Game Recap: OTT 2, BOS 3 (OT), November 6, 2025

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Game Recap

OTT2

Final/OTThu, Nov 6, 2025Every game that night

BOS3

BOS beat OTT 3-2 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 3.24 expected goals to 1.85. C. Giroux led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). J. Korpisalo stopped 20 of 22.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	T
OTT	1	0	1	0	2
BOS	0	2	0	1	3

1st 5:42OTTM. Amadio0.13 xG
2nd 1:22BOSM. Geekie0.63 xG
2nd 16:03BOSS. Kuraly0.11 xG
3rd 11:52OTTC. Giroux0.03 xG
OT 4:54BOSP. Zacha0.46 xG

Team Stats

OTTBOS

22Shots on goal25

1.85Expected goals3.24

50Shot attempts59

125v5 shots on goal19

0/2Power play0/3

30Hits25

18Blocked shots13

8Penalty minutes8

10Giveaways12

7Takeaways8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

OTT 1.85 xGBOS 3.24 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

OTT22 on goal, 2 scored

BOS25 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

OTT Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
C. Giroux	RW	1	1	2	3	1	0	+2	0	14:56	0:45
S. Pinto	C	0	1	1	4	3	0	+1	0	21:09	1:05
M. Amadio	RW	1	0	1	3	3	1	+1	0	15:10	0:00
D. Perron	LW	0	1	1	1	2	0	+1	0	13:17	1:03
T. Stützle	C	0	0	0	1	2	1	-3	0	22:07	1:53
D. Batherson	RW	0	0	0	2	1	0	-2	0	19:58	1:34
R. Greig	C	0	0	0	2	0	1	-1	2	19:33	1:34
D. Cozens	C	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	16:34	2:04
F. Zetterlund	LW	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	15:06	0:03
N. Cousins	C	0	0	0	0	6	0	-1	0	12:07	0:00
L. Eller	C	0	0	0	0	0	3	+1	0	11:35	0:35
K. MacDermid	LW	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	2	4:48	0:00
T. Chabot	D	0	1	1	1	2	0	0	2	22:55	0:58
J. Sanderson	D	0	0	0	3	1	3	-1	0	25:41	1:49
A. Zub	D	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	24:35	0:00
N. Jensen	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	-2	0	18:18	0:07
T. Kleven	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	17:35	0:00
N. Matinpalo	D	0	0	0	2	0	2	+1	2	13:18	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
L. Ullmark	25	22	3	.880	64:54	OT loss
L. Meriläinen	0	0	0	–	0:00

BOS Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Geekie	C	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	2	19:18	2:45
P. Zacha	C	1	0	1	2	2	1	0	2	18:49	2:19
T. Jeannot	LW	0	1	1	1	6	1	0	0	14:30	0:00
S. Kuraly	C	1	0	1	1	2	0	+1	0	14:19	0:00
D. Pastrnak	RW	0	0	0	2	0	0	+1	0	22:52	2:45
F. Minten	C	0	0	0	0	2	0	-1	0	16:58	0:00
M. Khusnutdinov	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	16:43	0:23
V. Arvidsson	LW	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	15:34	2:19
M. Kastelic	C	0	0	0	2	2	2	0	4	15:24	0:00
C. Mittelstadt	C	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	14:56	0:26
M. Eyssimont	C	0	0	0	2	1	0	+1	0	12:54	0:00
J. Beecher	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4:07	0:00
A. Peeke	D	0	2	2	2	1	2	+1	0	20:10	0:00
C. McAvoy	D	0	1	1	0	0	0	+1	0	26:12	2:25
H. Lindholm	D	0	0	0	2	0	2	+1	0	21:39	0:20
N. Zadorov	D	0	0	0	1	4	1	0	0	21:32	0:00
H. Jokiharju	D	0	0	0	2	0	0	-1	0	17:13	0:00
J. Aspirot	D	0	0	0	1	2	1	-1	0	15:35	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Korpisalo	22	20	2	.909	64:54	Win
J. Swayman	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

