Game Recap: OTT 6, BOS 2, December 21, 2025

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Game Recap

OTT6

FinalSun, Dec 21, 2025Every game that night

BOS2

OTT beat BOS 6-2, and the chances backed it up: 3.52 expected goals to 2.20. OTT outshot BOS 28 to 20. F. Zetterlund led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). T. Stützle had 5 shots on goal against our projection of 2.4. L. Ullmark stopped 18 of 20.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
OTT	3	3	0	6
BOS	1	1	0	2

1st 1:30OTTD. Batherson0.13 xG
1st 13:44OTTC. Giroux0.30 xG
1st 16:47OTTF. ZetterlundPP0.13 xG
1st 19:07BOSD. PastrnakPP0.09 xG
2nd 6:44OTTT. Stützle0.24 xG
2nd 7:03OTTD. Cozens0.01 xG
2nd 14:36BOSC. McAvoy0.05 xG
2nd 17:26OTTF. ZetterlundPP0.12 xG

Team Stats

OTTBOS

28Shots on goal20

3.52Expected goals2.20

51Shot attempts55

225v5 shots on goal17

2/4Power play1/5

22Hits32

17Blocked shots11

54Penalty minutes42

22Giveaways15

6Takeaways2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

OTT 3.52 xGBOS 2.20 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

OTT28 on goal, 6 scored

BOS19 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

OTT Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
F. Zetterlund	LW	2	1	3	3	1	0	+1	0	17:12	3:50
D. Batherson	RW	1	2	3	1	2	1	+2	0	16:11	2:34
D. Cozens	C	1	2	3	2	6	0	+2	12	15:40	2:33
C. Giroux	RW	1	1	2	1	1	1	+1	0	17:02	2:49
D. Perron	LW	0	2	2	2	0	1	+1	0	15:11	3:26
T. Stützle	C	1	0	1	5	0	1	+1	2	16:25	1:48
B. Tkachuk	LW	0	1	1	3	5	1	+1	0	13:46	1:53
S. Halliday	C	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	11:24	3:57
M. Amadio	RW	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	17:20	0:08
R. Greig	C	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	14	17:00	0:08
N. Cousins	C	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	2	12:43	0:38
K. MacDermid	LW	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	10	5:34	0:38
T. Chabot	D	0	1	1	2	0	3	+3	0	22:46	4:01
N. Jensen	D	0	1	1	0	1	3	0	12	14:23	0:00
J. Sanderson	D	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	24:26	2:36
A. Zub	D	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	19:51	0:45
N. Matinpalo	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	17:19	0:00
J. Spence	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	+3	0	16:52	1:21

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
L. Ullmark	20	18	2	.900	60:00	Win
L. Meriläinen	0	0	0	–	0:00

BOS Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
D. Pastrnak	RW	1	0	1	3	2	0	-2	12	19:04	4:19
P. Zacha	C	0	1	1	1	0	1	-2	0	18:57	5:24
M. Khusnutdinov	C	0	1	1	1	1	0	-1	0	10:49	0:00
E. Lindholm	C	0	0	0	0	2	0	-1	2	17:44	5:12
M. Geekie	C	0	0	0	2	2	0	-1	0	17:34	5:21
C. Mittelstadt	C	0	0	0	0	1	1	-2	0	15:29	2:05
F. Minten	C	0	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	13:37	0:02
A. Steeves	C	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	2	13:27	2:01
S. Kuraly	C	0	0	0	3	1	1	0	0	13:24	0:00
M. Kastelic	C	0	0	0	0	4	1	0	5	13:11	0:00
T. Jeannot	LW	0	0	0	0	6	0	0	7	13:05	0:00
M. Eyssimont	C	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	11:15	2:03
C. McAvoy	D	1	1	2	4	1	0	+1	0	21:59	5:24
H. Lindholm	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	-2	0	21:46	2:07
A. Peeke	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	-2	0	20:57	0:02
N. Zadorov	D	0	0	0	2	3	0	+1	14	18:44	0:00
M. Lohrei	D	0	0	0	1	1	2	-2	0	17:26	2:03
V. Soderstrom	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	-2	0	14:24	0:01

