Game Recap: NJD 0, NYI 9, January 6, 2026

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Game Recap

NJD0

FinalTue, Jan 6, 2026Every game that night

NYI9

NYI beat NJD 9-0 despite fewer good chances: 2.23 expected goals to 3.70. NJD outshot NYI 44 to 24. A. Duclair scored three for NYI. D. Hamilton had 7 shots on goal against our projection of 2.6. I. Sorokin stopped 44 of 44.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
NJD	0	0	0	0
NYI	3	2	4	9

1st 1:08NYIM. Barzal0.08 xG
1st 4:01NYIA. Duclair0.08 xG
1st 13:31NYIA. Duclair0.05 xG
2nd 3:29NYIA. Duclair0.02 xG
2nd 11:12NYIS. Holmstrom0.38 xG
3rd 1:34NYIC. Cizikas0.08 xG
3rd 11:28NYIT. DeAngelo0.20 xG
3rd 18:36NYIC. Ritchie0.14 xG
3rd 19:02NYIC. Cizikas0.24 xG

Team Stats

NJDNYI

44Shots on goal24

3.70Expected goals2.23

82Shot attempts33

365v5 shots on goal23

0/3Power play0/0

18Hits16

5Blocked shots17

0Penalty minutes6

20Giveaways11

5Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

NJD 3.70 xGNYI 2.23 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

NJD44 on goal, 0 scored

NYI23 on goal, 9 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

NJD Skaters

Player	Pos	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	TOI	PP TOI
J. Hughes	C	3	0	0	-1	22:57	4:39
N. Hischier	C	6	0	0	-1	20:23	4:31
J. Bratt	LW	1	0	0	-1	20:20	4:20
D. Mercer	C	3	0	0	-1	18:05	1:31
T. Meier	RW	7	0	0	-2	16:32	2:47
A. Gritsyuk	RW	3	2	0	0	16:24	1:26
C. Brown	RW	1	1	0	-4	14:40	1:17
S. Noesen	RW	3	0	0	-1	14:16	3:15
C. Glass	C	2	0	0	-4	12:56	0:00
J. Lammikko	C	0	5	0	-4	10:45	0:00
O. Palat	LW	0	2	0	-5	9:39	0:00
L. Glendening	C	1	1	0	-3	8:50	0:00
L. Hughes	D	3	1	1	-3	24:10	4:29
D. Hamilton	D	7	1	0	-2	23:11	1:40
J. Siegenthaler	D	2	0	2	-3	21:11	0:02
B. Pesce	D	2	2	1	-3	18:06	0:03
B. Dillon	D	0	3	1	-3	14:41	0:00
C. White	D	0	0	0	-4	12:54	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Markstrom	24	15	9	.625	60:00	Loss
J. Allen	0	0	0	–	0:00

NYI Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
A. Duclair	LW	3	2	5	3	0	0	+6	0	13:41	0:00
M. Barzal	C	1	2	3	4	0	1	+4	0	17:24	0:00
C. Cizikas	C	2	1	3	3	0	3	+4	0	13:59	0:00
S. Holmstrom	RW	1	0	1	2	0	0	+1	0	15:59	0:00
C. Ritchie	C	1	0	1	1	0	0	+1	0	13:37	0:00
M. Shabanov	RW	0	1	1	1	1	2	+3	0	13:03	0:00
J. Pageau	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	15:54	0:00
E. Heineman	LW	0	0	0	2	1	0	+2	0	15:50	0:00
A. Lee	LW	0	0	0	1	2	0	+3	0	14:52	0:00
M. Gatcomb	C	0	0	0	2	4	1	+1	0	13:52	0:00
J. Drouin	LW	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	12:55	0:00
K. MacLean	C	0	0	0	1	1	1	+2	0	12:26	0:00
T. DeAngelo	D	1	2	3	1	0	0	+5	0	20:37	0:00
R. Pulock	D	0	2	2	0	0	2	+3	2	21:16	0:00
A. Pelech	D	0	1	1	1	1	3	+3	0	21:46	0:00
S. Mayfield	D	0	1	1	1	0	1	+3	0	20:57	0:00
M. Schaefer	D	0	1	1	0	1	2	+2	4	20:40	0:00
C. McWard	D	0	0	0	0	3	1	+2	0	15:12	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
I. Sorokin	44	44	0	1.000	60:00	Win
D. Rittich	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

