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Game Recap
OTT5
FinalThu, Jan 12, 2023Every game that night
ARI3

OTT beat ARI 5-3, and the chances backed it up: 4.76 expected goals to 1.96. OTT outshot ARI 47 to 29. A. DeBrincat led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). A. Forsberg stopped 26 of 29.

Team Stats

OTTARI
47Shots on goal29
4.76Expected goals1.96
76Shot attempts65
365v5 shots on goal24
1/4Power play1/2
39Hits38
22Blocked shots13
6Penalty minutes29
7Giveaways13
4Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

OTT 4.76 xGARI 1.96 xGGoal

0123451st2nd3rdOTT goal, 7:49OTT goal, 14:45ARI goal, 8:45OTT goal, 17:41ARI goal, 3:45OTT goal, 9:42ARI goal, 17:16

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

OTT46 on goal, 4 scored
ARI29 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

OTT Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. GirouxRW0224010020:213:36
A. DeBrincatRW112510+1020:113:49
B. TkachukLW101541+2017:343:56
D. BrassardC101440+1014:411:36
M. KastelicC101352+1012:090:00
T. StützleC000120+2019:443:56
D. BathersonRW000430-1217:053:56
S. PintoC000121-1015:201:49
A. WatsonLW000322+1012:340:00
J. LucchiniC0002300011:581:31
D. GambrellC0001120011:150:00
P. KellyC0001510410:200:00
J. SandersonD022101+1020:291:22
A. ZubD101221+2020:300:11
N. HoldenD0112110015:320:00
T. ChabotD000317+1023:133:03
T. HamonicD000331+1019:040:00
E. BrannstromD000201-1014:240:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Forsberg29263.89759:45Win
C. Talbot000–0:00

ARI Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
D. GuentherRW112511-1015:570:50
N. SchmaltzC011100-1020:311:24
N. BjugstadC011131-2019:160:47
B. HaytonC101301-1017:311:10
L. CrouseLW101240-2017:170:36
N. RitchieLW011450+1017:131:13
C. FischerRW0110400014:340:10
T. BoydC0002110018:311:00
J. McBainC0000520013:350:00
Z. KassianRW000000007:360:00
C. KellerRW000000-1154:040:00
J. VälimäkiD0113100017:160:55
J. ChychrunD000212-2023:431:15
S. GostisbehereD000314-21221:580:00
J. MoserD000220-1219:121:20
P. NemethD0000200017:340:07
T. StecherD0001400013:470:00
J. BrownD000041+1012:330:03
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
K. Vejmelka46424.91358:52Loss
C. Ingram000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.