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Korpisalo	17	12	5	.706	26:31	Loss
J. Swayman	11	10	1	.909	32:57

Lines at 5-on-5

OTT

Line 1D. Batherson13:36D. Cozens13:05D. Perron11:45

Line 2M. Amadio14:07R. Greig15:40C. Giroux9:51

Line 3F. Zetterlund12:50T. Stützle10:23B. Tkachuk10:21

Line 4N. Cousins12:05S. Halliday7:27K. MacDermid4:56

Pair 1J. Sanderson17:16A. Zub15:31

Pair 2T. Chabot15:46J. Spence14:52

Pair 3N. Jensen14:19N. Matinpalo13:10

BOS

Line 1D. Pastrnak14:11P. Zacha12:59C. Mittelstadt13:24

Line 2E. Lindholm11:47M. Geekie11:41A. Steeves10:48

Line 3T. Jeannot11:18F. Minten11:01M. Kastelic10:20

Line 4S. Kuraly9:33M. Eyssimont9:12M. Khusnutdinov9:36

Pair 1N. Zadorov16:45C. McAvoy14:21

Pair 2H. Lindholm14:53A. Peeke15:53

Pair 3V. Soderstrom14:21M. Lohrei14:57

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamLinus Ullmark OTT Faces BOS, his team until May 202418 saves on 20, the win
BirthdayCharlie McAvoy BOS Turns 28 that day1 G, 1 A, 4 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	OTT 2.9, BOS 2.9	OTT 6, BOS 2
Total goals	5.7	8
Shots on goal	OTT 28.0, BOS 25.7	OTT 28, BOS 20
Win chance	BOS 51%	OTT won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
OTT B. Tkachuk	4.2	3	0.82	1	31%	0
BOS D. Pastrnak	3.6	3	1.22	1	41%	1
OTT D. Cozens	2.4	2	0.59	3	21%	1
OTT T. Stützle	2.4	5	0.91	1	27%	1
OTT D. Batherson	2.3	1	0.78	3	26%	1
OTT J. Sanderson	2.3	2	0.64	0	11%	0
BOS M. Geekie	2.2	2	0.82	0	32%	0
OTT F. Zetterlund	2.1	3	0.42	3	18%	2
BOS M. Eyssimont	2.0	2	0.30	0	13%	0
OTT T. Chabot	1.8	2	0.52	1	10%	0
BOS E. Lindholm	1.8	0	0.64	0	22%	0
OTT C. Giroux	1.8	1	0.64	2	20%	1
BOS C. McAvoy	1.7	4	0.56	2	10%	1
BOS H. Lindholm	1.7	0	0.41	0	8%	0
OTT D. Perron	1.6	2	0.48	2	20%	0
OTT R. Greig	1.5	3	0.35	0	13%	0
OTT M. Amadio	1.5	2	0.44	0	19%	0
BOS P. Zacha	1.5	1	0.62	1	20%	0
BOS M. Kastelic	1.5	0	0.33	0	14%	0
BOS A. Steeves	1.4	1	0.42	0	20%	0
BOS S. Kuraly	1.3	3	0.28	0	12%	0
BOS N. Zadorov	1.3	2	0.33	0	9%	0
OTT J. Spence	1.3	0	0.39	0	5%	0
BOS F. Minten	1.3	0	0.35	0	16%	0
BOS A. Peeke	1.2	0	0.23	0	5%	0
BOS C. Mittelstadt	1.2	0	0.54	0	18%	0
OTT S. Halliday	1.2	1	0.19	1	7%	0
BOS T. Jeannot	1.2	0	0.32	0	14%	0
OTT A. Zub	1.1	0	0.28	0	6%	0
OTT N. Cousins	1.0	1	0.22	0	9%	0
BOS M. Khusnutdinov	0.9	1	0.28	1	12%	0
OTT N. Matinpalo	0.9	0	0.14	0	2%	0
BOS M. Lohrei	0.9	1	0.29	0	5%	0
BOS V. Soderstrom	0.8	0	0.13	0	1%	0
OTT N. Jensen	0.7	0	0.19	1	3%	0
OTT K. MacDermid	0.2	0	0.05	0	2%	0

Shots on goal: 21 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.3 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.