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Game Recap
NJD3
FinalSun, Jan 11, 2026Every game that night
WPG4

WPG beat NJD 4-3, with the chances close: 3.84 expected goals to 3.38. C. Glass led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). C. Hellebuyck stopped 24 of 27.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
NJD1203
WPG1214
  1. 1st 18:50WPGA. Iafallo0.40 xG
  2. 1st 19:27NJDN. Hischier0.38 xG
  3. 2nd 1:05NJDC. Glass0.09 xG
  4. 2nd 2:36WPGJ. Toews0.10 xG
  5. 2nd 8:08NJDC. Glass0.13 xG
  6. 2nd 17:57WPGG. Vilardi0.82 xG
  7. 3rd 6:17WPGT. Pearson0.25 xG

Team Stats

NJDWPG
27Shots on goal22
3.38Expected goals3.84
62Shot attempts49
255v5 shots on goal21
0/1Power play0/2
17Hits15
11Blocked shots13
4Penalty minutes2
15Giveaways21
4Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

NJD 3.38 xGWPG 3.84 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdWPG goal, 18:50NJD goal, 19:27NJD goal, 1:05WPG goal, 2:36NJD goal, 8:08WPG goal, 17:57WPG goal, 6:17

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

NJD27 on goal, 3 scored
WPG20 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

NJD Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. HughesC022401+2027:040:45
C. GlassC202210+1012:190:45
N. HischierC101211+1024:161:12
J. BrattLW0113200021:051:12
T. MeierRW000221-1017:491:12
D. MercerC000100-1016:441:12
C. BrownRW0002000015:070:00
A. GritsyukRW000300-1214:160:45
E. DadonovLW000010-1010:000:45
L. GlendeningC000222-109:250:03
P. CotterLW000020-106:580:03
O. PalatLW000020-106:320:03
L. HughesD022200-1024:410:45
J. KovacevicD011112+1018:140:03
B. PesceD000002-1019:500:00
S. NemecD000201-1019:281:12
J. SiegenthalerD000010+2218:490:03
B. DillonD000121-2015:140:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Allen22184.81858:09Loss
J. Markstrom000–0:00

WPG Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. PerfettiC022210+3015:041:47
A. IafalloLW1013000017:471:42
N. NiederreiterRW011201+1017:261:44
G. VilardiC101400+2016:162:16
J. ToewsC101101+2015:172:15
C. KoepkeLW011020009:250:00
T. PearsonLW101221008:160:00
M. ScheifeleC000111-3020:402:18
K. ConnorLW000200-2019:422:13
V. NamestnikovC000100-1017:291:33
A. LowryC0001300016:220:00
D. ZhilkinC000101+107:530:00
J. MorrisseyD022101+1226:282:13
D. SambergD0111120021:130:12
D. DeMeloD000023-1025:070:00
N. PionkD0000110022:561:47
L. StanleyD000021+2016:250:00
C. MillerD000000004:140:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
C. Hellebuyck27243.88960:00Win
E. Comrie000–0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

NJD

Line 1J. Hughes24:15N. Hischier20:12J. Bratt17:33
Line 2T. Meier14:46D. Mercer13:21E. Dadonov9:15
Line 3C. Brown12:41A. Gritsyuk12:17C. Glass11:34
Line 4O. Palat6:29L. Glendening7:07P. Cotter6:55
Pair 1J. Siegenthaler18:10J. Kovacevic16:42
Pair 2B. Pesce17:30L. Hughes21:27
Pair 3B. Dillon12:41S. Nemec17:50

WPG

Line 1M. Scheifele16:17K. Connor16:01A. Iafallo14:20
Line 2N. Niederreiter15:02A. Lowry15:49V. Namestnikov15:18
Line 3J. Toews13:02G. Vilardi14:00C. Perfetti13:17
Line 4T. Pearson8:16C. Koepke8:13D. Zhilkin6:41
Pair 1D. DeMelo22:42J. Morrissey22:24
Pair 2D. Samberg19:35N. Pionk19:42
Pair 3L. Stanley15:52C. Miller4:14

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamDawson Mercer WPG First game against NJD since he left (his team until Oct 2026)1 SOG
  • HometownCody Glass NJD Plays in his hometown2 G, 2 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

We projectedIt finished
ScoreNJD 2.7, WPG 3.2NJD 3, WPG 4
Total goals5.97
Shots on goalNJD 27.1, WPG 27.9NJD 27, WPG 22
Win chanceWPG 58%WPG won

Players

PlayerSOG projectedSOGPoints projectedPointsGoal chanceGoals
NJD J. Hughes3.441.00233%0
WPG K. Connor3.321.14038%0
NJD T. Meier2.820.60026%0
NJD N. Hischier2.520.78128%1
WPG M. Scheifele2.311.10037%0
NJD J. Bratt2.330.83123%0
WPG J. Morrissey2.010.79214%0
NJD L. Hughes2.020.57210%0
NJD A. Gritsyuk2.030.39015%0
WPG G. Vilardi1.940.82131%1
WPG N. Pionk1.900.4008%0
NJD D. Mercer1.710.43020%0
WPG C. Perfetti1.620.46217%0
NJD S. Nemec1.620.44011%0
WPG N. Niederreiter1.520.37118%0
WPG A. Iafallo1.430.38117%1
WPG D. Samberg1.410.2714%0
WPG J. Toews1.410.43116%1
NJD C. Glass1.420.28212%2
NJD C. Brown1.420.39014%0
NJD B. Pesce1.300.2605%0
WPG A. Lowry1.210.37016%0
WPG C. Miller1.200.2105%0
WPG C. Koepke1.200.23111%0
WPG T. Pearson1.120.27112%1
NJD E. Dadonov1.100.32013%0
NJD J. Siegenthaler1.000.1603%0
WPG L. Stanley1.000.2506%0
WPG D. DeMelo1.000.3205%0
WPG V. Namestnikov1.010.31012%0
NJD O. Palat0.900.25011%0
NJD P. Cotter0.900.22011%0
NJD J. Kovacevic0.810.1814%0
NJD B. Dillon0.610.2004%0
NJD L. Glendening0.620.1006%0

Shots on goal: 21 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.