Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
NYI1
FinalSat, Mar 30, 2024Every game that night
TBL4

TBL beat NYI 4-1, and the chances backed it up: 3.09 expected goals to 2.13. TBL outshot NYI 40 to 28. A. Cirelli led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). A. Vasilevskiy stopped 27 of 28.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
NYI1001
TBL2024
  1. 1st 2:25NYIK. Palmieri0.02 xG
  2. 1st 14:25TBLD. RaddyshPP0.10 xG
  3. 1st 15:00TBLA. Cirelli0.19 xG
  4. 3rd 0:21TBLS. Stamkos0.11 xG
  5. 3rd 17:14TBLA. CirelliEN0.56 xG

Team Stats

NYITBL
28Shots on goal40
2.13Expected goals3.09
62Shot attempts75
285v5 shots on goal35
0/1Power play1/1
35Hits27
17Blocked shots17
4Penalty minutes4
3Giveaways6
2Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

NYI 2.13 xGTBL 3.09 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdNYI goal, 2:25TBL goal, 14:25TBL goal, 15:00TBL goal, 0:21TBL goal, 17:14

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

NYI28 on goal, 1 scored
TBL40 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

NYI Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
K. PalmieriC101310-1015:180:00
M. BarzalC000202-2019:000:00
H. FaschingRW000001-1017:390:00
A. LeeLW000520-1017:060:00
B. HorvatC000220-1016:310:00
J. PageauC0002620016:280:00
C. CizikasC000130+1014:540:00
B. NelsonC000410-1014:420:00
P. EngvallLW000110-1014:190:00
M. MartinLW0001120211:350:55
C. ClutterbuckRW0000610010:570:55
K. MacLeanC0000000010:280:55
R. PulockD011041+1022:490:00
M. ReillyD011012-1016:150:00
N. DobsonD000301-3023:340:00
A. RomanovD000132-1023:210:55
A. PelechD0002320220:070:00
R. BortuzzoD0001110013:580:55
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Varlamov39363.92359:06Loss
I. Sorokin000–0:00

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. CirelliC213411+2016:320:26
N. KucherovRW022810+1020:181:53
B. HagelLW022310+1016:100:28
S. StamkosC101420+1015:561:24
B. PointC0003000018:331:25
N. PaulLW000120+1017:151:27
A. DuclairLW0002100014:560:28
M. ChaffeeRW0001410012:370:00
L. GlendeningC0001210012:260:00
M. EyssimontC0006220012:140:00
T. JeannotLW0001520012:000:00
T. MotteC0001000011:440:00
V. HedmanD011011+1023:001:25
D. RaddyshD101202+1022:230:29
E. LillebergD011012+2220:070:00
N. PerbixD011102+2018:440:00
M. DumbaD000132-1217:430:00
H. FleuryD000111-1016:270:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Vasilevskiy28271.96460:00Win
J. Johansson000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.