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Game Recap
NSH4
NYI7
NYI beat NSH 7-4, with the chances close: 3.19 expected goals to 3.21. B. Nelson led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). I. Sorokin stopped 25 of 29.
Team Stats
NSHNYI
29Shots on goal35
3.21Expected goals3.19
57Shot attempts67
215v5 shots on goal28
0/3Power play1/4
10Hits18
14Blocked shots7
6Penalty minutes6
9Giveaways9
4Takeaways3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
NSH 3.21 xGNYI 3.19 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
NSH Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Sissons | C | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 0 | 13:24 | 0:53 |
| C. Smith | RW | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 14:24 | 0:41 |
| R. O'Reilly | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:52 | 4:03 |
| T. Novak | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 10:23 | 0:57 |
| F. Forsberg | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 21:27 | 4:36 |
| J. Marchessault | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 0 | 18:58 | 4:31 |
| S. Stamkos | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 17:31 | 4:23 |
| M. McCarron | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:31 | 0:00 |
| J. Lucchini | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 13:20 | 0:00 |
| L. Evangelista | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 12:48 | 0:45 |
| K. Bellows | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:50 | 0:00 |
| F. Svechkov | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 10:26 | 0:43 |
| M. Del Gaizo | D | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:47 | 0:31 |
| N. Blankenburg | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 20:23 | 1:47 |
| B. Skjei | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 26:06 | 4:22 |
| J. Barron | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:03 | 1:48 |
| L. Schenn | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 0 | 17:11 | 0:00 |
| A. Englund | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 15:40 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Saros | 35 | 29 | 6 | .829 | 58:46 | Loss |
| J. Annunen | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
NYI Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Nelson | C | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 20:04 | 3:13 |
| S. Holmstrom | RW | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:02 | 3:12 |
| J. Pageau | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 16:27 | 2:13 |
| C. Cizikas | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 11:35 | 0:00 |
| B. Horvat | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 19:34 | 3:26 |
| A. Lee | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 15:56 | 2:44 |
| K. Palmieri | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:41 | 2:32 |
| H. Fasching | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 12:24 | 0:00 |
| A. Duclair | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 11:56 | 1:51 |
| K. MacLean | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:41 | 0:25 |
| M. Gatcomb | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:15 | 0:11 |
| P. Engvall | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:39 | 0:11 |
| A. Boqvist | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:48 | 3:20 |
| A. Romanov | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 0 | 22:17 | 0:23 |
| N. Dobson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 24:48 | 3:21 |
| T. DeAngelo | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 19:45 | 2:51 |
| A. Pelech | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:32 | 0:13 |
| R. Pulock | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17:36 | 0:44 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Sorokin | 29 | 25 | 4 | .862 | 60:00 | Win |
| J. Skarek | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NSH 2.7, NYI 3.0 | NSH 4, NYI 7 |
| Total goals | 5.7 | 11 |
| Shots on goal | NSH 28.6, NYI 29.9 | NSH 29, NYI 35 |
| Win chance | NYI 55% | NYI won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH F. Forsberg | 3.6 | 3 | 0.93 | 0 | 35% | 0 |
| NYI B. Horvat | 3.1 | 2 | 0.78 | 1 | 31% | 1 |
| NSH J. Marchessault | 2.9 | 5 | 0.78 | 0 | 32% | 0 |
| NYI B. Nelson | 2.9 | 4 | 0.85 | 3 | 33% | 2 |
| NYI A. Lee | 2.7 | 4 | 0.63 | 1 | 27% | 0 |
| NYI N. Dobson | 2.5 | 2 | 0.67 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| NSH S. Stamkos | 2.4 | 3 | 0.76 | 0 | 32% | 0 |
| NYI T. DeAngelo | 2.3 | 2 | 0.67 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| NYI K. Palmieri | 2.2 | 3 | 0.68 | 1 | 26% | 1 |
| NSH B. Skjei | 2.1 | 2 | 0.46 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| NSH R. O'Reilly | 2.0 | 4 | 0.64 | 1 | 23% | 0 |
| NSH L. Evangelista | 1.8 | 0 | 0.36 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| NYI A. Pelech | 1.7 | 0 | 0.39 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| NYI A. Romanov | 1.7 | 1 | 0.40 | 1 | 9% | 0 |
| NYI A. Duclair | 1.6 | 4 | 0.52 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| NSH T. Novak | 1.6 | 0 | 0.46 | 1 | 18% | 0 |
| NYI J. Pageau | 1.5 | 1 | 0.46 | 2 | 15% | 1 |
| NSH N. Blankenburg | 1.5 | 0 | 0.27 | 1 | 7% | 0 |
| NYI S. Holmstrom | 1.4 | 1 | 0.53 | 2 | 22% | 0 |
| NYI A. Boqvist | 1.4 | 2 | 0.38 | 2 | 12% | 0 |
| NYI R. Pulock | 1.3 | 1 | 0.32 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| NSH C. Sissons | 1.3 | 1 | 0.31 | 3 | 12% | 1 |
| NSH M. McCarron | 1.3 | 0 | 0.23 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| NSH M. Gaizo | 1.3 | 3 | 0.19 | 2 | 2% | 1 |
| NSH F. Svechkov | 1.2 | 0 | 0.28 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| NSH J. Barron | 1.2 | 0 | 0.27 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| NSH L. Schenn | 1.2 | 1 | 0.15 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| NYI C. Cizikas | 1.2 | 3 | 0.24 | 2 | 10% | 1 |
| NYI P. Engvall | 1.1 | 2 | 0.26 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| NYI M. Gatcomb | 1.1 | 0 | 0.28 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| NSH K. Bellows | 1.0 | 3 | 0.18 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| NSH C. Smith | 1.0 | 3 | 0.21 | 2 | 8% | 2 |
| NYI K. MacLean | 0.8 | 3 | 0.19 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| NYI H. Fasching | 0.8 | 0 | 0.20 | 1 | 8% | 0 |
| NSH J. Lucchini | 0.7 | 1 | 0.15 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| NSH A. Englund | 0.5 | 0 | 0.11 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 17 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 more than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.