Game Recap: NYR 3, NJD 6, March 7, 2026

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Game Recap

NYR3

FinalSat, Mar 7, 2026Every game that night

NJD6

NJD beat NYR 6-3, and the chances backed it up: 4.46 expected goals to 2.05. NJD outshot NYR 35 to 20. J. Hughes scored three for NJD. J. Bratt had 5 shots on goal against our projection of 2.4. J. Markstrom stopped 17 of 20.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
NYR	2	1	0	3
NJD	2	1	3	6

1st 1:06NJDJ. Bratt0.17 xG
1st 6:26NYRW. Borgen0.05 xG
1st 8:36NYRV. Gavrikov0.05 xG
1st 19:47NJDD. MercerPP0.11 xG
2nd 15:52NJDJ. HughesPP0.06 xG
2nd 16:53NYRW. Cuylle0.15 xG
3rd 8:05NJDN. HischierPP0.24 xG
3rd 16:56NJDJ. Hughes0.25 xG
3rd 19:28NJDJ. HughesEN0.94 xG

Team Stats

NYRNJD

20Shots on goal35

2.05Expected goals4.46

46Shot attempts65

145v5 shots on goal22

0/4Power play3/3

23Hits9

11Blocked shots12

8Penalty minutes10

20Giveaways13

5Takeaways2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

NYR 2.05 xGNJD 4.46 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

NYR20 on goal, 3 scored

NJD34 on goal, 6 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

NYR Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
V. Trocheck	C	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	2	22:52	6:46
W. Cuylle	LW	1	0	1	2	3	0	+1	2	16:46	1:26
T. Raddysh	RW	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	16:29	1:13
N. Laba	C	0	1	1	1	1	1	-1	0	15:26	0:26
T. Kartye	LW	0	1	1	0	2	0	-1	0	14:15	0:00
M. Zibanejad	C	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	0	24:00	6:49
G. Perreault	RW	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	22:21	6:37
A. Lafrenière	LW	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	20:44	6:47
C. Sheary	LW	0	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	13:28	0:43
A. Edstrom	C	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	7:34	0:00
J. Parssinen	C	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	2	6:48	0:00
J. Chmelar	RW	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	6:30	0:00
V. Gavrikov	D	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	2	22:42	1:32
B. Schneider	D	0	1	1	1	2	0	+2	0	19:49	1:10
W. Borgen	D	1	0	1	2	3	2	+1	0	16:25	0:00
A. Fox	D	0	0	0	2	0	1	-2	0	26:28	6:31
M. Robertson	D	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	16:12	0:00
V. Iorio	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	9:09	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Quick	34	29	5	.853	57:35	Loss
I. Shesterkin	0	0	0	–	0:00

NJD Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
J. Hughes	C	3	1	4	5	0	0	+1	2	20:44	3:13
J. Bratt	LW	1	2	3	5	0	0	0	0	16:51	2:39
C. Brown	RW	0	2	2	2	0	0	+1	0	17:44	2:31
N. Hischier	C	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	20:34	2:38
D. Mercer	C	1	0	1	2	0	1	0	0	20:07	1:46
A. Gritsyuk	RW	0	1	1	1	0	0	+1	4	15:21	1:14
C. Glass	C	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	14:28	0:00
T. Meier	RW	0	0	0	6	1	0	0	0	19:25	1:49
L. Hameenaho	RW	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	11:55	0:00
N. Bjugstad	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	-1	2	6:27	0:00
P. Cotter	LW	0	0	0	0	2	0	-1	0	6:11	0:00
M. Tsyplakov	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	5:17	0:00
J. Kovacevic	D	0	2	2	1	1	1	+1	0	20:05	0:00
D. Hamilton	D	0	1	1	2	1	1	-1	0	20:36	2:41
L. Hughes	D	0	1	1	4	0	1	-1	0	19:13	1:48
S. Nemec	D	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	19:57	1:49
B. Dillon	D	0	0	0	1	0	2	+2	2	19:41	0:00
J. Siegenthaler	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	-1	0	18:12	0:07

