Game Recap: NJD 6, NYR 3, March 18, 2026

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Game Recap

NJD6

FinalWed, Mar 18, 2026Every game that night

NYR3

NJD beat NYR 6-3, and the chances backed it up: 4.22 expected goals to 1.89. NJD outshot NYR 39 to 18. J. Hughes led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). A. Lafrenière had 5 shots on goal against our projection of 2.1. J. Markstrom stopped 15 of 18.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
NJD	2	1	3	6
NYR	1	1	1	3

1st 15:20NYRV. Gavrikov0.03 xG
1st 16:14NJDN. HischierPP0.59 xG
1st 19:16NJDA. Gritsyuk0.03 xG
2nd 0:19NYRM. Zibanejad0.11 xG
2nd 11:36NJDC. BrownPP0.18 xG
3rd 6:29NJDT. Meier0.38 xG
3rd 9:41NYRC. Sheary0.21 xG
3rd 13:05NJDJ. Hughes0.05 xG
3rd 16:22NJDJ. Bratt0.07 xG

Team Stats

NJDNYR

39Shots on goal18

4.22Expected goals1.89

64Shot attempts43

335v5 shots on goal15

2/4Power play0/2

14Hits25

11Blocked shots8

4Penalty minutes8

17Giveaways23

6Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

NJD 4.22 xGNYR 1.89 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

NJD38 on goal, 6 scored

NYR18 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

NJD Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
J. Hughes	C	1	2	3	5	0	0	+1	0	17:48	2:38
C. Brown	RW	1	2	3	1	0	0	+1	0	16:03	2:39
N. Hischier	C	1	1	2	3	0	1	-1	0	18:52	2:12
J. Bratt	LW	1	1	2	2	2	0	0	0	15:14	2:22
T. Meier	RW	1	0	1	5	0	2	0	0	18:57	2:24
A. Gritsyuk	RW	1	0	1	2	1	0	+2	0	17:08	2:18
P. Cotter	LW	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	8:57	0:03
D. Mercer	C	0	0	0	4	0	0	-1	0	19:20	2:05
C. Glass	C	0	0	0	2	0	0	+1	0	14:25	0:00
L. Hameenaho	RW	0	0	0	1	1	0	+1	0	11:58	0:00
N. Bjugstad	C	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	10:06	0:00
M. Tsyplakov	RW	0	0	0	2	3	0	-1	0	9:43	0:00
S. Nemec	D	0	1	1	1	0	1	+1	2	18:53	2:04
B. Dillon	D	0	1	1	2	3	3	+1	0	18:43	0:00
L. Hughes	D	0	0	0	3	0	0	+1	0	23:52	2:25
J. Kovacevic	D	0	0	0	2	2	1	+3	2	20:53	0:06
D. Hamilton	D	0	0	0	1	1	1	-2	0	18:27	2:19
J. Siegenthaler	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	-2	0	17:13	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Markstrom	18	15	3	.833	59:28	Win
J. Allen	0	0	0	–	0:00

NYR Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Zibanejad	C	1	0	1	2	3	1	-1	2	21:23	2:38
A. Lafrenière	LW	0	1	1	5	0	0	+1	2	19:33	2:35
G. Perreault	RW	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	2	19:00	1:46
J. Miller	C	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	17:35	2:09
C. Sheary	LW	1	0	1	1	0	1	+1	0	14:10	1:15
V. Trocheck	C	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	18:34	2:40
T. Kartye	LW	0	0	0	0	3	0	-2	0	17:09	0:00
W. Cuylle	LW	0	0	0	0	2	0	+1	0	16:13	1:19
T. Raddysh	RW	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	9:13	1:07
J. Chmelar	RW	0	0	0	0	3	0	-2	0	8:55	0:00
N. Laba	C	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	8:40	0:08
A. Edstrom	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	-1	0	8:33	0:02
V. Gavrikov	D	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0	26:31	1:01
M. Robertson	D	0	1	1	1	2	1	-1	0	21:11	0:00
A. Fox	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	+1	0	26:44	2:59
B. Schneider	D	0	0	0	0	1	2	-1	0	19:26	0:06
W. Borgen	D	0	0	0	1	1	1	-1	0	19:19	0:00
U. Vaakanainen	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3:05	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Quick	39	33	6	.846	60:00	Loss
I. Shesterkin	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

