Game Recap: NYR 6, PHI 2, March 9, 2026

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Game Recap

NYR6

FinalMon, Mar 9, 2026Every game that night

PHI2

NYR beat PHI 6-2, with the chances close: 3.66 expected goals to 3.41. M. Zibanejad led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). N. Seeler had 4 shots on goal against our projection of 1.0. I. Shesterkin stopped 32 of 34.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
NYR	3	3	0	6
PHI	0	1	1	2

1st 1:04NYRN. Laba0.43 xG
1st 13:07NYRM. Zibanejad0.19 xG
1st 19:23NYRA. LafrenièrePP0.17 xG
2nd 3:54PHIM. MichkovPP0.82 xG
2nd 6:40NYRG. PerreaultPP0.51 xG
2nd 18:40NYRM. ZibanejadPP0.15 xG
2nd 19:00NYRT. Kartye0.04 xG
3rd 15:28PHIS. Couturier0.14 xG

Team Stats

NYRPHI

27Shots on goal34

3.66Expected goals3.41

47Shot attempts55

195v5 shots on goal30

3/4Power play1/3

17Hits32

8Blocked shots11

6Penalty minutes8

12Giveaways9

4Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

NYR 3.66 xGPHI 3.41 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

NYR27 on goal, 6 scored

PHI32 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

NYR Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Zibanejad	C	2	1	3	3	0	0	+1	0	17:50	3:43
V. Trocheck	C	0	3	3	3	2	1	0	0	17:18	3:48
A. Lafrenière	LW	1	1	2	4	0	0	+1	0	17:21	3:41
G. Perreault	RW	1	1	2	2	1	1	+1	0	15:36	3:19
T. Kartye	LW	1	1	2	2	4	1	+2	0	15:25	0:00
N. Laba	C	1	1	2	1	1	0	+1	0	15:00	0:00
W. Cuylle	LW	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	15:33	0:46
C. Sheary	LW	0	0	0	1	0	0	+1	0	15:10	1:04
A. Edstrom	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	-1	0	13:30	0:00
J. Brodzinski	C	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	13:22	0:39
J. Parssinen	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	11:49	0:00
J. Chmelar	RW	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	10:53	0:00
V. Gavrikov	D	0	2	2	1	0	1	+1	2	19:54	0:38
A. Fox	D	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	22:19	3:53
M. Robertson	D	0	1	1	2	0	0	+2	0	19:27	0:00
B. Schneider	D	0	0	0	1	2	2	+1	2	23:18	0:44
W. Borgen	D	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	16:18	0:00
U. Vaakanainen	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	15:18	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
I. Shesterkin	34	32	2	.941	59:48	Win
J. Quick	0	0	0	–	0:00

PHI Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
T. Zegras	C	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	2	19:27	3:44
M. Michkov	RW	1	0	1	2	0	0	-3	0	16:13	3:40
S. Couturier	C	1	0	1	2	0	0	+1	0	13:43	0:00
N. Grebenkin	RW	0	1	1	0	1	0	+1	0	11:40	0:00
L. Glendening	C	0	1	1	2	4	0	+1	0	10:47	0:00
T. Konecny	RW	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	19:04	3:35
C. Dvorak	C	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	18:00	0:51
O. Tippett	RW	0	0	0	3	8	1	0	0	16:52	2:58
A. Bump	LW	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	2	13:53	0:40
D. Barkey	C	0	0	0	1	2	1	-3	0	13:33	1:08
C. Grundstrom	RW	0	0	0	1	8	1	0	0	13:19	0:00
N. Cates	LW	0	0	0	0	3	1	-3	0	12:48	0:44
J. Drysdale	D	0	1	1	3	0	0	-1	0	21:42	3:06
C. York	D	0	0	0	2	0	1	-1	2	21:29	0:53
T. Sanheim	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	21:08	0:27
N. Seeler	D	0	0	0	4	3	1	-1	0	18:02	0:00
R. Ristolainen	D	0	0	0	3	0	2	0	0	17:14	0:19
N. Juulsen	D	0	0	0	3	2	1	-1	0	16:26	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Vladar	24	18	6	.750	40:00	Loss
S. Ersson	3	3	0	1.000	19:47