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Markstrom	20	17	3	.850	59:12	Win
J. Allen	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

NYR

Line 1M. Zibanejad12:58G. Perreault14:04A. Lafrenière12:18

Line 2T. Raddysh13:27W. Cuylle11:58V. Trocheck12:07

Line 3C. Sheary11:24T. Kartye11:35N. Laba12:19

Line 4J. Parssinen6:48J. Chmelar6:30A. Edstrom7:34

Pair 1V. Gavrikov18:00A. Fox17:34

Pair 2W. Borgen14:19B. Schneider15:31

Pair 3M. Robertson14:05V. Iorio9:09

NJD

Line 1T. Meier15:43D. Mercer13:27N. Hischier12:56

Line 2J. Hughes15:46A. Gritsyuk12:32C. Brown9:42

Line 3J. Bratt12:35C. Glass10:42L. Hameenaho11:55

Line 4N. Bjugstad6:03P. Cotter6:11M. Tsyplakov5:17

Pair 1J. Kovacevic15:14L. Hughes16:41

Pair 2B. Dillon14:53S. Nemec17:20

Pair 3D. Hamilton12:17J. Siegenthaler12:26

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	NYR 2.8, NJD 3.1	NYR 3, NJD 6
Total goals	5.9	9
Shots on goal	NYR 24.2, NJD 31.0	NYR 20, NJD 35
Win chance	NJD 55%	NJD won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
NJD J. Hughes	3.5	5	1.11	4	34%	3
NJD T. Meier	3.4	6	0.68	0	31%	0
NJD D. Hamilton	3.1	2	0.61	1	15%	0
NJD N. Hischier	2.8	1	0.92	1	32%	1
NYR M. Zibanejad	2.5	1	0.86	0	29%	0
NJD J. Bratt	2.4	5	0.94	3	26%	1
NJD A. Gritsyuk	2.2	1	0.50	1	18%	0
NYR V. Trocheck	2.0	0	0.74	1	25%	0
NYR W. Cuylle	2.0	2	0.50	1	22%	1
NJD L. Hughes	1.9	4	0.53	1	8%	0
NYR A. Fox	1.9	2	0.80	0	13%	0
NYR A. Lafrenière	1.9	2	0.61	0	23%	0
NJD C. Brown	1.8	2	0.60	2	20%	0
NJD D. Mercer	1.8	2	0.50	1	22%	1
NJD C. Glass	1.6	0	0.38	1	16%	0
NYR G. Perreault	1.5	3	0.38	0	17%	0
NYR V. Gavrikov	1.5	1	0.36	1	9%	1
NJD S. Nemec	1.5	2	0.36	0	10%	0
NJD N. Bjugstad	1.4	1	0.26	0	13%	0
NYR B. Schneider	1.3	1	0.23	1	6%	0
NJD L. Hameenaho	1.3	1	0.37	0	14%	0
NYR C. Sheary	1.2	1	0.28	0	12%	0
NYR M. Robertson	1.1	0	0.21	0	6%	0
NYR W. Borgen	1.0	2	0.20	1	5%	1
NYR T. Kartye	1.0	0	0.24	1	12%	0
NYR N. Laba	0.9	1	0.26	1	11%	0
NJD J. Kovacevic	0.9	1	0.17	2	3%	0
NJD J. Siegenthaler	0.9	0	0.15	0	3%	0
NJD M. Tsyplakov	0.9	1	0.20	0	7%	0
NYR T. Raddysh	0.9	0	0.24	1	10%	0
NYR V. Iorio	0.8	0	0.13	0	2%	0
NYR A. Edstrom	0.8	2	0.17	0	9%	0
NJD P. Cotter	0.7	0	0.19	0	10%	0
NJD B. Dillon	0.7	1	0.20	0	4%	0
NYR J. Chmelar	0.7	0	0.17	0	9%	0
NYR J. Parssinen	0.6	2	0.22	0	9%	0

Shots on goal: 22 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.0 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.