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Game Recap
OTT3
FinalTue, Dec 19, 2023Every game that night
ARI4

ARI beat OTT 4-3, and the chances backed it up: 4.14 expected goals to 1.54. ARI outshot OTT 38 to 22. J. McBain led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). K. Vejmelka stopped 16 of 16.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
OTT3003
ARI0134
  1. 1st 4:10OTTA. Crookshank0.07 xG
  2. 1st 13:06OTTJ. NorrisPP0.11 xG
  3. 1st 14:19OTTD. Kubalik0.11 xG
  4. 2nd 14:10ARIJ. McBain0.23 xG
  5. 3rd 9:14ARIJ. Moser0.22 xG
  6. 3rd 9:47ARIC. Keller0.09 xG
  7. 3rd 16:27ARIM. Kesselring0.11 xG

Team Stats

OTTARI
22Shots on goal38
1.54Expected goals4.14
49Shot attempts73
175v5 shots on goal33
1/2Power play0/2
28Hits32
20Blocked shots13
15Penalty minutes15
1Giveaways5
3Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

OTT 1.54 xGARI 4.14 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdOTT goal, 4:10OTT goal, 13:06OTT goal, 14:19ARI goal, 14:10ARI goal, 9:14ARI goal, 9:47ARI goal, 16:27

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

OTT22 on goal, 3 scored
ARI38 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

OTT Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. StützleC0111120021:142:03
J. NorrisC101110-1019:192:03
D. KubalikLW1011010012:270:00
A. CrookshankC1014310211:450:00
D. BathersonRW0003230219:492:08
C. GirouxRW000220-2019:300:05
B. TkachukLW000440-1518:232:06
V. TarasenkoRW000010-1016:540:00
R. GreigC0000000013:570:00
P. KellyC000030-129:580:00
M. KastelicC000030047:310:00
J. SmejkalLW000010007:170:02
J. SandersonD0220150025:082:08
A. ZubD0111210024:380:00
E. BrannstromD011111+1017:260:00
J. ChychrunD000112-3019:410:05
T. HamonicD000213-2015:220:00
J. Bernard-DockerD0001110015:210:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Korpisalo38344.89558:20Loss
A. Forsberg000–0:00

ARI Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. McBainC112240+248:280:05
A. KerfootC011120+1420:162:18
C. KellerRW101300+1018:502:15
M. MaccelliLW0113020018:361:41
L. CooleyC0113210013:092:19
M. CarconeLW011230+209:340:01
Z. SanfordLW011100+109:040:00
N. SchmaltzC000300+1019:472:18
L. CrouseLW0001200019:281:35
N. BjugstadC0000100018:341:40
J. ZuckerLW000440-1213:121:34
L. O'BrienC000132-1010:380:00
M. DumbaD011263+1521:220:00
T. StecherD011302+1020:520:07
J. MoserD101302+1020:442:25
M. KesselringD1013300013:460:00
J. VälimäkiD000211+2020:561:42
T. DermottD000110-1018:360:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
C. Ingram633.50014:19
K. Vejmelka161601.00045:41Win