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Game Recap
NSH3
FinalTue, Oct 10, 2023Every game that night
TBL5

TBL beat NSH 5-3, and the chances backed it up: 5.09 expected goals to 3.33. N. Paul led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). J. Johansson stopped 28 of 31.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
NSH0123
TBL1045
  1. 1st 9:48TBLN. Kucherov0.08 xG
  2. 2nd 16:15NSHR. O'Reilly0.10 xG
  3. 3rd 0:11NSHJ. Parssinen0.23 xG
  4. 3rd 2:25TBLN. PaulPP0.04 xG
  5. 3rd 3:07TBLB. Hagel0.32 xG
  6. 3rd 8:48NSHT. NovakPP0.06 xG
  7. 3rd 10:52TBLN. PaulPP0.43 xG
  8. 3rd 19:58TBLN. KucherovEN0.94 xG

Team Stats

NSHTBL
31Shots on goal34
3.33Expected goals5.09
65Shot attempts61
185v5 shots on goal22
1/4Power play2/5
23Hits22
10Blocked shots17
10Penalty minutes8
7Giveaways8
10Takeaways8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

NSH 3.33 xGTBL 5.09 xGGoal

0123451st2nd3rdTBL goal, 9:48NSH goal, 16:15NSH goal, 0:11TBL goal, 2:25TBL goal, 3:07NSH goal, 8:48TBL goal, 10:52TBL goal, 19:58

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

NSH31 on goal, 3 scored
TBL34 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

NSH Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
R. O'ReillyC1124020021:595:10
F. ForsbergLW0226100020:515:42
T. NovakC101300-1015:433:00
G. NyquistRW0112100014:531:51
J. ParssinenC101200+1013:431:15
P. TomasinoRW0110010213:301:45
C. GlassC0002200015:294:53
C. SissonsC000331-1214:450:39
Y. TreninC0001400013:540:00
C. SmithRW0001200012:520:00
L. EvangelistaRW0000000012:012:11
K. SherwoodLW000120007:540:00
R. McDonaghD011202+1020:480:13
R. JosiD000201-2425:376:07
T. BarrieD000100-1021:185:01
A. CarrierD000002+1020:390:43
L. SchennD0000510015:110:00
J. LauzonD000130+1213:210:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Saros33294.87957:16Loss
K. Lankinen000–0:00

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
B. PointC033301+1022:136:48
N. PaulLW213321+1016:126:30
N. KucherovRW202520+1221:196:47
S. StamkosC0112200220:236:42
B. HagelLW1014010018:071:34
A. CirelliC000100-1016:421:27
L. GlendeningC0001120014:010:00
C. ShearyLW000003-1012:041:29
T. JeannotLW0001200011:481:42
W. MerelaC0000110010:210:00
M. EyssimontC000200008:310:00
T. MotteC000021007:550:00
V. HedmanD011401-1026:556:26
M. SergachevD011202+1223:001:50
E. CernakD0002710019:200:00
D. RaddyshD000311+1018:040:05
C. de HaanD0000210013:410:00
N. PerbixD000101-1211:420:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Johansson31283.90360:00Win
M. Tomkins000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamSteven Stamkos NSH Faces TBL, his team until Apr 20241 A, 2 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.