NJD

Line 1N. Hischier15:52J. Hughes18:18J. Bratt16:00

Line 2D. Mercer16:34A. Gritsyuk14:58T. Meier13:45

Line 3C. Brown13:23C. Glass12:56J. Lammikko10:45

Line 4S. Noesen11:01L. Glendening8:50O. Palat9:39

Pair 1D. Hamilton21:31J. Siegenthaler21:09

Pair 2L. Hughes19:41B. Pesce18:03

Pair 3B. Dillon14:41C. White12:54

NYI

Line 1A. Lee14:52M. Barzal17:17E. Heineman13:28

Line 2J. Drouin12:55S. Holmstrom12:56J. Pageau12:24

Line 3M. Gatcomb13:52C. Ritchie13:37M. Shabanov13:03

Line 4C. Cizikas11:02A. Duclair13:41K. MacLean12:26

Pair 1R. Pulock18:42M. Schaefer19:40

Pair 2A. Pelech17:00T. DeAngelo20:34

Pair 3S. Mayfield17:19C. McWard15:12

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamOndrej Palat NYI Faces NJD, his team until Jan 20260 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	NJD 2.8, NYI 2.9	NJD 0, NYI 9
Total goals	5.7	9
Shots on goal	NJD 27.7, NYI 28.8	NJD 44, NYI 24
Win chance	NYI 53%	NYI won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
NJD J. Hughes	3.8	3	1.07	0	36%	0
NJD T. Meier	3.0	7	0.63	0	29%	0
NYI M. Schaefer	2.6	0	0.61	1	17%	0
NJD D. Hamilton	2.6	7	0.48	0	13%	0
NJD N. Hischier	2.6	6	0.82	0	30%	0
NYI M. Barzal	2.4	4	0.85	3	24%	1
NJD J. Bratt	2.4	1	0.86	0	25%	0
NYI A. Lee	2.2	1	0.52	0	23%	0
NYI E. Heineman	2.1	2	0.55	0	27%	0
NJD A. Gritsyuk	2.0	3	0.42	0	17%	0
NJD L. Hughes	1.9	3	0.55	0	9%	0
NYI T. DeAngelo	1.9	1	0.43	3	8%	1
NJD D. Mercer	1.8	3	0.45	0	21%	0
NYI A. Pelech	1.6	1	0.28	1	4%	0
NJD C. Brown	1.5	1	0.41	0	16%	0
NJD C. Glass	1.5	2	0.31	0	13%	0
NYI J. Drouin	1.4	0	0.65	0	16%	0
NYI R. Pulock	1.4	0	0.33	2	6%	0
NJD S. Noesen	1.4	3	0.34	0	15%	0
NJD B. Pesce	1.3	2	0.26	0	5%	0
NYI C. Ritchie	1.2	1	0.33	1	16%	1
NYI S. Holmstrom	1.2	2	0.50	1	21%	1
NYI M. Shabanov	1.2	1	0.43	1	14%	0
NYI A. Duclair	1.2	3	0.38	5	18%	3
NYI M. Gatcomb	1.2	2	0.22	0	14%	0
NYI J. Pageau	1.2	1	0.44	0	15%	0
NJD O. Palat	1.1	0	0.28	0	12%	0
NYI C. Cizikas	1.0	3	0.24	3	10%	2
NYI S. Mayfield	1.0	1	0.17	1	4%	0
NYI C. McWard	1.0	0	0.16	0	5%	0
NJD J. Siegenthaler	0.9	2	0.15	0	3%	0
NYI K. MacLean	0.9	1	0.17	0	8%	0
NJD J. Lammikko	0.7	0	0.15	0	7%	0
NJD B. Dillon	0.6	0	0.20	0	4%	0
NJD L. Glendening	0.6	1	0.11	0	6%	0
NJD C. White	0.6	0	0.13	0	1%	0

Shots on goal: 20 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.3 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.