Lines at 5-on-5

NYR

Line 1M. Zibanejad13:02A. Lafrenière13:40G. Perreault12:17

Line 2V. Trocheck13:15W. Cuylle13:12J. Brodzinski12:30

Line 3C. Sheary12:51T. Kartye12:47N. Laba11:56

Line 4A. Edstrom12:24J. Parssinen11:49J. Chmelar10:53

Pair 1B. Schneider20:28M. Robertson17:00

Pair 2V. Gavrikov18:39A. Fox17:23

Pair 3W. Borgen13:47U. Vaakanainen13:32

PHI

Line 1C. Dvorak13:43T. Konecny14:41A. Bump13:01

Line 2T. Zegras15:30C. Grundstrom13:06O. Tippett12:40

Line 3N. Cates11:07D. Barkey12:25M. Michkov12:33

Line 4S. Couturier10:07N. Grebenkin11:40L. Glendening10:14

Pair 1J. Drysdale18:11C. York17:48

Pair 2N. Seeler16:30N. Juulsen16:18

Pair 3R. Ristolainen14:32T. Sanheim17:19

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	NYR 2.9, PHI 2.9	NYR 6, PHI 2
Total goals	5.8	8
Shots on goal	NYR 23.0, PHI 26.7	NYR 27, PHI 34
Win chance	PHI 50%	NYR won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
PHI O. Tippett	2.8	3	0.69	0	28%	0
NYR M. Zibanejad	2.5	3	0.98	3	31%	2
PHI T. Konecny	2.5	2	1.03	0	31%	0
PHI M. Michkov	2.3	2	0.70	1	24%	1
PHI T. Zegras	2.2	1	0.82	1	26%	0
PHI C. Dvorak	2.1	1	0.71	0	22%	0
NYR V. Trocheck	2.0	3	0.85	3	26%	0
NYR A. Lafrenière	1.9	4	0.70	2	25%	1
NYR W. Cuylle	1.9	0	0.54	0	22%	0
PHI R. Ristolainen	1.9	3	0.29	0	5%	0
NYR A. Fox	1.8	0	0.87	1	15%	0
PHI S. Couturier	1.8	2	0.51	1	14%	1
NYR G. Perreault	1.7	2	0.47	2	19%	1
PHI N. Cates	1.7	0	0.57	0	19%	0
PHI C. York	1.5	2	0.40	0	8%	0
PHI J. Drysdale	1.5	3	0.42	1	9%	0
PHI T. Sanheim	1.5	0	0.43	0	9%	0
PHI C. Grundstrom	1.4	1	0.24	0	14%	0
NYR V. Gavrikov	1.4	1	0.37	2	10%	0
NYR B. Schneider	1.3	1	0.26	0	6%	0
NYR C. Sheary	1.2	1	0.31	0	12%	0
PHI D. Barkey	1.2	1	0.40	0	13%	0
NYR J. Brodzinski	1.0	2	0.29	0	12%	0
PHI N. Seeler	1.0	4	0.15	0	3%	0
NYR M. Robertson	1.0	2	0.22	1	7%	0
NYR W. Borgen	1.0	1	0.22	0	6%	0
NYR T. Kartye	1.0	2	0.28	2	13%	1
NYR N. Laba	0.9	1	0.30	2	12%	1
NYR A. Edstrom	0.7	1	0.18	0	10%	0
NYR U. Vaakanainen	0.7	1	0.19	0	2%	0
PHI N. Grebenkin	0.7	0	0.28	1	10%	0
NYR J. Parssinen	0.6	0	0.23	0	9%	0
NYR J. Chmelar	0.6	2	0.17	0	9%	0
PHI L. Glendening	0.6	2	0.10	1	6%	0
PHI N. Juulsen	0.6	3	0.12	0	2%	0

Shots on goal: 20 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.