12 | 0:06 |
| J. Evans | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 13:59 | 0:06 |
| Z. Bolduc | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:54 | 2:02 |
| O. Kapanen | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 13:22 | 2:01 |
| A. Newhook | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 13:13 | 2:02 |
| J. Veleno | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 12:37 | 0:00 |
| J. Anderson | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11:31 | 0:06 |
| B. Gallagher | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:22 | 1:55 |
| L. Hutson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 2 | 24:41 | 6:00 |
| N. Dobson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 23:39 | 2:00 |
| M. Matheson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 20:57 | 0:21 |
| K. Guhle | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 17:05 | 0:00 |
| J. Struble | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:23 | 0:00 |
| A. Xhekaj | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:58 | 0:00 |
Lines at 5-on-5
NJD
MTL
From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NJD 3.2, MTL 3.4 | NJD 3, MTL 0 |
| Total goals | 6.6 | 3 |
| Shots on goal | NJD 29.5, MTL 26.6 | NJD 20, MTL 18 |
| Win chance | MTL 53% | NJD won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD J. Hughes | 3.8 | 6 | 1.18 | 2 | 37% | 0 |
| NJD T. Meier | 3.3 | 1 | 0.63 | 1 | 30% | 1 |
| MTL C. Caufield | 3.0 | 3 | 0.91 | 0 | 37% | 0 |
| NJD N. Hischier | 2.5 | 3 | 0.81 | 0 | 31% | 0 |
| NJD D. Hamilton | 2.4 | 0 | 0.48 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| MTL J. Slafkovský | 2.2 | 2 | 0.79 | 0 | 27% | 0 |
| MTL N. Suzuki | 2.1 | 1 | 1.02 | 0 | 29% | 0 |
| NJD J. Bratt | 2.1 | 1 | 0.87 | 1 | 25% | 0 |
| NJD L. Hughes | 2.1 | 0 | 0.52 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| MTL N. Dobson | 2.0 | 1 | 0.58 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| NJD D. Mercer | 1.9 | 1 | 0.48 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| NJD C. Brown | 1.9 | 2 | 0.61 | 1 | 21% | 1 |
| MTL I. Demidov | 1.6 | 1 | 0.77 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| MTL L. Hutson | 1.5 | 0 | 0.95 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| MTL O. Kapanen | 1.5 | 2 | 0.43 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| MTL M. Matheson | 1.5 | 2 | 0.44 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| MTL A. Newhook | 1.4 | 1 | 0.43 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| MTL Z. Bolduc | 1.4 | 0 | 0.40 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| NJD C. Glass | 1.3 | 1 | 0.31 | 1 | 14% | 1 |
| NJD S. Nemec | 1.3 | 1 | 0.31 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| NJD L. Hameenaho | 1.3 | 1 | 0.26 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| MTL B. Gallagher | 1.3 | 0 | 0.28 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| MTL J. Anderson | 1.3 | 0 | 0.30 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| NJD N. Bjugstad | 1.2 | 1 | 0.21 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| MTL J. Evans | 1.1 | 0 | 0.40 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| MTL P. Danault | 1.1 | 0 | 0.35 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| MTL K. Guhle | 1.0 | 1 | 0.28 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| NJD J. Kovacevic | 1.0 | 1 | 0.21 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| MTL J. Veleno | 0.8 | 2 | 0.17 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| NJD M. McLaughlin | 0.8 | 0 | 0.19 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| NJD J. Siegenthaler | 0.8 | 0 | 0.16 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| NJD B. Dillon | 0.6 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| MTL A. Xhekaj | 0.6 | 0 | 0.08 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| NJD P. Cotter | 0.6 | 0 | 0.15 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| NJD B. Halonen | 0.6 | 1 | 0.11 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| MTL J. Struble | 0.5 | 2 | 0.21 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 21 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.5 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.