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Game Recap
NJD2
SJS5
SJS beat NJD 5-2, with the chances close: 2.56 expected goals to 1.88. D. Mercer led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). A. Nedeljkovic stopped 29 of 31.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| SJS | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
- 1st 0:42SJSW. Eklund0.16 xG
- 1st 12:12SJSP. Kurashev0.21 xG
- 1st 15:47SJSA. Wennberg0.06 xG
- 1st 19:00NJDD. MercerPP0.07 xG
- 2nd 16:50SJSW. Smith0.03 xG
- 2nd 18:30SJST. Toffoli0.09 xG
- 3rd 4:19NJDD. MercerPP0.07 xG
Team Stats
NJDSJS
31Shots on goal28
1.88Expected goals2.56
64Shot attempts50
275v5 shots on goal24
2/3Power play0/2
30Hits16
11Blocked shots27
2Penalty minutes6
15Giveaways16
6Takeaways1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
NJD 1.88 xGSJS 2.56 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
NJD Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mercer | C | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 17:14 | 2:55 |
| J. Hughes | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 18:17 | 3:27 |
| J. Bratt | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 16:58 | 3:23 |
| N. Hischier | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 20:56 | 3:20 |
| T. Meier | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 0 | 15:41 | 0:06 |
| C. Brown | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 15:38 | 0:00 |
| P. Cotter | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:42 | 0:06 |
| A. Gritsyuk | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 13:16 | 0:00 |
| J. Lammikko | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 12:48 | 0:00 |
| O. Palat | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 11:42 | 0:00 |
| L. Glendening | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:32 | 0:00 |
| S. Noesen | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:34 | 0:26 |
| D. Hamilton | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 22:30 | 3:27 |
| L. Hughes | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23:30 | 0:01 |
| J. Siegenthaler | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 2 | 19:26 | 0:00 |
| S. Casey | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:07 | 0:00 |
| S. Nemec | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 | 17:34 | 0:04 |
| B. Dillon | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 16:35 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Allen | 28 | 23 | 5 | .821 | 60:00 | Loss |
| J. Markstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
SJS Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Wennberg | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 19:44 | 0:58 |
| P. Kurashev | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 19:10 | 0:55 |
| M. Celebrini | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 20:00 | 2:34 |
| W. Smith | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 18:36 | 2:30 |
| W. Eklund | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 18:17 | 2:31 |
| T. Toffoli | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 17:06 | 2:29 |
| C. Graf | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:32 | 0:00 |
| T. Dellandrea | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:44 | 0:00 |
| J. Skinner | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:03 | 0:52 |
| B. Goodrow | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:45 | 0:00 |
| P. Giles | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:10 | 0:00 |
| R. Reaves | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:22 | 0:00 |
| T. Liljegren | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 23:10 | 0:55 |
| M. Ferraro | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +3 | 0 | 21:32 | 0:00 |
| D. Orlov | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 2 | 21:16 | 0:42 |
| J. Klingberg | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 20:45 | 2:44 |
| S. Mukhamadullin | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 16:24 | 0:00 |
| S. Dickinson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:23 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Nedeljkovic | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 60:00 | Win |
| Y. Askarov | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
Lines at 5-on-5
NJD
Line 1T. Meier15:01N. Hischier16:12D. Mercer13:04
Line 3C. Brown13:59J. Lammikko12:48A. Gritsyuk12:43
Line 4S. Noesen10:08P. Cotter13:36L. Glendening10:19
Pair 2D. Hamilton17:15J. Siegenthaler18:35
SJS
Line 1W. Smith16:06M. Celebrini17:24T. Toffoli14:36
Line 2P. Kurashev17:38W. Eklund15:46A. Wennberg17:49
Line 3J. Skinner11:11C. Graf11:12T. Dellandrea10:55
Line 4B. Goodrow9:40P. Giles9:00R. Reaves6:22
Pair 1D. Orlov19:23T. Liljegren20:01
Pair 2M. Ferraro18:41J. Klingberg18:01
Pair 3S. Dickinson14:23S. Mukhamadullin14:37
From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.
Storylines That Played Out
As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NJD 3.6, SJS 2.9 | NJD 2, SJS 5 |
| Total goals | 6.5 | 7 |
| Shots on goal | NJD 29.2, SJS 26.8 | NJD 31, SJS 28 |
| Win chance | NJD 61% | SJS won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD J. Hughes | 3.8 | 0 | 1.31 | 1 | 41% | 0 |
| SJS M. Celebrini | 3.1 | 3 | 0.91 | 1 | 29% | 0 |
| NJD D. Hamilton | 3.1 | 4 | 0.80 | 2 | 19% | 0 |
| NJD T. Meier | 3.0 | 2 | 0.82 | 0 | 33% | 0 |
| SJS T. Toffoli | 2.8 | 3 | 0.71 | 1 | 32% | 1 |
| NJD N. Hischier | 2.6 | 1 | 1.08 | 0 | 35% | 0 |
| NJD J. Bratt | 2.3 | 1 | 1.08 | 1 | 28% | 0 |
| SJS W. Eklund | 2.2 | 2 | 0.73 | 1 | 22% | 1 |
| SJS J. Skinner | 2.0 | 1 | 0.54 | 0 | 25% | 0 |
| SJS W. Smith | 2.0 | 2 | 0.73 | 1 | 24% | 1 |
| NJD A. Gritsyuk | 2.0 | 4 | 0.51 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| NJD D. Mercer | 1.8 | 4 | 0.63 | 2 | 27% | 2 |
| NJD L. Hughes | 1.8 | 1 | 0.65 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| SJS D. Orlov | 1.7 | 1 | 0.50 | 1 | 10% | 0 |
| NJD C. Brown | 1.7 | 1 | 0.51 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| NJD S. Noesen | 1.6 | 1 | 0.47 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| SJS J. Klingberg | 1.6 | 2 | 0.47 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| SJS T. Liljegren | 1.5 | 3 | 0.34 | 2 | 8% | 0 |
| SJS P. Kurashev | 1.4 | 3 | 0.47 | 2 | 17% | 1 |
| NJD P. Cotter | 1.2 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| SJS A. Wennberg | 1.2 | 1 | 0.47 | 2 | 16% | 1 |
| NJD S. Nemec | 1.2 | 3 | 0.36 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| NJD O. Palat | 1.2 | 3 | 0.42 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| SJS M. Ferraro | 1.1 | 0 | 0.23 | 1 | 5% | 0 |
| SJS S. Mukhamadullin | 1.1 | 2 | 0.34 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| SJS P. Giles | 1.1 | 0 | 0.15 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| SJS C. Graf | 1.0 | 0 | 0.28 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| NJD J. Siegenthaler | 1.0 | 0 | 0.21 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| SJS S. Dickinson | 1.0 | 0 | 0.12 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| NJD J. Lammikko | 1.0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| NJD S. Casey | 0.9 | 2 | 0.39 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| SJS T. Dellandrea | 0.8 | 3 | 0.20 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| NJD B. Dillon | 0.8 | 0 | 0.30 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| SJS B. Goodrow | 0.8 | 0 | 0.16 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| NJD L. Glendening | 0.7 | 2 | 0.16 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| SJS R. Reaves | 0.4 | 2 | 0.11 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 19 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.0 more than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.