OTT

Line 1M. Amadio15:10S. Pinto14:35C. Giroux12:50

Line 2T. Stützle16:02D. Batherson15:47N. Cousins12:07

Line 3L. Eller11:00F. Zetterlund13:39K. MacDermid4:48

Line 4D. Perron12:14D. Cozens11:58R. Greig13:45

Pair 1N. Jensen17:08T. Chabot19:35

Pair 2J. Sanderson16:06A. Zub19:50

Pair 3T. Kleven16:50N. Matinpalo13:06

BOS

Line 1P. Zacha13:01C. Mittelstadt12:38V. Arvidsson12:20

Line 2D. Pastrnak17:08M. Geekie15:38M. Khusnutdinov13:54

Line 3S. Kuraly13:41M. Eyssimont12:26J. Beecher4:07

Line 4T. Jeannot12:28F. Minten11:54M. Kastelic14:29

Pair 1N. Zadorov18:04C. McAvoy18:46

Pair 2H. Lindholm17:03A. Peeke16:44

Pair 3H. Jokiharju16:34J. Aspirot15:35

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamLinus Ullmark OTT Faces BOS, his team until May 202422 saves on 25

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	OTT 3.0, BOS 3.0	OTT 2, BOS 3
Total goals	5.9	5
Shots on goal	OTT 28.2, BOS 25.9	OTT 22, BOS 25
Win chance	BOS 50%	BOS won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
BOS D. Pastrnak	3.6	2	1.28	0	43%	0
BOS V. Arvidsson	2.5	2	0.64	0	24%	0
OTT D. Cozens	2.4	0	0.62	0	22%	0
OTT S. Pinto	2.3	4	0.66	1	26%	0
OTT T. Stützle	2.3	1	0.90	0	25%	0
OTT D. Batherson	2.3	2	0.78	0	24%	0
OTT J. Sanderson	2.2	3	0.58	0	9%	0
BOS M. Geekie	2.1	4	0.79	1	31%	1
OTT T. Chabot	1.9	1	0.54	1	11%	0
BOS M. Eyssimont	1.9	2	0.30	0	13%	0
BOS C. McAvoy	1.7	0	0.63	1	11%	0
OTT D. Perron	1.7	1	0.54	1	22%	0
OTT F. Zetterlund	1.7	0	0.33	0	14%	0
OTT R. Greig	1.7	2	0.45	0	17%	0
OTT C. Giroux	1.6	3	0.62	2	20%	1
BOS P. Zacha	1.5	2	0.68	1	20%	1
BOS M. Kastelic	1.5	2	0.30	0	14%	0
BOS S. Kuraly	1.4	1	0.29	1	13%	1
BOS H. Lindholm	1.4	2	0.41	0	7%	0
BOS F. Minten	1.4	0	0.30	0	15%	0
OTT L. Eller	1.4	0	0.35	0	14%	0
OTT M. Amadio	1.3	3	0.40	1	18%	1
BOS C. Mittelstadt	1.2	1	0.56	0	18%	0
BOS N. Zadorov	1.2	1	0.32	0	9%	0
BOS T. Jeannot	1.2	1	0.30	1	14%	0
OTT N. Cousins	1.1	0	0.25	0	10%	0
BOS A. Peeke	1.1	2	0.22	2	3%	0
OTT A. Zub	1.0	0	0.28	0	5%	0
OTT T. Kleven	1.0	0	0.15	0	3%	0
OTT N. Jensen	0.9	0	0.23	0	4%	0
OTT N. Matinpalo	0.9	2	0.12	0	3%	0
BOS H. Jokiharju	0.9	2	0.24	0	5%	0
BOS M. Khusnutdinov	0.8	0	0.27	0	12%	0
BOS J. Beecher	0.7	0	0.17	0	9%	0
OTT K. MacDermid	0.3	0	0.06	0	3%	0

Shots on goal: 20 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.