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Game Recap
OTT1
FinalWed, Mar 6, 2024Every game that night
ANA2

ANA beat OTT 2-1 despite fewer good chances: 2.04 expected goals to 3.57. OTT outshot ANA 30 to 16. L. Dostal stopped 29 of 30.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
OTT1001
ANA0112
  1. 1st 2:44OTTM. Kastelic0.05 xG
  2. 2nd 4:42ANAR. Strome0.03 xG
  3. 3rd 3:27ANAA. Killorn0.06 xG

Team Stats

OTTANA
30Shots on goal16
3.57Expected goals2.04
70Shot attempts42
245v5 shots on goal13
0/3Power play0/3
15Hits36
14Blocked shots19
8Penalty minutes8
10Giveaways9
6Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

OTT 3.57 xGANA 2.04 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdOTT goal, 2:44ANA goal, 4:42ANA goal, 3:27

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

OTT29 on goal, 1 scored
ANA16 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

OTT Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. KastelicC101120+107:110:00
M. HighmoreC011000+106:060:00
T. StützleC000300-1021:593:21
B. TkachukLW000330-1221:403:06
C. GirouxRW000010-1021:252:51
M. JosephRW0003030017:050:05
S. PintoC000500-1016:570:57
D. BathersonRW000011-2014:310:40
R. GreigC0000000014:020:39
P. KellyC000311+1212:260:05
R. ChartierC0003200012:190:05
D. KubalikLW000010008:250:40
A. ZubD0113130019:240:06
T. ChabotD000021-1224:263:15
J. ChychrunD0003120221:372:31
J. SandersonD0003010020:471:13
E. BrannstromD0000010016:210:15
J. Bernard-DockerD000001-1016:170:05
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
M. Sogaard16142.87558:47Loss
A. Forsberg000–0:00

ANA Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
F. VatranoRW011020+1022:333:22
A. KillornLW101210+1020:052:29
R. StromeC101110+1219:442:32
B. LeasonRW0111120017:410:00
I. LundestromC000111+1017:330:42
M. JonesLW000111+1216:500:12
J. SilfverbergRW0002000016:332:36
B. GroulxC0000410014:420:00
P. RegendaLW0001110012:150:16
R. JohnstonLW000041-108:180:12
G. GawdinC000041-127:350:20
C. FowlerD011111+1023:573:22
O. ZellwegerD011022+1016:540:15
R. GudasD000481-1019:580:42
P. MintyukovD000022-1218:070:50
U. VaakanainenD000221+1015:590:00
J. LaCombeD0000010012:430:00
G. LindstromD000013+1010:520:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
L. Dostal30291.96759:41Win
J. Gibson000–0:00