NJD

Line 1T. Meier16:21D. Mercer15:17N. Hischier14:21

Line 2C. Glass12:58A. Gritsyuk14:50L. Hameenaho11:58

Line 3C. Brown11:36J. Hughes14:35J. Bratt11:44

Line 4P. Cotter8:54M. Tsyplakov9:43N. Bjugstad9:23

Pair 1J. Kovacevic19:17L. Hughes19:47

Pair 2B. Dillon16:19S. Nemec16:35

Pair 3D. Hamilton14:42J. Siegenthaler15:25

NYR

Line 1M. Zibanejad17:53A. Lafrenière16:38G. Perreault16:54

Line 2V. Trocheck14:09W. Cuylle13:23J. Miller14:09

Line 3C. Sheary12:26T. Kartye14:29N. Laba6:59

Line 4T. Raddysh7:46A. Edstrom8:31J. Chmelar8:55

Pair 1V. Gavrikov21:53A. Fox23:13

Pair 2M. Robertson19:45B. Schneider15:49

Pair 3W. Borgen17:48U. Vaakanainen3:05

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	NJD 3.0, NYR 3.0	NJD 6, NYR 3
Total goals	6.0	9
Shots on goal	NJD 30.2, NYR 24.9	NJD 39, NYR 18
Win chance	NJD 51%	NJD won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
NJD J. Hughes	3.5	5	1.11	3	34%	1
NJD T. Meier	3.2	5	0.60	1	28%	1
NJD D. Hamilton	3.0	1	0.59	0	14%	0
NJD N. Hischier	2.5	3	0.85	2	31%	1
NYR M. Zibanejad	2.3	2	0.87	1	29%	1
NJD J. Bratt	2.2	2	0.88	2	24%	1
NYR J. Miller	2.1	0	0.96	1	30%	0
NYR A. Lafrenière	2.1	5	0.71	1	26%	0
NJD A. Gritsyuk	2.0	2	0.43	1	16%	1
NJD L. Hughes	2.0	3	0.49	0	7%	0
NYR V. Trocheck	2.0	0	0.82	0	26%	0
NYR A. Fox	1.8	1	0.86	0	13%	0
NYR W. Cuylle	1.7	0	0.47	0	21%	0
NJD C. Brown	1.7	1	0.58	3	19%	1
NJD D. Mercer	1.7	4	0.44	0	20%	0
NYR G. Perreault	1.6	1	0.52	1	19%	0
NJD C. Glass	1.5	2	0.37	0	15%	0
NJD S. Nemec	1.5	1	0.32	1	9%	0
NYR B. Schneider	1.3	0	0.28	0	6%	0
NYR V. Gavrikov	1.3	4	0.36	1	8%	1
NJD L. Hameenaho	1.2	1	0.29	0	11%	0
NYR M. Robertson	1.2	1	0.24	1	6%	0
NJD N. Bjugstad	1.2	1	0.23	0	11%	0
NYR C. Sheary	1.2	1	0.30	1	12%	1
NYR T. Kartye	1.1	0	0.35	0	14%	0
NYR W. Borgen	1.0	1	0.22	0	5%	0
NJD J. Kovacevic	0.9	2	0.18	0	3%	0
NYR N. Laba	0.9	1	0.33	0	14%	0
NYR A. Edstrom	0.9	1	0.20	0	11%	0
NJD M. Tsyplakov	0.9	2	0.20	0	7%	0
NYR T. Raddysh	0.8	0	0.27	0	11%	0
NJD J. Siegenthaler	0.8	1	0.14	0	2%	0
NYR U. Vaakanainen	0.8	0	0.21	0	2%	0
NJD P. Cotter	0.7	1	0.19	1	10%	0
NYR J. Chmelar	0.7	0	0.18	0	10%	0
NJD B. Dillon	0.7	2	0.18	1	4%	0

Shots on goal: 21 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.0 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.